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Metal Powder Works Limited (MPW) AI Stock Analysis

AU:MPW

Metal Powder Works Limited

(ASX:MPW)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:AUD 1.50â–²(7.14% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:09/06/26

The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance—sharp revenue decline, deepening losses (including negative gross profit), and persistent negative operating/free cash flow with worsening burn in 2026. Technicals add further pressure with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is not supportive because the negative P/E is driven by losses and there is no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Low leverageModest debt relative to equity reduces near-term balance-sheet stress and preserves some financial flexibility. This gives the company greater capacity to manage operating volatility or support recovery efforts than a similarly loss-making business carrying substantial leverage.
Negative Factors
Revenue declineSustained revenue contraction, culminating in an approximately 40% decline in 2026, signals weakening business scale and reduced absorption of fixed costs. Without a durable reversal, lower sales will continue to constrain operating leverage, investment capacity, and the path toward profitability.

Metal Powder Works Limited (MPW) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%AU:MPW-48.15%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 210.10M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
104.17K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-13.1
Beta (1Y)
2.77
Revenue Growth
-9.99%
EPS Growth
-245.74%
Country
Australia
Employees
355
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Metal Powder Works Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Metal Powder Works Limited produces metal powders for additive manufacturing and other advanced applications. Its powder portfolio includes aluminum and copper alloys, zirconium, titanium, and specialty alloys, such as CP-Ti and Zircaloy. The company...

Metal Powder Works Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financials are weak: revenue has trended down and fell sharply in 2026 (~-40% YoY), profitability deteriorated to deep losses with negative gross profit, and both operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative with worsening cash burn in 2026. The main offset is relatively low leverage and improved (positive) equity in 2025–2026, but losses and cash consumption dominate.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

18Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.74M1.65M1.60M2.21M3.10M3.70M
Gross Profit-866.11K-2.45M334.84K823.97K1.59M-3.27M
EBITDA-8.43M-10.56M-5.56M-702.20K-5.33M-5.90M
Net Income-11.27M-12.38M-6.19M-1.15M-6.43M-5.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.65M16.03M10.33M3.48M5.48M6.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.31M10.52M6.31M188.69K1.56M3.77M
Total Debt338.78K233.80K1.07M3.56M3.51M437.32K
Total Liabilities1.30M1.99M2.10M4.49M6.72M2.19M
Stockholders Equity19.35M14.05M8.22M-1.01M-1.23M4.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.78M-10.26M-3.07M-2.02M-4.79M-4.84M
Operating Cash Flow-5.90M-7.29M-2.54M-1.98M-4.53M-4.68M
Investing Cash Flow-2.65M-2.97M-301.04K109.33K-266.02K-154.53K
Financing Cash Flow28.42M14.09M8.96M1.35M1.88M3.50M

Metal Powder Works Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.40

Price Trends

50DMA1.66Negative
100DMA1.80Negative
200DMA2.11Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Positive
RSI33.42Neutral
STOCH22.11Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MPW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.59, below the 50-day MA of 1.66, and below the 200-day MA of 2.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MPW.

Metal Powder Works Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:MPW against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:BISAU:BIS76OutperformAUD 198.07M11.7122.20%9.12%-10.61%-14.62%
AU:CAAAU:CAA76OutperformAUD 204.58M5.8414.63%2.25%10.28%14.73%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:BRIAU:BRI58NeutralAUD 100.31M19.914.34%3.74%5.27%―
AU:OMHAU:OMH51NeutralAUD 171.97M3.587.74%―-13.27%―
AU:MPWAU:MPW42NeutralAUD 210.19M-13.07-67.53%―-9.99%-245.74%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%AU:MPWAU:BISAU:OMHAU:BRIAU:CAADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:MPW and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:MPWMetal Powder Works Limited1.40-1.50-51.72%
AU:BISBisalloy Steel Group Ltd4.10-0.57-12.17%
AU:OMHOM Holdings Ltd.0.23-0.02-10.00%
AU:BRIBig River Industries Ltd.1.06-0.32-23.27%
AU:CAACapral Limited13.022.0618.82%

Metal Powder Works Limited Corporate Events

Metal Powder Works Sets AGM to Advance Governance and Capital Flexibility

Oct 30, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited, listed on the ASX and headquartered operationally in Pittsburgh, U.S., specialises in producing high-quality metal powders for additive manufacturing and advanced industrial uses. The company’s patented DirectPowder...

Metal Powder Works Hits Commercial Inflection Point With Embassy Deal and Capacity Push

Oct 29, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited reported that its September quarter marked a commercial inflection point, with powder sales for production use rising to more than 80% of revenue and a cash balance of A$6.9 million. Active customers and pipeline leads incr...

Metal Powder Works Appoints Joint Company Secretaries as It Advances Additive Manufacturing Powders

Oct 22, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited, listed on the ASX as MPW, operates a manufacturing base in Pittsburgh in the U.S. and specialises in high-quality metal powders for additive manufacturing and other advanced applications. The company’s patented Direc...

Metal Powder Works Secures First Long-Term Copper Supply Deal With Embassy

Sep 29, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited has signed its first long-term sales agreement with Embassy Powdered Metals Inc., converting an initial August order into a two-year contract to supply pure copper powder for copper infiltration in press-and-sinter applicat...

Metal Powder Works Issues 300,000 Unquoted Performance Rights Under Employee Scheme

Sep 17, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited has issued 300,000 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, effective from September 16, 2026. The rights are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until those restrictio...

Metal Powder Works Files Updated ASX Corporate Governance Statement

Aug 31, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited has lodged its corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 with the ASX, making the document available via its investor website in line with listing rule requirements. The statement, current as of 31 Augu...

Metal Powder Works Doubles Loss as Revenue Grows and Asset Backing Strengthens

Aug 31, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited reported a 40.0% increase in revenues from ordinary activities to $469,324 for the year ended 30 June 2026, reflecting ongoing growth in its metal powders business despite a relatively modest sales base. The company did not...

Metal Powder Works to Wind Down Legacy Welding Arm as FY26 Loss Rises on Non-Cash Charge

Aug 31, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited has released its audited financial statements and Annual Report for the year ended 30 June 2026, detailing the impact of a strategic shift toward its core metal powder operations. In line with this focus, the company has re...

MPW Wins U.S. Army Qualification for 6061 Aluminium Powder in Cold Spray Repairs

Aug 25, 2026

Metal Powder Works has had its 6061 aluminium powder qualified by the U.S. Army Combat Capabilities Development Command for production cold spray repairs, following testing by the University of Dayton Research Institute that showed performance superi...

Metal Powder Works issues cleansing notice for recent ASX securities

Aug 11, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited has issued a cleansing statement to the ASX confirming that recently issued securities were offered without a prospectus under the Corporations Act disclosure exemptions. The company stated it is compliant with its financia...

Metal Powder Works Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Shares

Aug 11, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited, listed on the ASX under the code MPW, is an Australian company whose ordinary fully paid shares are traded on the local securities market. The company operates within the broader industrial and manufacturing sphere, with i...

Metal Powder Works Fast-Tracks Capacity Expansion on Growing Market Demand

Aug 10, 2026

Metal Powder Works is accelerating its capacity expansion program, bringing forward its target of approximately 800 metric tonnes of installed annual capacity from 2028 to the first half of 2027 after successful commercial-scale validation of its Nex...

Metal Powder Works to Brief Investors on June Quarter Progress

Aug 2, 2026

Metal Powder Works Limited, a specialty materials producer of high-quality metal powders for additive manufacturing and advanced industrial uses, is expanding its presence in the global advanced manufacturing market. From its manufacturing base in Pi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2026