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Aeries Technology (AERT) AI Stock Analysis

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AERT

Aeries Technology

(NASDAQ:AERT)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$4.50â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/14/26

AERT scores in the lower-middle range, driven primarily by a fragile financial foundation: despite a genuine turnaround featuring restored profitability, $8.6M of free cash flow and halved debt, shareholders' equity remains negative and gross margins have eroded, leaving little buffer against a downturn. Technicals compound the caution, with the stock below all key moving averages and a negative MACD, though oversold RSI and Stochastic readings suggest selling may be stretched. A low 6.7x P/E offers valuation support and reflects a market yet to credit the earnings recovery, but the absence of a dividend and revenue concentration in North America add risk. Sustained margin stability and a return to positive book value are the key catalysts to watch.

Positive Factors
Service PortfolioA broad technology-enabled services portfolio addresses recurring operational and transformation needs for private-equity portfolio companies and mid-market enterprises. This range can support cross-selling, deepen client relationships, and provide multiple avenues for durable demand as customers pursue efficiency and scalability.
Negative Factors
Negative EquityNegative stockholders’ equity leaves the capital structure financially pressured despite sizable total assets. It reduces balance-sheet flexibility, makes leverage metrics unfavorable, and raises refinancing and covenant risk if operating performance weakens again, potentially constraining investment and strategic choices.

Aeries Technology Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyWhere the company earns its sales across countries or regions, highlighting which markets drive growth and where revenue is concentrated. For Aeries Technology, a heavy reliance on a single region or customer base can increase vulnerability to local education budget cuts, policy changes, or slower adoption, while geographic expansion points to new growth opportunities and scalability. Also reveals exposure to currency swings and helps show where the company should focus sales, support, and investment.

$0.00$5.00M$10.00M$15.00M$20.00MJun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

North America is the clear growth engine—recovering to new highs by Mar‑2026 after a pronounced mid‑2025 quarter dip, which looks more like contract timing or lumpiness than structural weakness. APAC & Other collapsed in mid‑2024 and, while slowly recovering, remains a very small share of revenue. The company’s topline is highly concentrated in North America, so investor risk centers on timing of large deals and the lack of meaningful international diversification unless management accelerates expansion or builds more recurring revenue.

Data provided by:The Fly

Aeries Technology (AERT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%AERT-9.27%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$23.62M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
19.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.7
Beta (1Y)
1.16
Revenue Growth
11.60%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
1,692
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Consulting Services

Aeries Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aeries Technology, Inc., a professional services and consulting firm founded in 2012 and based in Orem, Utah, operates on both a domestic (United States) and international scale. The company delivers specialized management consultancy to private equi...

Aeries Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 02, 2025(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-51.92%|Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlighted strong execution in core markets and successful strategic shifts, resulting in exceeding EBITDA guidance. However, the overall revenue decline and significant losses indicate ongoing challenges. The sentiment is balanced between positive strategic achievements and financial setbacks.

Positive Updates

Exceeded EBITDA Guidance
Aeries Technology ended the fiscal year 2025 with a core adjusted EBITDA of $7.4 million, surpassing the guidance of $6 million to $7 million, underscoring the strength of their focused execution and realignment efforts.

Negative Updates

Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue for fiscal year 2025 was $70.2 million, a decline from $72.5 million in FY 2024, driven by the exit from the Middle East business.

Company Guidance

During the Aeries Technology Full Year 2025 Earnings and Business Update Call, the company reported surpassing its core adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6 million to $7 million, achieving $7.4 million for the fiscal year, reflecting a 365% increase from the previous year. Aeries' total revenue for FY 2025 was $70.2 million, with North American revenue growing 15% year-over-year to $65.5 million, despite a slight overall revenue decline due to exiting the Middle East market. The company ended the year with a net loss of $21.6 million, gross profit of $16.7 million (23.8% margin), and adjusted EBITDA of negative $4.7 million. Aeries anticipates revenues of $74 million to $80 million and adjusted EBITDA of $6 million to $8 million for FY 2026, driven by a focus on North American markets and the expansion of their Global Capability Center model.

Aeries Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Aeries Technology is executing a credible turnaround: revenue has re-accelerated to $77.4M on a TTM basis, profitability has returned ($3.9M net income, ~5% net margin) after a heavy fiscal 2025 loss, and free cash flow has swung to a healthy $8.6M with minimal capital spending (Cash Flow Score 70). Debt has been cut roughly in half to $9.1M. However, the balance sheet remains the weak link (Score 32) with shareholders' equity still negative at -$1.6M, leaving no equity cushion, and the income statement (Score 55) shows compressed gross margins (24.5% vs ~30% in FY2024) and historically erratic profitability. The direction is positive, but the foundation is still fragile.

Income Statement

55Neutral

Balance Sheet

32Negative

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Jun 2025Sep 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.39M70.01M70.20M72.51M53.10M41.01M
Gross Profit18.93M17.30M16.72M21.64M13.66M12.01M
EBITDA8.14M6.76M-20.53M20.94M4.12M7.59M
Net Income3.85M2.55M-19.71M15.66M1.45M4.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.17M41.89M39.83M49.41M34.40M18.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.84M4.88M2.76M2.08M1.13M351.00K
Total Debt9.87M14.46M17.86M16.37M8.80M1.99M
Total Liabilities38.83M44.48M45.94M50.59M20.93M10.17M
Stockholders Equity-1.64M-3.03M-5.80M-12.24M12.19M7.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.64M5.66M-2.49M-5.82M511.00K1.51M
Operating Cash Flow9.12M6.77M-1.01M-4.30M2.11M3.16M
Investing Cash Flow-946.00K-1.42M-858.00K-1.74M-1.56M-437.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.95M-3.02M2.43M7.06M252.00K-3.54M

Aeries Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.50

Price Trends

50DMA6.43Negative
100DMA6.65Negative
200DMA5.52Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.47Positive
RSI34.66Neutral
STOCH31.77Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AERT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.69, below the 50-day MA of 6.43, and below the 200-day MA of 5.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AERT.

Aeries Technology Risk Analysis

Aeries Technology disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aeries Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Aeries Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

AERT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
FCFC59Neutral$167.49M33.8110.57%―-2.10%87.92%
AERTAERT50Neutral$21.46M6.68-177.97%―11.60%―
RGPRGP45Neutral$93.35M-1.96-25.92%10.49%-19.60%76.21%
VCIGVCIG45Neutral$2.20M-0.02-31.63%―――
FORRFORR42Neutral$166.05M-3.87-38.73%―-7.68%47.26%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%50%AERTFORRFCRGPGRNQVCIGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AERT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AERTAeries Technology, Inc.4.50-0.70-13.46%
FORRForrester Research9.131.8425.24%
FCFranklin Covey14.54-0.12-0.82%
RGPResources Connection Inc.2.67-1.79-40.15%
GRNQGreenpro Capital7.44-8.76-54.07%
VCIGVCI Global Limited3.76-18464.25-99.98%

Aeries Technology Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing

Aeries Technology Enters Settlement Agreement with Sea Otter Trading

Neutral
Nov 5, 2026

On August 3, 2026, Aeries Technology, Inc. agreed with Sea Otter Trading, LLC, to amend maturity payments under an OTC equity prepaid forward transaction, providing for a $100,000 initial payment, $75,000 monthly principal payments beginning Septembe...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2026