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Astec (ASTE)
NASDAQ:ASTE
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Astec (ASTE) AI Stock Analysis

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ASTE

Astec

(NASDAQ:ASTE)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(4.78% Upside)
Astec's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong technical momentum and positive earnings call highlights. The successful integration of the TerraSource acquisition and improved operational metrics are significant strengths. However, challenges in revenue growth, profitability margins, and valuation concerns moderate the score.
Positive Factors
Successful Acquisition
The TerraSource acquisition enhances Astec's market presence and is expected to improve profit margins and earnings, contributing to long-term growth.
Improved Operational Efficiency
Increased EBITDA margins indicate better operational efficiency, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage over time.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Consistent positive free cash flow enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Decline in Equipment Sales
Declining equipment sales in key segments can impact revenue growth and market share, posing challenges to long-term profitability.
External Market Challenges
External market challenges, like high interest rates, can constrain growth and profitability, affecting the company's ability to expand and invest.
Decreased Backlog
A declining backlog suggests potential future revenue shortfalls, which could hinder the company's ability to maintain consistent growth.

Astec (ASTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Astec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAstec Industries, Inc. (ASTE) is a leading manufacturer of specialized equipment for the infrastructure and construction industries. The company operates in various sectors, including asphalt, concrete, and aggregate production. Astec's core products encompass a wide range of machinery, such as asphalt plants, concrete plants, and crushing equipment, which are designed to enhance productivity and efficiency in construction-related activities.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstec generates revenue primarily through the sale of its machinery and equipment to contractors and construction companies engaged in road building, site development, and other infrastructure projects. The company's revenue model is supported by several key streams: direct sales of equipment, aftermarket parts and services, and equipment rentals. Additionally, Astec benefits from significant partnerships with distributors and dealers, which help expand its market reach. The company also sees revenue from international markets, tapping into the growing demand for infrastructure development worldwide.

Astec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance, successful acquisition integration, and improved operational metrics. However, challenges such as declines in certain equipment sales and external market conditions provided some balance to the positive aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA and Earnings Growth
Adjusted EBITDA of $33.7 million increased by 22.1% over the second quarter of 2024, with an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of 220 basis points to 10.2%. Adjusted earnings per share rose 44.3% to $0.88.
Successful TerraSource Acquisition
The acquisition of TerraSource was completed, expected to be accretive from day 1, with aftermarket part sales representing 63% of total revenue and 80% of gross margin.
Improved Return on Invested Capital
Return on invested capital improved 61.1% since the second quarter of 2024, reaching 11.6%.
Positive Free Cash Flow
The company reported another quarter of positive free cash flow driven by increased profitability and strong working capital management.
Revenue Growth in Materials Solutions
Materials Solutions equipment sales increased by 4.9%, with a 39.2% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $14.2 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Infrastructure Solutions Equipment Sales
Equipment sales in the Infrastructure Solutions segment declined due to weak demand for forestry and mobile paving equipment.
Challenges from External Market Conditions
The company faced headwinds from high interest rates, a soft market for forestry and mobile paving equipment, and excessive rainfall affecting operations.
Decreased Backlog
Backlog stood at $380.8 million, declining sequentially by 5.4%, primarily due to shorter lead times and challenging market conditions.
Company Guidance
During the Astec Industries Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported strong financial metrics, reflecting successful strategic initiatives and acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 22.1% to $33.7 million, with a margin increase of 220 basis points to 10.2%, and adjusted earnings per share surged by 44.3% to $0.88. The backlog was $380.8 million, despite a 5.4% sequential decline due to shorter lead times and market challenges. Net sales for Materials Solutions remained stable at $125.7 million, while the adjusted EBITDA margin for the Infrastructure Solutions segment increased by 340 basis points to 15.7%. Astec raised the lower end of its full-year EBITDA guidance to $110 million, incorporating contributions from the recent TerraSource acquisition, expected to provide $13 million to $17 million in adjusted EBITDA. Return on invested capital improved by 61.1% year-over-year to 11.6%. The company navigated the tariff environment effectively, with minimal impact on costs, while maintaining strong free cash flow driven by profitability and working capital management.

Astec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Astec demonstrates a stable financial position with strengths in balance sheet management and improving operational efficiency. However, challenges remain in revenue growth and profitability margins. The company should focus on enhancing revenue streams and maintaining cash flow improvements to ensure long-term financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Astec's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 25%, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 1.15% TTM, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 1.15% TTM, which is a concern for future profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown slight improvement, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Astec's balance sheet is relatively strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16 TTM, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity has improved to 7.07% TTM, showing better utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, the company should focus on maintaining this stability amidst fluctuating revenue.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth at 13.19% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33 TTM, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio at 0.79 TTM indicates room for improvement in cash profitability. Overall, cash flow management is improving but still requires attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.31B1.31B1.34B1.27B1.10B1.02B
Gross Profit350.40M327.90M330.80M264.10M251.70M240.10M
EBITDA100.30M51.40M77.30M71.10M61.30M76.00M
Net Income45.90M4.30M33.50M-600.00K15.80M46.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.07B1.04B1.06B1.01B911.30M848.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.60M91.30M68.90M69.90M143.00M162.90M
Total Debt96.80M118.30M83.10M87.70M200.00K400.00K
Total Liabilities390.50M406.00M405.60M387.50M256.50M205.20M
Stockholders Equity674.90M637.80M653.40M626.90M654.80M643.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.50M2.50M-6.30M-114.60M-12.70M126.10M
Operating Cash Flow92.50M23.00M27.80M-73.90M7.40M141.50M
Investing Cash Flow-13.10M-18.00M-12.90M-53.20M-18.40M-20.90M
Financing Cash Flow-25.10M24.40M-18.30M60.10M-12.10M-10.40M

Astec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.72
Price Trends
50DMA
44.24
Positive
100DMA
42.22
Positive
200DMA
38.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Positive
RSI
56.64
Neutral
STOCH
38.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASTE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.05, above the 50-day MA of 44.24, and above the 200-day MA of 38.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASTE.

Astec Risk Analysis

Astec disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Astec reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Astec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$8.32B13.0414.60%1.53%0.41%-3.90%
71
Outperform
$1.09B23.917.02%1.09%1.17%
61
Neutral
$658.19M29.814.08%3.82%-7.11%-87.41%
58
Neutral
$491.35M-24.44-3.87%-1.29%-171.86%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASTE
Astec
47.72
16.20
51.40%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
14.61
-20.91
-58.87%
LNN
Lindsay
139.68
16.38
13.28%
TWI
Titan International
7.67
-0.46
-5.66%
WNC
Wabash National
9.92
-8.83
-47.09%
HY
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling
36.61
-25.21
-40.78%

Astec Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Astec Completes Acquisition of TerraSource Holdings
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Astec completed the acquisition of TerraSource Holdings, LLC for $245 million in cash, aiming to enhance its market presence and shareholder value. The acquisition is expected to improve Astec’s profit margins and earnings per share, with anticipated synergies and a proforma net leverage ratio of approximately 2.0x net debt/adjusted EBITDA by 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025