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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD)
NYSE:AMTD
US Market
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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) AI Stock Analysis

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AMTD

AMTD IDEA Group

(NYSE:AMTD)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$0.59
▼(-22.86% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/09/26
Overall score reflects (1) uneven financial performance with weakened cash-flow quality and compressed ROE despite a manageable balance sheet, and (2) clearly bearish technicals with price trading below all major moving averages. A very low P/E supports valuation, but it is not enough to offset the fundamental cash-conversion concerns and negative momentum.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
Moderate leverage and a larger equity base provide AMTD IDEA with financial resilience as it funds its financial-services and ecosystem activities. This structure may offer greater flexibility to absorb operating volatility and pursue strategic investments without relying excessively on debt.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Weak operating cash conversion makes reported earnings less dependable as a source of internally generated funds. If this pattern persists, AMTD IDEA may have less cash available for reinvestment, debt servicing, or shareholder initiatives, increasing dependence on balance-sheet resources.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
Moderate leverage and a larger equity base provide AMTD IDEA with financial resilience as it funds its financial-services and ecosystem activities. This structure may offer greater flexibility to absorb operating volatility and pursue strategic investments without relying excessively on debt.
Read all positive factors

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AMTD IDEA Group functions as an investment holding company, primarily engaged in investment banking operations across various global regions, including Hong Kong, Mainland China, and the United States. The company structures its diverse business a...
How the Company Makes Money
AMTD IDEA Group primarily generates revenue from fee-based financial services and related activities. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Investment banking and corporate finance advisory fees—earned from advising companies on transactions ...

AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals. The balance sheet is reasonably supported by equity with manageable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.17 in 2024–2025), but operating performance has been inconsistent: revenue declined sharply from 2022–2024 before only a modest rebound in 2025, ROE has compressed to low single digits, and cash conversion is weak with operating cash flow coverage below 1 in 2024–2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.21M54.07M171.81M1.04B1.39B
Gross Profit24.92M24.45M122.67M1.06B761.82M
EBITDA91.47M75.49M168.52M1.37B1.35B
Net Income43.60M51.04M142.99M1.23B1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.30B2.07B1.49B8.27B6.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.40M87.86M120.23M1.08B526.26M
Total Debt292.42M283.49M96.55M20.58M64.24M
Total Liabilities385.38M369.89M193.02M454.49M898.05M
Stockholders Equity1.74B1.59B1.29B7.57B5.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.09M5.15M39.91M209.13M434.80M
Operating Cash Flow17.84M5.16M39.98M209.15M434.80M
Investing Cash Flow-174.97M-45.34M-266.97M-576.43M-358.70M
Financing Cash Flow145.47M-17.34M209.35M916.97M-6.66M

AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.77
Price Trends
50DMA
0.75
Negative
100DMA
0.85
Negative
200DMA
0.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
28.62
Positive
STOCH
31.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.72, above the 50-day MA of 0.75, and below the 200-day MA of 0.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.62 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMTD.

AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS. Q4, 2023
2.
We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities. Q4, 2023
3.
We face significant competition in all aspects of our business. Q4, 2023

AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.47B15.3371.16%0.74%22.91%21.48%
71
Outperform
$8.77B21.3317.78%2.07%1.59%-1.40%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$1.24B11.7710.71%1.51%20.97%16.24%
65
Neutral
$832.37M13.0911.02%0.00%――
54
Neutral
$1.45B48.28-14.08%1.84%-20.87%-66.62%
53
Neutral
$1.46B0.152.47%2.95%5.78%-10.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
0.59
-0.50
-45.83%
OPY
Oppenheimer Holdings
116.44
51.22
78.53%
HLI
Houlihan Lokey
125.53
-59.30
-32.08%
PJT
PJT Partners
135.80
-34.14
-20.09%
PWP
Perella Weinberg Partners
15.20
-3.16
-17.20%
BRBI
BRBI BR Partners S.A. Sponsored ADR
14.81
3.14
26.87%

AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events

AMTD IDEA Group to Implement ADS Ratio Change After NYSE Compliance Notice
Oct 6, 2026
AMTD IDEA Group said it will change the ratio of its American depositary shares to its Class A ordinary shares from one ADS representing six shares to one ADS representing 360 shares, effective on or about October 19, 2026, in a move equivalent to...
AMTD IDEA’s TGE Posts Profit Surge on Global Hotel Acquisitions in 1H 2026
Sep 30, 2026
On September 30, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group reported via a Form 6-K that its subsidiary, The Generation Essentials Group, released unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The filing underscores AMTD IDEA’s role in co-est...
AMTD IDEA Warned by NYSE Over Sub-US$1 ADS Price, Faces Six-Month Cure Period
Aug 7, 2026
On August 7, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group disclosed that the New York Stock Exchange notified the company that its American depositary shares had fallen below the NYSE’s minimum US$1.00 average closing price requirement over a 30 trading-day period...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026