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Hazer Group Ltd. (HZR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HZR

Hazer Group Ltd.

(ASX:HZR)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.27▼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/26/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—sharp revenue deterioration, persistent large losses, and ongoing cash burn—despite low balance-sheet leverage. Technical indicators are modestly supportive in the short term (price above 20/50DMA and positive MACD), but the longer-term trend remains negative (below 200DMA). Valuation provides limited support given the negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Proprietary clean-technology processThe proprietary HAZER Process gives Hazer a differentiated technology platform in clean hydrogen and advanced materials. Its ability to produce hydrogen and graphite from one feedstock could support multiple revenue streams as the technology moves toward commercial deployment.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue deteriorationThe sharp latest-year revenue decline indicates that commercial traction remains weak and highly uneven. Such a small and contracting revenue base makes it difficult to demonstrate repeatable demand, support operating costs internally, or establish a dependable foundation for scaling the business.

Hazer Group Ltd. (HZR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%AU:HZR-49.07%EWA+12.46%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 73.66M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
115.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-7.0
Beta (1Y)
1.04
Revenue Growth
-96.81%
EPS Growth
-19.09%
Country
Australia
Employees
36
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals

Hazer Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Hazer Group Limited is an Australian clean technology firm dedicated to commercializing its unique Hazer Process. This innovative technology allows for the production of low-carbon hydrogen and graphite by converting natural gas and comparable raw ma...

Hazer Group Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-29.49%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlighted multiple material commercial and technical progress points: a solid cash position (> $17M) with reduced burn, an advancing 11-year KBR alliance (paid studies and in‑kind support), the first revenue-generating Hazer–KBR project in the U.K., expanded pipeline and clear traction in steel and graphite markets (POSCO extension, M Resources MOU). Challenges remain around timing/uncertainty in large government-led tenders (Whyalla), longer qualification timelines for high-value graphite markets, and engineering scale-up risks (heat, conversion, product quality). On balance the company presented tangible milestones, partner-backed execution pathways and growing demand indicators that outweigh the operational and timing risks.

Positive Updates

Strong liquidity position and reduced cash burn
Cash position > $17.0M at the start of the quarter, bolstered by > $5.5M R&D rebate inflows and ~ $1.0M+ from approved capital raise proceeds; cash burn reduced ~30% quarter-on-quarter and ~40% year-on-year for the comparable quarter.

Negative Updates

Commercial timing and process uncertainty (Whyalla & government-led bids)
Whyalla opportunity is part of a confidential, government-led sale process with limited public disclosure and uncertain timing/outcome; while Hazer is part of M Resources' bid, there is no guarantee of selection and the process may be lengthy.

Company Guidance

The call guided that Hazer enters 2026 with a cash position of over A$17m (bolstered by >A$5.5m R&D rebate and ~A$1m from an AGM‑approved capital reallocation), a cash burn reduced ~30% quarter‑on‑quarter and ~40% year‑on‑year, and a stronger pipeline now ~A$51m (equating to ~1.5 million tpa of customer leads, or >1.5% of global H2 demand) with >50 active leads (up from ~45); the KBR alliance (an 11‑year engagement backed by a US$3m contribution and further in‑kind support cited in the call) is delivering a commercial design package built around a ~30,000 tpa base single‑train (scalable toward 50–100k tpa), with the first paid study (Energy Pathways) being a 20,000 tpa, revenue‑generating project; market context provided included an addressable H2 market of ~100m tpa (~US$206bn), current SMR emitting ~10 t CO2 per t H2 and ~920m t CO2 industrywide, sector growth forecasts (ammonia ~3× in ~25 years; steel ~10× to 2050), and graphite commercialisation metrics targeting “drop‑in” markets at ~US$300–700+/t (typical target >US$500/t) with one 50,000 tpa deal modeled to deliver ~US$80–100m in license revenue; management also flagged additional non‑dilutive funding/grants (ARENA ~A$1m expected, Mitsui/WA funds ~A$2m+, Fortis CAD11m support) and large regional funding for Whyalla (federal ~A$1bn+, SA ~A$400m) as important enablers to convert pipeline into licences this year.

Hazer Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financial quality is weak: revenue is extremely small and deteriorated sharply (FY2026 ~20k vs FY2025 614k), profitability is deeply negative with widening net losses, and cash flow remains structurally negative (FY2026 operating cash flow about -5.2m). The main positive is low leverage with modest debt relative to equity, but ongoing losses are eroding the equity base and elevate funding risk.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

24Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.57K19.57K614.24K3.31M2.40M1.24M
Gross Profit-88.22K-88.22K614.24K3.31M2.29M1.16M
EBITDA-13.50M-13.50M-7.45M-15.69M-11.72M-16.93M
Net Income-10.38M-10.38M-7.62M-19.07M-12.21M-16.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.55M13.55M17.75M18.58M12.67M27.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.67M10.67M12.53M12.83M9.28M18.03M
Total Debt104.42K104.42K220.00K222.83K261.26K3.82M
Total Liabilities3.20M3.20M4.04M5.01M8.73M14.59M
Stockholders Equity10.35M10.35M13.71M13.57M3.94M12.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.40M-5.40M-6.60M-23.31M-5.77M-21.30M
Operating Cash Flow-5.24M-5.24M-5.15M-15.82M-1.28M-5.24M
Investing Cash Flow-156.65K-156.65K-1.45M-7.50M-4.50M-16.06M
Financing Cash Flow3.54M3.54M6.31M26.86M-2.98M14.69M

Hazer Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.28

Price Trends

50DMA0.31Negative
100DMA0.31Negative
200DMA0.35Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI37.69Neutral
STOCH15.08Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HZR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.29, below the 50-day MA of 0.31, and below the 200-day MA of 0.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:HZR.

Hazer Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:HZR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:HZRAU:HZR46NeutralAUD 72.99M-7.00-87.35%―-96.81%-19.09%
AU:ATCAU:ATC43NeutralAUD 4.00M-0.07-174.71%――-107.04%
AU:CXLAU:CXL41NeutralAUD 46.49M-0.88-119.47%―27.85%-141.00%
AU:EGRAU:EGR36UnderperformAUD 103.81M-53.57-4.69%――57.27%
AU:FGRAU:FGR30UnderperformAUD 31.95M-6.07-67.92%―14.77%16.88%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%AU:HZRAU:FGRAU:EGRAU:NH3AU:CXLAU:ATCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:HZR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:HZRHazer Group Ltd.0.28-0.27-49.54%
AU:FGRFirst Graphene Ltd0.04-0.05-59.34%
AU:EGREcograf Ltd.0.21-0.26-54.26%
AU:NH3Hexagon Energy Materials Ltd.0.09-0.01-6.12%
AU:CXLCalix Ltd.0.21-0.19-47.50%
AU:ATCAltech Chemicals Limited0.01-0.03-75.00%

Hazer Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Hazer Group Hosts Q1 FY27 Investor Webinar to Highlight Climate-Tech Strategy

Oct 19, 2026

Hazer Group Ltd is hosting a Q1 FY27 investor webinar on 20 October 2026, providing shareholders and the market with an updated presentation on its strategic direction and progress in scaling affordable solutions for strategic infrastructure. The eve...

Hazer Group to Hold In-Person AGM, Shifts to Digital Meeting Materials

Oct 19, 2026

Hazer Group Limited has called its Annual General Meeting of shareholders to be held in person in Perth at 3:00pm AWST on Wednesday, 18 November 2026. The company is providing its Notice of Meeting, explanatory materials and FY26 annual report electr...

Hazer sharpens clean hydrogen push as KBR alliance and Whyalla steel bid advance

Oct 19, 2026

Hazer Group has advanced its commercialisation strategy during the September quarter, leveraging a completed commercial-scale Process Design Package with KBR as the basis for multiple client engagements. The alliance confirms improved project economi...

Hazer Targets Decarbonising Steel With Methane Pyrolysis Technology

Oct 7, 2026

Hazer Group is sharpening its strategic focus on the global steel sector, highlighting a strong fit between its methane pyrolysis technology and efforts to cut emissions in steelmaking. By using an iron-ore catalyst to convert natural gas into clean...

Hazer Group Ties Staff Equity Incentives to Share Price Performance

Oct 2, 2026

Hazer Group has issued 4,592,097 unquoted options to eligible staff under its shareholder-approved Employee Incentive Plan, with the options granted for nil consideration and exercisable at $0.001 per share once vested. The multi-tranche structure ti...

Hazer graphite passes key tests as low-emissions additive in heavy-duty asphalt

Sep 24, 2026

Hazer Group Limited has reported independent test results showing its low-emissions graphite can partially replace petroleum-derived bitumen in heavy-duty asphalt while maintaining or improving performance. Tests conducted by Boral Construction Mater...

Hazer Group Sets November Date for AGM and Opens Director Nominations

Sep 23, 2026

Hazer Group has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 3:00pm AWST on 18 November 2026 at ANZAC House in Perth, providing shareholders with a key date to engage with the company’s governance and strategic direction. The company has also set 3...

Hazer Group Files ASX Corporate Governance Statement for FY2026

Aug 24, 2026

Hazer Group Ltd. has lodged its annual corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 with the ASX and made it available on its website, confirming compliance with key ASX Corporate Governance Council principles. The board-approved fi...

Hazer Moves From Platform Build to Commercial Execution as FY27 Begins

Aug 24, 2026

Hazer Group has entered FY27 with commercial-scale engineering for a 30,000 tonnes per annum hydrogen plant completed and a global go-to-market platform established through KBR, supported by a pipeline of six projects across steel, energy and ammonia...

Hazer Group loss widens as grant income falls and equity funding supports operations

Aug 24, 2026

Hazer Group reported a sharp 61% fall in revenue from ordinary activities to $3.3 million for the year to 30 June 2026, mainly due to the absence of prior-year grant income and a lower research and development tax rebate. The company’s loss aft...

Hazer-KBR Alliance Wins Major Hydrogen Study with Tier-1 Japanese Utility

Aug 16, 2026

Hazer Group has secured a paid pre‑feasibility study with a tier‑1 Japanese power utility to assess integrating its methane pyrolysis technology into the utility’s generation portfolio, at hydrogen production scales of 30,000 and 30...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2026