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Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd (AU:HLI)
ASX:HLI
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Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd (HLI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HLI

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd

(Sydney:HLI)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
AU$5.50
â–²(1.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial quality (strong profitability and low leverage) and very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by contracting revenue and uneven cash-flow performance, alongside weak-to-mixed near-term technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Consistent profitability
Sustained high net margins since 2021 indicate durable underwriting discipline and pricing power in LMI. This profit consistency builds retained earnings and strengthens the firm's ability to absorb cyclical credit shocks and maintain capital distributions over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contraction
Sustained declines in premium revenue erode the core earnings base for an insurer that depends on new insurance written. A shrinking top line reduces scale, compresses investment float and may force tighter underwriting or pricing to restore growth, limiting medium-term growth prospects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent profitability
Sustained high net margins since 2021 indicate durable underwriting discipline and pricing power in LMI. This profit consistency builds retained earnings and strengthens the firm's ability to absorb cyclical credit shocks and maintain capital distributions over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd (HLI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Helia Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the loan mortgage insurance business primarily in Australia. It offers Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI), which provides protection to lenders, helping them facilitate property purchas...
How the Company Makes Money
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd (HLI) primarily makes money by writing lenders mortgage insurance (LMI) policies for mortgage lenders. The core revenue stream is insurance premiums paid by lenders (often passed on to borrowers as an upfr...

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and consistent profitability post-2020 and a conservatively positioned balance sheet support the score. Offsetting this, revenue has been contracting for multiple years (with a sharp decline in 2025) and cash flows have been volatile, including negative operating/free cash flow in 2023 and weaker free cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue454.10M471.20M517.68M538.29M579.69M372.09M
Gross Profit421.60M471.20M517.68M511.71M466.24M372.09M
EBITDA302.80M362.20M475.98M421.37M303.02M290.26M
Net Income211.20M244.90M231.54M275.06M186.77M192.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.26B2.54B2.93B3.20B3.46B3.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.90M45.70M112.38M57.05M23.84M76.72M
Total Debt4.20M8.50M196.52M197.29M191.06M195.89M
Total Liabilities1.37B1.52B1.85B2.06B2.26B2.36B
Stockholders Equity892.50M1.02B1.08B1.14B1.21B1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.90M108.40M134.33M-18.27M75.51M344.67M
Operating Cash Flow46.90M108.40M134.43M-18.03M76.11M344.67M
Investing Cash Flow303.70M324.00M213.84M397.10M199.89M-344.26M
Financing Cash Flow-536.50M-499.10M-292.93M-345.90M-328.96M-27.69M

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.41
Price Trends
50DMA
5.02
Positive
100DMA
4.87
Positive
200DMA
4.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
56.57
Neutral
STOCH
49.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HLI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.15, above the 50-day MA of 5.02, and above the 200-day MA of 4.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:HLI.

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
AU$1.43B6.7522.10%32.50%-8.31%-19.83%
72
Outperform
AU$33.79B11.2418.63%4.92%3.37%6.40%
69
Neutral
AU$20.53B20.1810.06%3.47%-2.94%-31.48%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
AU$18.82B18.7214.06%3.99%9.36%-24.51%
60
Neutral
AU$876.30M8.1312.29%8.01%-0.65%8.02%
56
Neutral
AU$1.08B7.5512.12%13.87%-3.49%7.16%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HLI
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd
5.20
0.62
13.56%
AU:IAG
Insurance Australia Group Limited
8.02
-0.13
-1.60%
AU:QBE
QBE Insurance Group Limited
22.57
2.79
14.11%
AU:SUN
Suncorp Group
19.11
-0.89
-4.45%
AU:PPM
Pepper Money Ltd
1.98
-0.17
-7.74%
AU:LFG
Liberty Financial Group Ltd
3.55
0.05
1.43%

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd Corporate Events

Helia says no undisclosed news behind share price fall after ASX query
Jul 21, 2026
Helia Group Limited has responded to an ASX price query after its share price fell from $5.58 to $5.07 and trading volumes spiked on 21 July 2026. The company stated it is not aware of any undisclosed information that could explain the recent trad...
Helia sets date for release of 2026 half-year results and investor briefing
Jul 9, 2026
Helia Group Limited announced it will release its financial results for the half year ended 30 June 2026 to the Australian Securities Exchange before the market opens on Tuesday, 11 August 2026. The company will host a conference call and webcast ...
Helia Secures Four-Year Exclusive LMI Deal with ING Australia
Jul 5, 2026
Helia Group Limited has secured a new four-year agreement to be the exclusive provider of lenders mortgage insurance to ING Bank (Australia) Limited, effective from 1 July 2026. The deal renews a key relationship, as the prior exclusive arrangemen...
Helia names new CEO and confirms CFO appointment in leadership reshuffle
Jun 9, 2026
Helia Group Limited has appointed industry veteran Mark Senkevics as its new Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, effective on or before 1 December 2026, following an extensive search. He will succeed interim CEO Michael Cant, whose cont...
Helia Group Seeks ASX Quotation for New Shares Issued Under Employee Incentive Plan
Jun 3, 2026
Helia Group Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 28,800 new ordinary fully paid shares, issued on 5 June 2026 under its employee incentive scheme. The move modestly increases the company’s quoted capital base and reflects ongoing ...
Helia Shareholders Back Board and Pay, Avoiding Spill at 2026 AGM
May 7, 2026
Helia Group Limited has released the voting outcomes of its 2026 Annual General Meeting, confirming that all resolutions put to shareholders, including the adoption of the remuneration report and the re-election of directors Leona Murphy and Andre...
Helia Investors Back Board and Pay Ahead of 2026 AGM
May 7, 2026
Helia Group Limited has released a proxy summary detailing direct and proxy voting outcomes submitted ahead of its 2026 Annual General Meeting, including strong support for the remuneration report and the re-election of directors Leona Murphy and ...
Helia Stresses Resilience After Loss of Major Client as Profit and Capital Returns Climb
May 7, 2026
Helia reported that, despite losing its largest customer and facing a shrinking addressable market due to the Federal Government’s expanded 5% Deposit Scheme, it delivered a strong 2025 financial performance, with underlying net profit after...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026