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Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) AI Stock Analysis

AU:AGR

Aguia Resources Limited

(ASX:AGR)

Select Model
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.01â–²(37.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/09/26

The low overall score is driven primarily by persistent losses, heavy and ongoing cash burn, and the pre-production nature of the assets despite a modestly leveraged, equity-supported balance sheet. Technical indicators show a gentle downward trend with subdued momentum, and the negative P/E with no dividend means the stock offers no current earnings or income support, reinforcing its high-risk, early-stage profile.

Positive Factors
Low leverageLow leverage reduces fixed financial obligations and gives Aguia greater flexibility to fund exploration, development, or corporate needs without the burden of substantial debt service. This provides a useful resilience buffer while projects remain loss-making and cash flow is negative.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burnSustained operating and free-cash-flow outflows mean the business is not currently self-funding its activities. Continued cash burn can require external capital, reduce flexibility in developing projects, and increase execution pressure unless operating performance improves materially.

Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%AU:AGR-56.52%EWA+15.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 19.20M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
3.14M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.5
Beta (1Y)
0.16
Revenue Growth
95.19%
EPS Growth
-139.13%
Country
Australia
Employees
10
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Industrial Materials

Aguia Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aguia Resources Limited is an Australian firm dedicated to the exploration and advancement of mineral resource projects throughout Brazil, with a primary focus on uncovering phosphate and copper deposits. Its principal undertakings include the Três E...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Aguia Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak, with small and recently emerged revenue, deeply negative margins, volatile and sizable operating losses, and consistently negative operating and free cash flows, partly offset by a growing, mostly equity-funded asset base and modest leverage.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue555.18K555.18K299.23K000
Gross Profit-1.66M-1.66M299.23K-9,004-8,886-8,307
EBITDA-6.99M-6.99M-2.55M-5.79M-2.29M-2.00M
Net Income-9.54M-9.54M-2.76M-5.80M-2.24M-1.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets59.62M59.62M48.11M37.28M34.33M32.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.54M1.54M579.41K1.01M437.81K3.73M
Total Debt4.26M4.26M5.73M190.00K00
Total Liabilities7.49M7.49M6.94M933.55K256.85K730.75K
Stockholders Equity52.13M52.13M41.17M36.35M34.08M31.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.97M-8.97M-10.32M-2.65M-4.69M-3.57M
Operating Cash Flow-6.89M-6.89M-2.03M-2.06M-2.08M-1.34M
Investing Cash Flow-6.46M-6.46M-8.28M-499.32K-2.61M-2.23M
Financing Cash Flow14.31M14.31M9.87M3.13M1.39M2.90M

Aguia Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.01

Price Trends

50DMA0.01Negative
100DMA0.02Negative
200DMA0.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI36.62Neutral
STOCH38.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AGR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, below the 50-day MA of 0.01, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AGR.

Aguia Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:AGR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:AGRAU:AGR41NeutralAUD 19.20M-1.45-19.48%―95.19%-139.13%
AU:MNBAU:MNB41NeutralAUD 24.99M-2.16-25.72%――18.68%
AU:AMNAU:AMN39UnderperformAUD 14.43M-7.71-6.36%――96.72%
AU:EVGAU:EVG38UnderperformAUD 11.33M-3.25-24.49%――58.33%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%AU:AGRAU:AMNAU:EVGAU:MNBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:AGR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:AGRAguia Resources Limited0.01-0.01-56.52%
AU:AMNAgrimin Limited0.04-0.04-50.67%
AU:EVGBlackEarth Minerals NL0.01-0.02-59.38%
AU:MNBMinbos Resources Limited0.02-0.03-60.98%

Aguia Resources Limited Corporate Events

Aguia pushes ahead at Três Estradas as sales grow and Passo Feio advances

Oct 8, 2026

Aguia Resources reported that operations at its Três Estradas phosphate project in Rio Grande do Sul are continuing normally, with 825 tonnes of Pampafos sold since mid-September at an average A$192 per tonne and a 30,000-tonne ore stockpile at...

Aguia Hits Record Gold Output at Santa Barbara as Ramp-Up Plans Advance

Oct 5, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited reported record monthly gold production at its Santa Barbara project in Colombia, with 105 tonnes of ore yielding about 37 ounces of gold and generating A$218,000 in revenue, enough to cover local corporate and operating costs...

Aguia Resources Files 2026 ASX Corporate Governance Disclosures

Sep 30, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has lodged its Appendix 4G and corporate governance statement for the financial year ended 30 June 2026, confirming compliance with key ASX Corporate Governance Council principles. The documents, approved by the board as at 26...

Aguia Resources Updates Leadership and Highlights Global Listings

Sep 30, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has updated its corporate profile, highlighting recent leadership changes with Tim Hosking appointed Managing Director on 7 January 2026 and Warwick Grigor transitioning to Non-Executive Chairman from an executive role. The co...

Aguia’s Santa Barbara Mine Hits Record Gold Grades and Output

Sep 16, 2026

Aguia Resources has reported record operational performance at its Santa Barbara gold-silver project in Colombia, with August production reaching 942 grams of gold from just 100 tonnes of ore and grades above 10 grams per tonne. These results confirm...

Aguia Set to Gain as Brazil Launches R$10bn Fertiliser Incentive

Aug 27, 2026

Brazil’s Federal Senate has approved the Fertiliser Industry Development Program, Profert, a R$10 billion, five-year initiative to boost domestic fertiliser production and reduce reliance on imports that currently supply more than 80% of the co...

Aguia Resources Issues 29.4 Million Unquoted Options

Aug 26, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has notified the market of a new issue of unquoted equity securities, specifically options with an expiry date of May 15, 2028 and an exercise price of $0.022. The issuance totals 29,400,000 options, which are part of previous...

Aguia Resources Withdraws Planned Issue of 1,000 Options

Aug 25, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has lodged an Appendix 3B with the ASX noting the cancellation of a previously proposed issue of 1,000 options. The latest filing, dated 25 August 2026, formally withdraws the earlier announcement from 14 August 2026 and confi...

Aguia Resources Plans Issue of 29.4 Million Options in New Capital Raising

Aug 24, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has lodged an Appendix 3B announcing a proposed issue of up to 29,400,000 options as part of a placement or similar capital raising structure. The options will form a new class of securities, with an exercise price of $0.022 a...

Aguia reveals concentrated ownership in 2028 options class

Aug 19, 2026

Aguia Resources has detailed the top 20 holders of its options expiring on May 15, 2028 at an exercise price of $0.022, revealing that these investors collectively control 171,390,000 options, or 69.94% of the class. The largest single holder, Palisa...

Aguia Seeks ASX Quotation for 245 Million Existing Options

Aug 17, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for the quotation of a new class of options, designated AGROA, representing 245,000,000 securities issued on 12 August 2026. The application covers the initial quotation of previously unquoted options al...

Aguia Resources Plans Targeted Issue of Long-Dated Options

Aug 14, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has lodged a notice with the ASX outlining a proposed non pro rata offer of new options to investors under a disclosure document or product disclosure statement. The company plans to issue up to 1,000 AGRAK options, each expir...

Aguia Resources Launches Targeted Options Offer to Support Secondary Trading

Aug 12, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has issued an options prospectus for up to 1,000 new options at an issue price and exercise price of $0.022 each, expiring on 15 May 2028 and convertible into fully paid ordinary shares on exercise. The offer is small in monet...

Aguia Resources Director Warwick Grigor Increases Indirect Shareholding Through On-Market Buys

Aug 7, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has reported changes in the indirect shareholdings of director Warwick Grigor, following a series of on-market purchases executed between 5 and 7 August 2026 through his associated entities, Gregorach Pty Limited as trustee fo...

Aguia Resources Begins Pampafós Production in Brazil and Lifts Gold Grades in Colombia

Jul 31, 2026

Aguia Resources reported a pivotal quarter in Brazil as it secured an operating licence for the Tres Estradas phosphate deposit, allowing mining and processing of its Pampafós product for the domestic market. The environmental and agricultural a...

Aguia Resources Expands Capital Base With New Share Issue

Jul 30, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has issued 176,782,522 fully paid ordinary shares and notified the market that these securities were issued without a prospectus or product disclosure statement, relying on provisions of the Corporations Act. The company also...

Aguia Resources Seeks ASX Quotation for 176.8 Million New Shares

Jul 29, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 176,782,522 ordinary fully paid shares under its AGR ticker. The new securities, issued as part of previously announced transactions, expand the company’s quoted share capital and...

Aguia Resources Plans Major Share Placement to Raise Capital

Jul 22, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has notified the ASX of a proposed placement of ordinary fully paid shares, with a maximum of 176,488,354 new securities to be issued. The issue is scheduled for 28 July 2026 and is intended to be quoted on the ASX, signaling...

Aguia Resources Raises $3 Million to Advance Phosphate and Gold Projects

Jul 22, 2026

Aguia Resources Limited has completed a $3 million capital raising via a placement of 176.5 million new shares at $0.017, representing a discount to the prior closing price and attracting strong demand from institutional and sophisticated investors....

Aguia boosts output and slashes costs at Santa Barbara gold project

Jul 13, 2026

Aguia Resources has reported its strongest operational performance yet at the Santa Barbara Gold Project, highlighting substantial gains in gold grades, recoveries and cost efficiencies. June output reached 851.9 grams of gold from 100 tonnes of high...

Aguia boosts Santa Barbara output and slashes costs as Phase 3 mining advances

Jul 12, 2026

Aguia Resources reported its strongest operational performance to date at the Santa Barbara Gold Project, with higher gold grades, improved recoveries and a notable lift in production from a 100-tonne batch of high-grade ore. The company achieved con...

Aguia Director Restructures Shareholdings as Options Expire

Jul 9, 2026

Aguia Resources has disclosed a change in director Christina McGrath’s interests, involving the transfer of 2,000,000 fully paid ordinary shares held in escrow from her personal name to Houtskar Pty Ltd , a company of which she is the sole dire...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026