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Capral Limited (CAA) AI Stock Analysis

AU:CAA

Capral Limited

(ASX:CAA)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:AUD 14.00â–²(7.53% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

Capral Limited scores 62, reflecting a tension between attractive valuation and concerning operational trends. The most significant positive factor is the low P/E of 5.5x, which offers meaningful upside if the business stabilizes. However, the dramatic gross margin compression from 32% to 8% is the dominant risk, raising questions about whether cost pressures are temporary or structural. Cash flow generation remains solid and the balance sheet is adequate, providing some financial resilience. Technical indicators show emerging short-term momentum but lack strong longer-term trend support. The stock appears reasonably positioned for investors with conviction that margin pressures will ease, but the lack of earnings call guidance or corporate catalysts limits visibility into the near-term outlook.

Positive Factors
Improving LeverageThe sustained reduction in debt-to-equity indicates improving balance-sheet resilience and a stronger capital buffer. Lower leverage should give Capral greater flexibility to fund operations, manage cyclical demand, and withstand periods of weaker profitability without excessive financial strain.
Negative Factors
Operating ProfitabilityThe sharp deterioration in core operating profitability is the most important fundamental concern. Negative EBIT and very thin EBITDA leave less room to absorb cost pressure, invest in the distribution network, or convert stable revenue into dependable earnings over coming quarters.

Capral Limited (CAA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%AU:CAA+19.67%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 204.58M
Dividend Yield
2.25%
Average Volume (3M)
15.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.8
Beta (1Y)
0.87
Revenue Growth
10.28%
EPS Growth
14.73%
Country
Australia
Employees
1,100
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Aluminum

Capral Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Capral Limited, an Australian enterprise established in 1936 and headquartered in Huntingwood, specializes in the production, marketing, and distribution of both manufactured and partially processed aluminum goods throughout Australia. The company pr...

Capral Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Capral shows mixed financials: stable revenue (~$634M) and consistent net profitability (~5.6% margin), but a dramatic gross margin collapse from 32% to 8% signals severe cost or pricing pressures. The balance sheet is adequate with growing equity ($244M) and 14.6% ROE, though rising debt ($128M, D/E 0.53) adds risk. Cash flow remains a bright spot with $34M free cash flow and solid cash conversion, but operating cash flow is trending down from its 2023 peak. The sharp EBITDA margin deterioration to 0.3% is the most concerning signal, tempering an otherwise stable financial foundation.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue731.65M686.04M604.40M614.84M643.28M550.85M
Gross Profit109.77M167.62M194.00M59.55M49.31M57.39M
EBITDA57.28M55.64M58.28M57.10M55.67M59.24M
Net Income36.24M35.63M32.49M31.84M40.75M42.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets513.83M482.90M472.42M425.20M446.76M425.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.05M60.49M68.91M59.46M48.99M50.13M
Total Debt71.32M73.21M82.93M88.81M118.11M103.54M
Total Liabilities262.29M239.10M247.29M220.47M257.04M268.14M
Stockholders Equity251.54M243.81M225.13M204.73M189.73M157.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.78M34.08M43.01M66.27M-2.77M32.18M
Operating Cash Flow65.73M45.59M52.70M75.04M7.19M41.73M
Investing Cash Flow-21.78M-17.32M-14.80M-7.96M-9.96M-19.72M
Financing Cash Flow-33.77M-35.79M-29.02M-57.78M401.00K-22.60M

Capral Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price13.02

Price Trends

50DMA11.87Positive
100DMA11.48Positive
200DMA11.69Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.20Negative
RSI73.82Negative
STOCH85.40Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CAA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.10, above the 50-day MA of 11.87, and above the 200-day MA of 11.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.82 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CAA.

Capral Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:CAA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:BISAU:BIS76OutperformAUD 198.07M11.7122.20%9.12%-10.61%-14.62%
AU:CAAAU:CAA62NeutralAUD 204.58M5.8414.63%2.25%10.28%14.73%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:BRIAU:BRI58NeutralAUD 100.31M19.914.34%3.74%5.27%―
AU:OMHAU:OMH51NeutralAUD 171.97M3.587.74%―-13.27%―
AU:MPWAU:MPW30UnderperformAUD 210.19M-13.07-67.53%―-9.99%-245.74%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%AU:CAAAU:BISAU:MPWAU:OMHAU:BRIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:CAA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:CAACapral Limited13.022.0618.82%
AU:BISBisalloy Steel Group Ltd4.10-0.57-12.17%
AU:MPWMetal Powder Works Limited1.40-1.50-51.72%
AU:OMHOM Holdings Ltd.0.23-0.02-10.00%
AU:BRIBig River Industries Ltd.1.06-0.32-23.27%

Capral Limited Corporate Events

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Oct 29, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an update announcing the ongoing execution of its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid securities. The latest daily notification reports that a total of 658,249 shares had been repurchased before the...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Oct 26, 2026

Capral Limited, listed on the ASX under ticker CAA with ordinary fully paid shares, operates within Australia’s industrial and manufacturing landscape. As a publicly traded entity, it is required to notify the market of changes in its capital m...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Oct 25, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX confirming ongoing activity under its on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily buy-back update, dated 26 October 2026, reports that a total of 591,9...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Oct 22, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX confirming ongoing activity under its on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily report shows that the company has repurchased a total of 589,485 sh...

Capral Updates Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back Activity

Oct 21, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares. The update, dated 22 October 2026, notes that a total of 586,811 shares had been repurchased prior to...

Capral Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy-Back

Oct 20, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program in ordinary fully paid shares. The company reported that a total of 578,525 shares had been repurchased prior to the most recent tra...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy‑Back Program

Oct 19, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on‑market share buy‑back program for ordinary fully paid shares under code CAA. The company reported that a total of 535,011 shares had been repurchased before...

Capral Posts Daily Update on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back

Oct 19, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, coded CAA. The latest daily report shows a cumulative 525,661 shares repurchased before the previo...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back With Daily ASX Update

Oct 13, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX confirming the ongoing execution of its on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares under code CAA. The latest daily update, dated 14 October 2026, reports that a total...

Capral Updates Market on Daily Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back

Oct 12, 2026

Capral Limited, a leading Australian aluminium manufacturer and supplier, trades on the ASX under the code CAA and provides products and solutions to building, construction and industrial customers. Its operations are closely tied to domestic economi...

Capral Cancels Over 100,000 Shares Following On-Market Buy-Back

Oct 11, 2026

Capral Limited has confirmed the cancellation of 103,611 ordinary fully paid shares following an on-market buy-back completed on 12 October 2026. The reduction in issued capital reflects the company’s ongoing capital management strategy, which...

Capral Updates ASX on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back

Oct 11, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, coded CAA. The latest daily report shows the company has repurchased 8,458 shares on the previou...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Oct 8, 2026

Capral Limited, an Australian manufacturing company listed on the ASX under ticker CAA, focuses on managing its capital structure through mechanisms such as on-market buy-backs of its ordinary fully paid shares. This approach underscores the company&...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Under 2026 Program

Oct 7, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX confirming ongoing on-market share buy-backs of its ordinary fully paid shares under the existing program first announced in February 2026. The latest daily disclosure shows that a total of...

Capral updates market on progress of on‑market share buy-back

Oct 6, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an update on its ongoing on-market share buy-back, confirming that a total of 434,896 ordinary fully paid shares had been repurchased prior to the latest reporting day. The company reported that a further 57 shares were bo...

Capral Continues Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back Program

Oct 5, 2026

Capral Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker CAA, is conducting capital management through on-market buy-backs of its ordinary fully paid shares. The company’s equity structure is actively managed, with repurchases disclosed to investors...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back With Daily ASX Updates

Oct 4, 2026

Capral Limited, an Australian-listed industrial company trading under ticker CAA, is engaged in capital management via an on-market buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares. This activity highlights management’s focus on shareholder returns a...

Capral Updates Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back Activity

Oct 1, 2026

Capral Limited, an ASX-listed aluminium products manufacturer and distributor, operates in the broader metals and building materials sector, servicing construction, industrial and commercial markets. Its ordinary fully paid shares trade under the tic...

Capral Updates Market on Daily Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 30, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The update, dated 1 October 2026, records that a total of 412,597 shares had been repurchased before th...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 29, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares under the code CAA. The announcement confirms this is a daily buy-back update linked to the program o...

Capral Continues Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Back

Sep 28, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX confirming ongoing execution of its on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares under the code CAA. The latest daily update reports a total of 383,517 shares bought back...

Capral Updates Market on Ongoing On‑Market Share Buy‑Back

Sep 27, 2026

Capral Limited has reported an update to its on-market share buy-back program covering trading up to 28 September 2026, confirming that it is buying back ordinary fully paid shares under its existing approval. The notification shows that a total of 3...

Capral Speeds Up On-Market Share Buy-Back as Part of Capital Management Strategy

Sep 27, 2026

Capral Limited has announced that it will accelerate the pace of purchases under its existing on-market share buy-back program, while keeping the overall cap at up to 10% of issued ordinary shares within any 12-month period and maintaining the curren...

Capral Continues On‑Market Share Buy‑Back, Lifts Total Repurchases to 369,523 Shares

Sep 24, 2026

Capral Limited has continued its on‑market share buy‑back program, reporting the repurchase of 392 ordinary fully paid shares on 25 September 2026, bringing total shares bought back to 369,523 since the program began on 26 February 2026....

Capral Posts Daily Update on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 22, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under code CAA. The latest daily buy-back disclosure, dated 23 September 2026, reports that...

Capral Updates Daily On‑Market Share Buy‑Back Activity

Sep 20, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated daily notification on its on‑market share buy‑back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed on the ASX under ticker CAA. The latest filing reports that a total of 361,657 shares had been rep...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 17, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily buy-back notice reports that a total of 361,318 shares had been repurchased prior...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back

Sep 16, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily update, dated 17 September 2026, reports that the company repurchased 2,670 shares on the...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back Program

Sep 15, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program in its ordinary fully paid shares. The announcement confirms that the company continues to actively repurchase its stock, with a cum...

Capral Cancels Shares in Ongoing On-Market Buy-Back

Sep 14, 2026

Capral Limited has cancelled 26,102 fully paid ordinary shares as part of an on-market share buy-back, according to a notification of cessation of securities lodged on 15 September 2026. The reduction in issued capital reflects the company’s on...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 14, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares traded under the ASX code CAA. The update reflects daily activity and follows the initial buy-back notice lodged in l...

Capral Advances On-Market Share Buy-Back With Daily Update

Sep 13, 2026

Capral Limited has continued its on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, reporting the repurchase of 666 shares on the previous trading day. This takes the cumulative total bought back to 356,534 shares since the program&...

Capral Updates ASX on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 10, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The latest daily buy-back report, dated 11 September 2026, confirms that 1,024 shares were repurchased on the...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back With Daily Update

Sep 10, 2026

Capral Limited has provided a daily update on its on-market share buy-back program, reporting that a total of 354,425 ordinary fully paid shares had been repurchased prior to the latest trading day. The company disclosed that it bought back an additi...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing Share Buy-Back Program

Sep 8, 2026

Capral Limited has provided a daily update on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares listed under the CAA ticker on the ASX. The company reported that it has repurchased a cumulative total of 353,952 shares pr...

Capral Issues Daily Update on Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 7, 2026

Capral Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker CAA, participates in on-market trading of its ordinary fully paid shares as part of its broader capital management strategy. The company’s securities activity includes structured buy-back progr...

Capral Updates Market on Progress of On‑Market Share Buy‑Back

Sep 6, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program, confirming that it repurchased a total of 2,347 ordinary fully paid shares on the previous trading day, bringing cumulative buy-bac...

Capral issues daily update on ongoing on-market share buy-back

Sep 3, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX confirming its ongoing on-market share buy-back of ordinary fully paid shares under code CAA. The program, originally notified in late February 2026, reflects the company’s continue...

Capral Updates Daily On-Market Share Buy-Back Activity

Sep 2, 2026

Capral Limited, listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the code CAA, has its ordinary fully paid shares as the primary vehicle for investor ownership and capital market activity. As an industrial-sector issuer, Capral’s trading and...

Capral Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back

Sep 1, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares, trading under the code CAA. The company reported that a total of 346,781 securities had been bou...

Capral Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back With Daily ASX Updates

Aug 31, 2026

Capral Limited has issued an updated notification to the ASX confirming the ongoing execution of its on-market share buy-back program for ordinary fully paid shares under code CAA. The latest daily disclosure reports that a cumulative 343,801 shares...

Capral Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back

Aug 26, 2026

Capral Limited, listed on the ASX under ticker CAA, operates as an industrial company whose ordinary fully paid shares are actively traded and subject to capital management initiatives. Its share register is managed in line with Australian corporate...

Capral Updates ASX on Progress of Ongoing On-Market Share Buy-Back

Aug 25, 2026

Capral Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares under the code CAA. The update reflects the company’s continued execution of the buy-back first no...

Capral Outlines 1H26 Results and Earnings Guidance

Aug 23, 2026

Capral Limited has released its half-year results presentation for the first half of 2026, outlining business highlights, financial performance, strategy, and earnings guidance. The agenda indicates a comprehensive update for investors, covering oper...

Capral posts solid 1H26 earnings and keeps guidance steady amid housing softness

Aug 23, 2026

Capral reported a solid first half 2026 performance, with sales volumes up 4% to 32,500 tonnes and revenue rising 14% to $372.8 million, helped by higher aluminium prices and premiums. Underlying EBIT increased to $16.7 million, EBITDA to $30.3 milli...

Capral to Unveil 1H26 Results with Investor Briefing

Aug 12, 2026

Capral Limited will release its financial results for the six months ending 30 June 2026 on 24 August, providing investors with an update on the performance of Australia’s largest aluminium extruder and distributor in the first half of the year...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026