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The Andersons (ANDE) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Aug 04, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1The Company is subject to uncertainty regarding eligibility and monetization of Section 45Z Tax Credits
Section?45Z of the Internal Revenue Code provides a per-gallon tax credit for domestically produced transportation fuels, including ethanol, based on the carbon intensity of the fuel produced and sold. The credit applies to qualifying fuel produced after December?31,?2024, and sold through December?31,?2029. Treasury and the IRS have issued proposed regulations and other guidance interpreting statutory requirements for determining eligibility and credit amounts and IRS registration (generally through Form 637) at the time of production, with IRS guidance indicating a signed registration letter dated on or before January 1, 2025 is required to claim the credit for production beginning January 1, 2025. Our ability to qualify depends on consistently achieving certain lifecycle emissions and meeting prevailing wage and apprenticeship standards needed to receive the enhanced rate; otherwise, the credit amount is reduced to one-fifth of the higher value. Changes to lifecycle modeling assumptions and/or emissions tables could reduce or eliminate the benefits we expect. Even if we generate eligible credits, the economic value we ultimately realize remains uncertain. Section?45Z tax credits are transferable, but the transfer market is still developing, typically resulting in discounts to face value, and may require buyer diligence and insurance protections that could affect pricing and liquidity. Further, Section?45Z imposes extensive substantiation, certification, and recordkeeping requirements, and evolving IRS and Treasury guidance such as revisions to 45ZCF-GREET, emissions tables, or qualified-sale rules, may alter eligibility or reduce credit amounts. If we are unable to meet lifecycle emissions thresholds, prevailing wage or apprenticeship requirements or changing regulatory standards, we may be unable to qualify for or monetize Section?45Z tax credits in the amounts anticipated, which could adversely affect our results of operations and cash flows.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 23
- Manufacturing - Risk 1Our business involves considerable safety risks. Significant unexpected costs and liabilities would have an adverse effect on our profitability and overall financial position.
Due to the nature of some of the businesses in which we operate, we are exposed to significant operational hazards such as grain dust explosions, fires, malfunction of equipment, abnormal pressures, blowouts, pipeline and tank ruptures, chemical spills or run-off, transportation accidents, and natural disasters. Some of these operational hazards may cause personal injury or loss of life, severe damage to or destruction of property and equipment or environmental damage and may result in suspension of operations and the imposition of civil or criminal penalties. If grain dust were to explode at one of our elevators, if an ethanol plant were to explode or catch fire, or if one of our pieces of equipment were to fail or malfunction due to an accident or improper maintenance, it could put our employees and others at serious risk.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.
