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Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) AI Stock Analysis

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ADRNY

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize

(Other OTC:ADRNY)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:$41.00▲(4.91% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

ADRNY scores a 65 primarily on sound financial performance (steady revenue, improved leverage, and strong ongoing cash generation) but with notable volatility flags (negative TTM FCF growth and less clean debt comparability). Technicals are supportive in the short-to-intermediate term but capped by being below the 200-day average and overbought stochastic readings. Valuation is fair with a supportive dividend, while the latest earnings call tempers the outlook due to a material cybersecurity-driven Q4 and reduced full-year guidance.

Positive Factors
Market PositionStrong local market positions and broad share gains support customer traffic, supplier relevance, and purchasing scale. This competitive footprint can help Ahold Delhaize defend its proposition, sustain repeat shopping, and fund continued investment across stores and digital channels over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin ProfitabilityGrocery retail remains a low-margin business, leaving limited room for execution errors, cost inflation, or aggressive price competition. Although profitability improved versus 2024, margins remain thin and below the stronger prior level, constraining the durability of earnings expansion.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%ADRNY-4.42%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$34.24B
Dividend Yield
3.74%
Average Volume (3M)
146.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.7
Beta (1Y)
-0.03
Revenue Growth
5.02%
EPS Growth
19.15%
Country
US
Employees
390,000
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Grocery Stores

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. is a prominent retail and e-commerce enterprise, primarily conducting its operations across the United States and Europe. The company's diverse physical footprint encompasses various retail formats, such as supermarket...

How the Company Makes Money

Ahold Delhaize makes money primarily by selling groceries and everyday consumer goods to retail customers through a mix of brick-and-mortar stores and online channels. The core revenue stream is product sales at its supermarket banners (e.g., nationa...

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:8.56%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call highlighted positive underlying execution, including volume growth, market share gains, strong online performance, productivity improvements, cash generation and strategic investment. However, the cybersecurity incident created a material near-term financial impact and contributed to a lower full-year outlook, while U.S. sales and margins faced several external headwinds and Serbia and bol experienced operating challenges. The positive underlying trends were substantial but broadly balanced by the cybersecurity disruption and outlook reduction.

Positive Updates

Positive Volume Growth and Market Share Gains
Despite a challenging customer environment, Ahold Delhaize reported positive volume growth in both regions, market share gains across key markets, and healthy profitability while continuing to invest in its customer propositions.

Negative Updates

Continuing SNAP and IRA Effects
Management expects SNAP and Inflation Reduction Act effects to continue into the following year, although at lower levels. The full-year SNAP impact remains estimated at approximately 60 to 80 basis points.

Company Guidance

For full year 2026, Ahold Delhaize now anticipates an underlying operating margin of approaching 4%, with diluted underlying EPS at constant rates growing at a low single-digit rate, and expects free cash flow of around EUR 2.1 billion, including a EUR 200 million impact split 50-50 between Serbia and the cyber impact; it aims for mid-single-digit dividend per share growth in 2026 and confirmed the continuation of its EUR 1 billion annual share buyback program in 2027. For Q4, the cybersecurity incident is expected to impact net sales between EUR 200 million and EUR 250 million and underlying operating income by EUR 75 million to EUR 100 million, with approximately 80% of the expected sales impact in Europe and 20% in the U.S.; the full year expectation for SNAP remains unchanged at approximately 60 to 80 basis points, while the Inflation Reduction Act headwind is expected to remain broadly similar in Q4, egg deflation should moderate, no further effects from Cyclospora are anticipated, and SNAP might still create some quarterly variability.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are solid but not flawless: steady ~€92B TTM revenue and modest profitability improvement versus 2024 support the score, and the balance sheet shows materially lower leverage (debt/equity ~0.34x TTM). Offsetting this, industry margins remain thin, TTM free-cash-flow growth is sharply negative, and the abrupt step-change in total debt reduces comparability and adds trend uncertainty.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

61Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.02B92.35B89.36B88.73B86.98B75.60B
Gross Profit24.52B24.51B23.80B23.85B23.30B20.68B
EBITDA7.30B6.73B6.48B6.50B7.27B6.34B
Net Income2.28B2.26B1.76B1.87B2.55B2.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.86B49.09B51.84B47.82B48.55B45.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.93B3.93B6.17B3.48B3.21B3.13B
Total Debt4.85B18.40B20.34B17.79B17.67B17.09B
Total Liabilities35.48B34.89B36.39B33.07B33.15B31.99B
Stockholders Equity14.38B14.20B15.45B14.76B15.40B13.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.46B4.15B3.92B3.99B3.62B3.10B
Operating Cash Flow6.73B6.99B6.22B6.47B6.11B5.47B
Investing Cash Flow-2.34B-3.58B-1.73B-2.21B-2.01B-2.63B
Financing Cash Flow-4.73B-5.68B-1.98B-3.78B-4.19B-3.05B

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price39.08

Price Trends

50DMA36.52Positive
100DMA37.55Positive
200DMA40.93Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.65Negative
RSI65.81Neutral
STOCH93.01Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADRNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.17, above the 50-day MA of 36.52, and below the 200-day MA of 40.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADRNY.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Risk Analysis

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

ADRNY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
WMKWMK70Outperform$2.04B19.777.37%1.68%4.06%6.87%
ADRNYADRNY65Neutral$33.70B13.6515.78%3.74%5.02%19.15%
SFMSFM63Neutral$4.51B9.6333.82%―5.25%0.53%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
IMKTAIMKTA62Neutral$1.58B15.096.30%0.78%1.02%84.32%
ACIACI54Neutral$6.21B-433.67-2.78%5.07%2.26%-106.73%
KRKR46Neutral$40.51B37.5617.17%2.07%1.58%-53.21%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%ADRNYIMKTAKRWMKSFMACIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ADRNY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ADRNYKoninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.39.08-2.16-5.25%
IMKTAIngles Markets Inc84.3611.6015.94%
KRKroger Company69.494.987.72%
WMKWeis Markets80.8615.9724.61%
SFMSprouts Farmers Market50.56-31.13-38.11%
ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.13.01-4.14-24.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026