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Canadian Phosphate (AU:CP8)
ASX:CP8
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Canadian Phosphate (CP8) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CP8

Canadian Phosphate

(Sydney:CP8)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.14
▼(-3.57% Downside)
Action:N/A
Date:09/23/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (continued losses and negative operating/free cash flow) and limited valuation support given the negative P/E and no dividend. These are partly offset by favorable technical momentum, with the stock trading above key moving averages and a positive MACD, though near-term overbought signals add risk.
Positive Factors
Modest Leverage and Equity Cushion
Modest leverage and a substantial equity position provide Canadian Phosphate with a comparatively supportive balance-sheet foundation despite its losses. This cushion may preserve financial flexibility over the next several months, although continued losses could erode it if profitability does not improve.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Trend
Revenue has drifted lower over several years, indicating that the company has not yet established a durable growth trajectory. A shrinking revenue base can limit operating leverage, reduce resources available for phosphate project development, and make it harder to absorb fixed corporate costs.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Modest Leverage and Equity Cushion
Modest leverage and a substantial equity position provide Canadian Phosphate with a comparatively supportive balance-sheet foundation despite its losses. This cushion may preserve financial flexibility over the next several months, although continued losses could erode it if profitability does not improve.
Read all positive factors

Canadian Phosphate (CP8) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Canadian Phosphate Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Canadian Phosphate Limited provides regenerative phosphate and organic fertilizer solutions to markets across Australia and North America. The company's offerings further extend to fused calcium magnesium silica phosphate products. It maintains ke...

Canadian Phosphate Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profile remains weak: revenue is slightly declining and the company is still loss-making with deeply negative net margins, alongside ongoing negative operating and free cash flow (continued cash burn). The balance sheet is a relative positive with modest leverage and meaningful equity, and recent trends show improvement (less severe losses and reduced cash outflow), but profitability and cash generation are not yet established.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.77M2.31M2.49M2.79M3.56M2.24M
Gross Profit-373.16K-170.16K1.24M-1.07M-1.44M206.19K
EBITDA-1.39M-1.24M-1.26M-3.83M-4.17M-3.73M
Net Income-2.42M-2.21M-1.66M-4.48M-4.22M-3.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.01M10.62M11.55M12.45M15.27M13.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.57M2.44M780.92K1.70M2.86M5.20M
Total Debt1.01M1.37M895.93K1.18M578.65K116.28K
Total Liabilities1.25M1.59M1.19M1.71M1.70M861.80K
Stockholders Equity12.76M9.03M10.36M10.74M13.57M12.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.04M-506.17K-1.17M-2.87M-7.67M-3.11M
Operating Cash Flow-1.04M-506.17K-1.17M-1.74M-4.84M-1.66M
Investing Cash Flow458.58K453.67K-572.53K-873.60K-2.01M-501.46K
Financing Cash Flow6.66M1.71M799.53K1.88M4.48M6.19M

Canadian Phosphate Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.14
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Positive
100DMA
0.14
Negative
200DMA
0.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
43.06
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CP8, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.15, above the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CP8.

Canadian Phosphate Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
51
Neutral
AU$53.26M-18.49-22.21%―-30.52%-19.67%
49
Neutral
AU$1.24B-7.09-7.49%2.02%-1.53%-281.84%
49
Neutral
AU$14.82M-2.90-52.55%―-11.34%30.34%
45
Neutral
AU$19.11M-10.21-6.36%――96.72%
43
Neutral
AU$19.98M-2.16-88.51%―-0.48%-195.74%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CP8
Canadian Phosphate
0.14
0.09
170.00%
AU:NUF
Nufarm Limited
3.22
0.98
43.75%
AU:AMN
Agrimin Limited
0.05
-0.05
-48.42%
AU:TGH
Terragen Holdings Ltd
0.02
>-0.01
-18.18%
AU:RLF
RLF AgTech Ltd
0.03
-0.05
-60.53%

Canadian Phosphate Corporate Events

Canadian Phosphate gains spotlight in Canada and Alberta investment pitchbooks
Sep 14, 2026
Canadian Phosphate has been selected for inclusion in both the Canada Investment Summit Pitchbook and a dedicated Invest Alberta Pitchbook, initiatives aimed at showcasing strategic national projects to global institutional investors. The company&...
Canadian Phosphate Files Interim Financial Report and Affirms Market Listings
Sep 10, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has released its interim financial report for the six months ended 30 June 2026, outlining its corporate structure and capital markets presence. The company remains listed on both the ASX and OTCQB, supported by establis...
Canadian Phosphate extends Wapiti strike and ramps up exploration spend
Sep 9, 2026
Canadian Phosphate has extended the known strike of phosphate mineralisation at its Wapiti Project to about nine kilometres on the eastern limb of the Red Deer Syncline, following a diamond drilling campaign now totaling 18 holes and 2,638 metres....
Canadian Phosphate adds U.S. OTCQB listing to boost North American investor access
Aug 20, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has commenced trading on the OTCQB Venture Market in the United States under the ticker CPHOF, complementing its primary ASX listing of CP8. The move allows eligible North American investors to trade the stock in U.S. do...
Canadian Phosphate Extends Wapiti Phosphate Strike by 3km in 2026 Drilling
Aug 19, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has reported that the first eight diamond drillholes of its 2026 program at the Wapiti Phosphate Project have all intersected the targeted Phosphate Main Zone. These holes, totaling 1,051m and drilled along the Red Deer ...
Canadian Phosphate issues new shares and confirms compliance with disclosure rules
Jul 30, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has issued fully paid ordinary shares, as detailed in a filing to the ASX, and has provided a statutory cleansing notice confirming the issuance occurred without a prospectus under the relevant provisions of the Corporat...
Canadian Phosphate Secures Utah Asset to Bolster North American Phosphate Strategy
Jul 30, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited has completed the acquisition of a 100% interest in the Diamond Mountain Phosphate Project in Uintah County, Utah, from Revival Gold Inc. and Utah Mineral Resources LLC. The advanced sedimentary project, adjacent to Simp...
Canadian Phosphate boosts cash through equity as it funds North American phosphate preparations
Jul 28, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited reported quarterly cash flows showing modest customer receipts and significant operating outflows tied to raw material input costs, staff, and administrative expenses, resulting in a net operating cash outflow. The compa...
Canadian Phosphate advances Wapiti drilling and U.S. acquisition after $5.2m raising
Jul 28, 2026
Canadian Phosphate reported a pivotal June quarter marked by regulatory, operational and corporate advances across its North American portfolio. The company secured a five-year exploration permit for its 100%-owned Wapiti project in British Columb...
Canadian Phosphate Starts Key Resource Drilling at Wapiti Project in Canada
Jul 27, 2026
Canadian Phosphate Limited, traded on the ASX as CP8, is developing the Wapiti Phosphate Project in northeastern British Columbia to serve fertilizer, organic agriculture and battery-related phosphoric acid markets. The company aims to supply Sing...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2026