Alpha and Omega AI Stock Analysis
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Alpha and Omega (AOSL) AI Stock Analysis
Alpha and Omega
(NASDAQ:AOSL)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (losses, sharply lower TTM revenue, and negative operating/free cash flow), partially cushioned by a low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals remain mixed-to-bearish with the stock below key longer-term moving averages. The earnings call improves the outlook somewhat due to AI/server-driven growth and improving margins, but offsets (PC/consumer weakness and regional pressures) keep the overall score below average.
Alpha and Omega Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyBreaks down Alpha and Omega’s sales by country or region to reveal market concentration, regional growth trends, and potential exposure to geopolitical or supply-chain issues. Understanding the regional mix helps gauge how resilient and diversified the business is.
Hong Kong is the company’s durable revenue base while China and “Other” are extremely volatile—big program-driven spikes in 2022–2024 gave way to a steep China/Other collapse in 2025—suggesting one‑off shipments and channel timing rather than sustainable demand. That collapse aligns with management’s call-out of China softness and memory headwinds; upside now depends on execution of higher‑margin computing/DMOS demand (management’s focus), increasing concentration risk if those investments don’t offset lost China consumer volumes.
The FlyAlpha and Omega (AOSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $925.50M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 593.06K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -19.9
- Beta (1Y)
- 2.69
- Revenue Growth
- -3.24%
- EPS Growth
- 52.31%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 2,519
- Sector
- Technology
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Semiconductors
Alpha and Omega Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) is a global enterprise that designs, develops, and supplies crucial power semiconductor solutions for a wide range of applications, including computing, consumer electronics, communication, and industrial...
How the Company Makes Money
AOSL makes money primarily by selling power semiconductor products to electronics manufacturers and original design manufacturers (ODMs) that integrate these components into end products. Key revenue streams come from (1) discrete power devices (e.g....
Alpha and Omega Earnings Call Summary
The call was broadly positive, supported by accelerating AI and server growth, strong communications and power supply performance, improved product mix and gross margin, positive operating cash flow, and expectations for year-over-year revenue growth in December. These gains were partly offset by a sharp traditional PC correction, continued consumer weakness, regional smartphone pressure, lower RIC revenue, and elevated component and memory costs.
Q1-2027 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For the December quarter, AOS expects revenue to be approximately $180 million plus or minus $10 million, GAAP gross margin to be 25.1% plus or minus 1%, non GAAP gross margin to be 25.7% plus or minus 1%, GAAP operating expenses to be $52 million plus or minus $1 million, non GAAP operating expenses to be $46 million plus or minus $1 million, interest income to be $400 thousand higher than interest expense, and income tax expense to be in the range of $1.1 million to $1.3 million; CapEx is expected to range from $12 million to $14 million. Advanced computing is expected to reach another quarterly revenue record, total computing revenue is anticipated to decline mid to high single digits sequentially, consumer revenue is expected to be flattish sequentially, communications revenue is expected to grow mid teens sequentially and more than 20% year over year, power supply and industrial revenue is expected to grow high single digits sequentially and more than 50% year over year, and total revenue is expected to be up slightly sequentially and up approximately 10% year over year.
Alpha and Omega Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financials are under pressure: the income statement shows a shift from prior profitability to sizable losses with a ~-6.9% TTM net margin and sharply lower TTM revenue (~-69.9%). Cash flow is also weak with negative TTM operating and free cash flow, though the balance sheet is a relative strength with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~3%).
Income Statement
28NegativeBalance Sheet
72PositiveCash Flow
32Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 674.18M | 678.93M | 696.16M | 657.27M | 691.32M | 777.55M |
| Gross Profit | 152.20M | 151.54M | 161.00M | 171.92M | 199.54M | 268.56M |
| EBITDA | 15.10M | 22.24M | 37.24M | 55.10M | 67.78M | 539.21M |
| Net Income | -46.29M | -42.27M | -96.98M | -11.08M | 12.36M | 453.16M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 960.78M | 963.55M | 1.03B | 1.15B | 1.20B | 1.30B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 175.22M | 180.77M | 153.08M | 175.13M | 195.19M | 314.35M |
| Total Debt | 25.67M | 27.98M | 50.91M | 67.21M | 78.80M | 97.51M |
| Total Liabilities | 160.44M | 165.65M | 211.97M | 253.41M | 315.82M | 444.54M |
| Stockholders Equity | 800.34M | 797.90M | 822.33M | 891.61M | 883.92M | 854.09M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -72.15M | -68.07M | -7.51M | -11.38M | -89.95M | 80.85M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -20.92M | -16.32M | 29.67M | 25.71M | 20.47M | 218.87M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -6.12M | 86.10M | -36.44M | -35.74M | -109.63M | -130.82M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -21.48M | -41.80M | -15.50M | -9.90M | -29.61M | 21.85M |
Alpha and Omega Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AOSL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.99, above the 50-day MA of 25.56, and below the 200-day MA of 30.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AOSL.
Alpha and Omega Risk Analysis
Alpha and Omega disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alpha and Omega reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksAlpha and Omega Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
DIOD65Neutral
ON65Neutral
VSH61Neutral
POWI58Neutral- AOSL49Neutral
NVTS45Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIOD | 65Neutral | $4.17B | 36.19 | 6.03% | ― | 24.16% | 81.80% |
| ON | 65Neutral | $28.66B | 41.65 | 9.26% | ― | 2.93% | 126.11% |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
| VSH | 61Neutral | $4.47B | 43.11 | 3.80% | 1.44% | 17.60% | ― |
| POWI | 58Neutral | $2.60B | 56.98 | 6.57% | 1.86% | 2.33% | 154.91% |
| AOSL | 49Neutral | $935.50M | -19.92 | -5.75% | ― | -3.24% | 52.31% |
| NVTS | 45Neutral | $2.71B | -6.92 | -54.32% | ― | -28.59% | -115.79% |
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOSL | Alpha And Omega Semiconductor | 30.53 | 13.06 | 74.76% | |
| DIOD | Diodes Inc | 91.60 | 47.86 | 109.42% | |
| ON | ON Semiconductor Corporation | 73.73 | 27.71 | 60.21% | |
| POWI | Power Integrations | 46.06 | 14.33 | 45.14% | |
| VSH | Vishay | 27.79 | 15.36 | 123.61% | |
| NVTS | Navitas Semiconductor Corporation | 9.56 | 1.83 | 23.67% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026