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AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) AI Stock Analysis

AMTD

AMTD IDEA Group

(NYSE:AMTD)

Select Model
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:$19.50â–²(2.47% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/25/26

AMTD's score is primarily constrained by its structurally smaller and more volatile earnings and cash-flow base, despite low leverage and continued profitability. Weak technical momentum also weighs on the result, while the exceptionally low provided P/E ratio provides meaningful support.

Positive Factors
Hospitality expansionThe hotel acquisitions broaden AMTD IDEA’s revenue base and add operating assets across major global markets. Hospitality growth and integration with branded lifestyle concepts could reduce reliance on volatile investment gains while creating a more diversified platform over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversionWeak operating cash flow relative to reported earnings raises concern about the quality and repeatability of profit generation. If this persists, internally generated funds may be less dependable for investment, debt service and shareholder returns, limiting financial flexibility despite reported profitability.

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%AMTD-69.06%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$4.06M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
27.70K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
0.0
Beta (1Y)
0.74
Revenue Growth
14.26%
EPS Growth
-66.36%
Country
US
Employees
166
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Investment - Banking & Investment Services

AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AMTD IDEA Group functions as an investment holding company, primarily engaged in investment banking operations across various global regions, including Hong Kong, Mainland China, and the United States. The company structures its diverse business acti...

How the Company Makes Money

AMTD IDEA Group primarily generates revenue from fee-based financial services and related activities. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Investment banking and corporate finance advisory fees—earned from advising companies on transactions suc...

AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall: revenue, net income, and cash generation have contracted sharply, although the company remains profitable, generates positive free cash flow, and maintains low leverage.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.20M57.21M54.07M171.81M1.04B1.39B
Gross Profit24.92M24.92M24.45M122.67M1.06B761.82M
EBITDA65.85M91.47M75.49M168.52M1.37B1.35B
Net Income41.40M43.60M51.04M142.99M1.23B1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.30B2.30B2.07B1.49B8.27B6.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.40M59.40M87.86M120.23M1.08B526.26M
Total Debt292.42M292.42M283.49M96.55M20.58M64.24M
Total Liabilities385.38M385.38M369.89M193.02M454.49M898.05M
Stockholders Equity1.74B1.74B1.59B1.29B7.57B5.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow017.09M5.15M39.91M209.13M434.80M
Operating Cash Flow017.84M5.16M39.98M209.15M434.80M
Investing Cash Flow0-174.97M-45.34M-266.97M-576.43M-358.70M
Financing Cash Flow0145.47M-17.34M209.35M916.97M-6.66M

AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price19.03

Price Trends

50DMA38.20Negative
100DMA45.18Negative
200DMA52.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.50Positive
RSI31.13Neutral
STOCH1.59Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.14, below the 50-day MA of 38.20, and below the 200-day MA of 52.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMTD.

AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS.Q4, 2023
2.We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities.Q4, 2023
3.We face significant competition in all aspects of our business.Q4, 2023

AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

AMTD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HLIHLI77Outperform$9.60B24.1617.54%1.78%-0.45%-5.71%
PJTPJT73Outperform$3.83B17.1071.16%0.65%22.91%21.48%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
BRBIBRBI65Neutral$763.93M7.8419.97%13.81%――
OPYOPY61Neutral$914.44M10.198.86%2.10%14.18%1.45%
PWPPWP61Neutral$1.40B31.97-51.19%1.94%2.45%-41.28%
AMTDAMTD49Neutral$1.50B0.001.40%―14.26%-66.36%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%AMTDOPYHLIPJTPWPBRBIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AMTD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AMTDAmtd Idea Group19.12-45.08-70.22%
OPYOppenheimer Holdings83.7718.7328.81%
HLIHoulihan Lokey Inc.146.44-29.53-16.78%
PJTPjt Partners Inc.153.58-8.83-5.44%
PWPPerella Weinberg Partners14.47-3.95-21.43%
BRBIBRBI BR Partners S.A. Sponsored ADR7.30-5.77-44.16%

AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events

AMTD IDEA’s Half-Year 2026 Results Highlight US$2.6 Billion Asset Base and Aggressive Global Hospitality Expansion

Oct 23, 2026

AMTD IDEA Group reported unaudited results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, highlighting a major expansion of its hospitality portfolio and balance sheet. During the first half of 2026, the company acquired and integrated premier hotels in New...

AMTD IDEA Group to Implement ADS Ratio Change After NYSE Compliance Notice

Oct 6, 2026

AMTD IDEA Group said it will change the ratio of its American depositary shares to its Class A ordinary shares from one ADS representing six shares to one ADS representing 360 shares, effective on or about October 19, 2026, in a move equivalent to a...

AMTD IDEA’s TGE Posts Profit Surge on Global Hotel Acquisitions in 1H 2026

Sep 30, 2026

On September 30, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group reported via a Form 6-K that its subsidiary, The Generation Essentials Group, released unaudited interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The filing underscores AMTD IDEA’s role in co-establ...

AMTD IDEA Warned by NYSE Over Sub-US$1 ADS Price, Faces Six-Month Cure Period

Aug 7, 2026

On August 7, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group disclosed that the New York Stock Exchange notified the company that its American depositary shares had fallen below the NYSE’s minimum US$1.00 average closing price requirement over a 30 trading-day period, p...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2026