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Arkema SA (ARKAY) AI Stock Analysis

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ARKAY

Arkema SA

(Other OTC:ARKAY)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$67.00▲(2.86% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is held back primarily by weakened profitability and softening free-cash-flow trends despite manageable leverage. Offsetting factors include a cautiously improving technical picture and a constructive earnings call with maintained EBITDA guidance and disciplined CapEx, while valuation remains a notable risk due to the extremely high P/E even with a strong dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Specialty Materials mixA high contribution from Specialty Materials and continued volume growth indicate a stronger mix of differentiated products. Innovation and customer adoption in demanding applications can support more resilient earnings and improve the company’s competitive position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Compressed profitabilityVery low net profitability and the sharp decline in net income show that revenue has not translated efficiently into earnings. Weak bottom-line conversion reduces internal funding capacity and leaves results more exposed to further cost pressure or slower demand.

Arkema SA (ARKAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%ARKAY+12.37%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$4.97B
Dividend Yield
6.70%
Average Volume (3M)
1,081
Price to Earnings (P/E)
53.4
Beta (1Y)
0.82
Revenue Growth
3.38%
EPS Growth
-39.63%
Country
US
Employees
20,648
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Arkema SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Arkema SA engages in manufacturing and supplying chemical products. It operates through the following segments: Adhesive Solutions, Advanced Materials, Coating Solutions, Intermediates, and Corporate. The Adhesive Solutions segment supplies technolog...

How the Company Makes Money

Arkema makes money primarily by selling specialty chemicals and advanced materials to industrial customers under supply contracts and purchase orders, with revenue largely tied to shipment volumes and contract/market-based pricing. Key revenue stream...

Arkema SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.22%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Arkema delivered 8.1% sales growth, 7% EBITDA growth, 23% adjusted EPS growth, strong Specialty Materials performance, cost savings and maintained full-year guidance despite weak demand, inflation, geopolitical pressures and low-cycle conditions in acrylics. The principal negatives were subdued European and construction demand, declines in Primary Materials and Performance Additives, elevated working-capital needs and leverage, and slower-than-normal project ramp-up.

Positive Updates

Q3 Sales Growth
Q3 sales reached EUR 2.4 billion, up 8.1% year-on-year, driven primarily by a positive 6% price effect, while volumes increased 0.6% and currency had a positive 1.8% impact.

Negative Updates

Challenging Macroeconomic Environment
Management described the third-quarter environment as challenging, with sharply higher oil, raw-material, energy and logistics costs following renewed tension in the Middle East, alongside low visibility and weak demand.

Company Guidance

Arkema remains confident in its ability to deliver full year guidance with EBITDA slightly higher than last year at constant currency; major projects are expected to contribute an additional EUR 50 million of EBITDA in 2026 compared with last year, while CapEx is expected to be below EUR 600 million for the full year. The company expects inflation to have an adverse impact of around EUR 150 million on working capital for the full year 2026, and expects a little bit better ratio by year-end for leverage. For next year, there was no further CapEx update, though something quite similar could be expected, while project contributions could be around EUR 50 million if there is a continuation of the macro, or EUR 60 million, EUR 70 million, EUR 80 million if the macro is better; compared to the end of '24, Arkema plans to add the EUR 400 million that it has defined.

Arkema SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: revenue rebounded strongly, but profitability is compressed (thin net margin ~0.7% and sharply lower net income versus 2022–2023). Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.63) but returns are very low (ROE ~0.9%) and absolute debt is elevated. Cash flow is positive (TTM FCF ~$298M) but weakening (FCF down ~15%), limiting flexibility if margins don’t recover.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.09B8.71B9.54B9.51B11.55B9.52B
Gross Profit1.60B1.55B1.94B1.96B2.58B2.14B
EBITDA1.22B1.20B1.31B1.41B1.97B2.54B
Net Income83.99M60.51M354.00M418.00M965.00M1.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.40B14.24B15.21B14.52B13.51B12.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.56B2.20B2.01B2.04B1.59B2.29B
Total Debt5.13B5.36B4.55B4.28B3.26B2.76B
Total Liabilities7.92B8.01B7.45B7.06B6.17B5.95B
Stockholders Equity6.24B6.04B7.53B7.20B7.30B6.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow298.43M323.70M353.00M593.00M766.00M152.00M
Operating Cash Flow837.41M934.60M1.12B1.27B1.50B915.00M
Investing Cash Flow-542.81M-591.69M-940.00M-1.35B-2.34B473.00M
Financing Cash Flow-719.95M-251.66M-207.00M516.00M168.00M-652.00M

Arkema SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price65.14

Price Trends

50DMA63.85Positive
100DMA65.29Negative
200DMA65.94Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.44Negative
RSI59.50Neutral
STOCH63.01Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARKAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.03, above the 50-day MA of 63.85, and below the 200-day MA of 65.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARKAY.

Arkema SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

ARKAY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AVNTAVNT70Outperform$4.20B23.477.52%2.38%5.24%58.61%
FULFUL68Neutral$2.73B13.919.51%1.92%1.48%72.33%
EMNEMN65Neutral$7.49B11.7310.63%5.05%0.40%-6.58%
ESIESI62Neutral$7.95B40.297.39%0.94%39.62%-14.83%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
ASHASH61Neutral$3.52B852.440.21%2.18%2.08%―
ARKAYARKAY58Neutral$4.92B53.361.28%6.70%3.38%-39.63%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%ARKAYASHEMNFULAVNTESIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ARKAY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ARKAYArkema S.A.65.145.769.70%
ASHAshland Global Holdings, Inc.76.7225.0648.52%
EMNEastman Chemical Company66.516.7811.35%
FULH.B. Fuller Company50.65-6.97-12.09%
AVNTAvient Corporation46.2317.0058.15%
ESIElement Solutions34.057.5728.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026