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Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAPY) AI Stock Analysis

ADAPY

Adaptimmune Therapeutics

(Other OTC:ADAPY)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$0.03â–²(51.22% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:12/25/25

The very low overall score reflects severe financial strain—shrinking revenue, negative equity, and heavy cash burn—combined with a pronounced downward price trend and only limited oversold indications, while traditional valuation metrics offer no offsetting strength given the ongoing losses and lack of dividend.

Positive Factors
Gross Margin StrengthA 98% TTM gross margin suggests the SPEAR T‑cell platform can capture significant value per unit of revenue and offers high structural operating leverage. If clinical programs and partnerships scale, high gross margins support durable profitability expansion once fixed R&D costs are amortized.
Negative Factors
Steep Revenue DeclineA ~64% TTM revenue drop indicates material setbacks or lumpy partner payments that weaken revenue predictability. Persistent top‑line decline undermines ability to scale fixed investments, erodes bargaining leverage in partnerships, and constrains the timeline for converting high gross margins into sustainable operating profits.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%ADAPY-27.78%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.46M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
191.08K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
-7.98
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
272
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Adaptimmune Therapeutics plc is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company specializing in innovative cell therapies for cancer patients, primarily operating in the United States and the United Kingdom. Its pipeline includes TECELRA (also known as...

How the Company Makes Money

Adaptimmune Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through collaborations and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales of therapies developed in partnership. T...

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025(Q1-2025)|% Change Since:-93.05%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

Adaptimmune reported a very successful launch of TECELRA with strong initial sales and effective patient access. The early activation of treatment centers and manufacturing success further support their positive outlook. However, financial challenges remain with doubts about their ability to continue as a going concern.

Positive Updates

Strong TECELRA Launch with Revenue Guidance
Adaptimmune reported a successful launch of TECELRA with 21 patients apheresed in 2025, 13 in Q1 and 8 in early Q2. They provided revenue guidance for the full year of $35 million to $45 million in TECELRA sales.

Negative Updates

Substantial Doubt About Going Concern
The company reported substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern, indicating less than 12 months of cash available and uncertainty in cash runway guidance.

Company Guidance

In the first quarter of 2025, Adaptimmune reported significant progress in the launch of TECELRA, with 21 patients apheresed to date, including 13 in Q1 and 8 in early Q2. The company provided revenue guidance for the full year, anticipating TECELRA sales of $35 million to $45 million. Adaptimmune reported invoicing 14 TECELRA treatments in 2025, including 6 in Q1, resulting in $4 million in net sales, and 8 additional invoiced treatments early in Q2. The company achieved 100% manufacturing success, with an average turnaround from apheresis to lot release of 27 days, surpassing the 30-day target. Adaptimmune's network includes 28 active treatment centers, with expectations to reach 30 by year-end, a year ahead of schedule. No patient access issues have been reported, with no denials to date. Adaptimmune foresees peak sales of $400 million from its TECELRA and lete-cel sarcoma franchise, with lete-cel launch activities underway, targeting a 2026 approval.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is extremely weak: revenues have fallen sharply (~-63.8% TTM), equity is now negative, margins are deeply negative at EBIT/EBITDA and net levels, and free cash flow and operating cash flow remain heavily negative, indicating ongoing losses, balance sheet stress, and elevated liquidity risk.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

8Very Negative

Cash Flow

11Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue65.08M178.03M60.28M27.15M6.15M3.96M
Gross Profit61.70M177.96M50.42M-100.58M-104.94M-87.61M
EBITDA-149.75M-52.66M-128.59M-155.59M-155.68M-125.81M
Net Income-169.76M-70.81M-113.87M-165.46M-158.09M-130.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets130.63M245.96M282.62M328.92M469.55M451.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.06M151.60M146.94M204.60M369.58M368.22M
Total Debt48.68M74.21M25.23M23.08M25.47M23.71M
Total Liabilities201.59M234.11M243.10M247.04M263.58M109.92M
Stockholders Equity-70.96M11.85M39.51M81.88M205.96M341.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-191.71M-75.93M-145.76M-171.51M1.95M-56.50M
Operating Cash Flow-190.03M-73.21M-140.88M-141.77M10.73M-53.59M
Investing Cash Flow1.79M-58.95M176.54M89.14M75.80M-278.92M
Financing Cash Flow1.34M78.75M880.00K12.87M3.29M340.05M

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.03Positive
100DMA0.03Negative
200DMA0.03Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI51.25Neutral
STOCH50.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADAPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.03, and below the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADAPY.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Adaptimmune Therapeutics disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adaptimmune Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Although our financial statements have been prepared on a going concern basis, if we fail to obtain additional financing in the future, this may raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern in future reporting periodsQ3, 2024
2.Tecelra is approved under accelerated approval in the United States, and additional confirmatory work is required in order to maintain that approval. Inability to maintain approval or to otherwise meet the requirements imposed by the FDA will have a significant impact on our ability to commercialize Tecelra.Q3, 2024
3.As part of the approval of Tecelra, certain post approval requirements apply which, if not satisfied, could impact continued approval of Tecelra.Q3, 2024

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

ADAPY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
BCABBCAB45Neutral$3.50M-0.0789.25%―-22.73%53.53%
XLOXLO44Neutral$52.84M-5.36-50.77%―327.25%85.65%
SNTISNTI41Neutral$5.14M-0.11-1539.97%――80.28%
ADAPYADAPY40Underperform$6.10M-0.07115.05%―――

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%ADAPYBCABSNTIXLODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ADAPY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ADAPYAdaptimmune Therapeutics Plc.0.03-0.02-36.59%
BCABBioatla, Inc.2.06-31.61-93.88%
SNTISenti Biosciences, Inc.0.19-1.62-89.61%
XLOXilio Therapeutics Inc7.99-3.23-28.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025