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Acrivon Therapeutics, Inc. (ACRV) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Aug 12, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1A significant portion of our total outstanding shares are restricted from immediate resale but may be sold into the market in the near future. This could cause the market price of our common stock to drop significantly, even if our business is doing well.
Sales of a substantial number of shares of our common stock in the public market could occur at any time. These sales, or the perception in the market that the holders of a large number of shares intend to sell shares, could reduce the market price of our common stock. As of August 7, 2026, we had 42,853,362 shares of common stock outstanding. These shares include 7,550,000 shares sold in our IPO, which may be resold in the public market. As of August 7, 2026, approximately 20.8 million shares were held by our affiliates, who are generally restricted from selling pursuant to securities laws. Our shares may be resold and the market price of our stock could decline if the holders of currently-restricted shares sell them or are perceived by the market as intending to sell them. We have filed registration statements on Form S-8 under the Securities Act registering shares subject to outstanding stock options issued under the 2019 Stock Incentive Plan and shares of common stock reserved for issuance under the 2022 Equity Incentive Plan, or the 2022 Plan, and the 2022 Employee Stock Purchase Plan, or the 2022 ESPP. Both the 2022 Plan and the 2022 ESPP provide for annual automatic increases in the shares reserved for issuance under the plans which could result in additional dilution to our stockholders. Shares registered under these registration statements on Form S-8 can be freely sold in the public market upon issuance, subject to the vesting of the equity awards, other restrictions provided under the terms of the applicable plan or equity award, and the restrictions of Rule 144 in the case of our affiliates. We also filed a registration statement on Form S-3, or the Registration Statement, which was declared effective by the SEC on April 29, 2024, covering the resale by selling stockholders who participated in the April 2024 Private Placement of 8,235,000 shares of our common stock and 7,060,000 shares of our common stock issuable upon the exercise of pre-funded warrants, or Pre-Funded Warrants. Pursuant to the Registration Statement, these selling stockholders may resell all or a portion of the shares of common stock issued in the April 2024 Private Placement and the shares issued upon exercise of the Pre-Funded Warrants.
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2We have incurred significant losses since our inception. We expect to incur losses over the next several years and may never achieve or maintain profitability.
Since our inception, we have incurred significant losses, and we expect to continue to incur significant expenses and operating losses for the foreseeable future. Our net loss was $77.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2025 and $37.0 million and $40.7 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025, respectively. As of June 30, 2026, we had an accumulated deficit of $311.9 million. Since our inception, we have financed our operations primarily with proceeds from the sales of shares of our convertible preferred stock and the issuance of convertible notes, proceeds raised in our IPO and concurrent private placement, proceeds from our April 2024 Private Placement, and proceeds from our April 2026 ATM Program sale. We have no products approved for commercialization and have never generated any revenue from product sales. All of our drug candidates are still in clinical and preclinical testing. We expect to continue to incur significant expenses and operating losses over the next several years. Our net losses may fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year. We anticipate that our expenses will increase substantially as we: - continue to conduct our ongoing clinical trials of ACR-368 and ACR-2316, as well as initiate and complete additional clinical trials of future drug candidates or current drug candidates in new indications or patient populations;- continue to advance the preclinical development of our other drug candidates, and our preclinical and discovery programs;- seek regulatory approval for any drug candidates that successfully complete clinical trials;- pursue marketing approvals and reimbursement for our drug candidates;- manufacture material under current good manufacturing practices, or cGMP, for clinical trials and potential commercial sales at our contracted manufacturing facilities;- develop, establish and validate our commercial-scale cGMP manufacturing process;- maintain, expand, enforce, defend and protect our intellectual property portfolio;- comply with regulatory requirements established by the applicable regulatory authorities;- establish, either alone or with a third-party, a sales, marketing and distribution infrastructure and scale up external, or establish internal, manufacturing and distribution capabilities to commercialize any drug candidates for which we may obtain regulatory approval;- hire and retain additional personnel, including research, clinical, development, manufacturing quality control, quality assurance, regulatory and scientific personnel;- add operational, financial, corporate development, management information systems and administrative personnel, including personnel to support our product development and planned future commercialization efforts; and - incur additional legal, accounting and other expenses in operating as a public company. To date, we have not generated any revenue from the commercialization of any drug candidate. To become and remain profitable, we must succeed in developing and eventually commercializing drug candidates that generate significant revenue. This will require us to be successful in a range of challenging activities, including completing preclinical testing and clinical trials of our drug candidates, validating manufacturing processes, obtaining regulatory approval, and manufacturing, marketing, and selling any drug candidates for which we may obtain regulatory approval, as well as discovering and developing additional drug candidates. All of our drug candidates are in clinical or preclinical development. We may never succeed in these activities and, even if we do, may never generate any revenue or revenue that is significant enough to achieve profitability. Due to the numerous risks and uncertainties associated with drug candidate development, we are unable to accurately predict the timing or amount of expenses or when or if we will be able to achieve profitability. If we are required by regulatory authorities to perform clinical trials or preclinical studies in addition to those currently expected, or if there are any delays in the initiation and completion of our clinical trials or the development of any of our drug candidates, our expenses could increase. Even if we achieve profitability, we may not be able to sustain or increase profitability on a quarterly or annual basis. Our failure to become and remain profitable would depress the value of our company and could impair our ability to raise capital, expand our business, maintain our development efforts, obtain product approvals, diversify our offerings or continue our operations. A decline in the value of our company could also cause you to lose all or part of your investment.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 3We will need additional funding to meet our financial obligations and to pursue our business objectives. If we are unable to raise capital when needed, we could be forced to curtail our planned longer-term operations and the pursuit of our growth strategy.
Our operations have consumed substantial amounts of cash since inception, and we expect to continue to incur significant expenses and operating losses over the next several years as we continue to develop our drug candidate pipeline and, to a lesser extent, build out our manufacturing capabilities for our drug candidates, which, if approved, may not achieve commercial success. Our revenue, if any, will be derived from sales of products that may not be commercially available for a number of years, if at all. If we obtain marketing approval for any drug candidates that we develop or otherwise acquire, we expect to incur significant commercialization expenses related to product sales, marketing, distribution and manufacturing. We also expect an increase in our expenses associated with creating additional infrastructure to support operations as a public company. Accordingly, we will need to obtain substantial additional funding in order to continue our operations. As of June 30, 2026, we had cash, cash equivalents and investments of $90.0 million. We believe that our existing cash, cash equivalents and investments as of June 30, 2026 will be sufficient to fund our operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements into the fourth quarter of 2027. This estimate is based on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and we could exhaust our available capital resources sooner than we expect. Changes may occur beyond our control that would cause us to consume our available capital before that time, including changes in and progress of our development activities, acquisitions of additional drug candidates and changes in regulation. The timing and amount of our funding requirements will depend on many factors, including, but not limited to: - the rate of progress in the development of ACR-368, ACR-2316, and our other drug candidates;- the scope, progress, results and costs of non-clinical studies, preclinical development, laboratory testing and clinical trials for ACR-368, ACR-2316, and our future drug candidates and associated development programs;- the extent to which we develop, in-license or acquire other drug candidates and technologies in our pipeline;- the scope, progress, results and costs as well as timing of process development and manufacturing scale-up and validation activities associated with ACR-368, ACR-2316, and our future drug candidates and other programs as we advance them through preclinical and clinical development;- the ability of our AP3 platform to identify sensitive tumor types and patient responders;- the number and development requirements of drug candidates that we may pursue;- the costs, timing and outcome of regulatory review of our drug candidates;- our headcount growth and associated costs as we expand our research and development capabilities and establish a commercial infrastructure;- the timing and costs of securing sufficient capacity for commercial supply of our drug candidates, or the raw material components thereof;- the costs and timing of future commercialization activities, including product manufacturing, marketing, sales and distribution, for any of our drug candidates for which we receive marketing approval;- the costs necessary to obtain regulatory approvals, if any, for products in the United States and other jurisdictions, and the costs of post-marketing studies that could be required by regulatory authorities in jurisdictions where approval is obtained;- the costs and timing of preparing, filing and prosecuting patent applications, maintaining and enforcing our intellectual property rights and defending any intellectual property-related claims;- the continuation of our existing licensing and collaboration arrangements and entry into new collaborations and licensing arrangements, if at all;- the need and ability to hire additional research, clinical, development, scientific, and manufacturing personnel;- the costs we incur in maintaining business operations;- the need to implement additional internal systems and infrastructure;- the effect of competing technological, product and market developments;- the revenue, if any, received from commercial sales of our drug candidates for which we receive marketing approval;- the costs of operating as a public company; and - business disruptions affecting the initiation, patient enrollment, development and operation of our clinical trials, including a public health emergency or geopolitical events, including the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, related sanctions against Russia and conflicts in the Middle East. We will require additional capital to achieve our business objectives. Additional funds may not be available on a timely basis, on favorable terms or at all, and such funds, if raised, may not be sufficient to enable us to continue to implement our long-term business strategy. Any additional fundraising efforts may divert our management from their day-to-day activities, which may adversely affect our ability to develop and commercialize our drug candidates. Further, our ability to raise additional capital may be adversely impacted by potential worsening global economic conditions, such as new or increased tariffs and other barriers to trade, and the recent disruptions to and volatility in the credit and financial markets in the United States and worldwide resulting from geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine and related sanctions against Russia and conflicts in the Middle East. If we are unable to raise sufficient additional capital, we could be forced to curtail our planned operations and the pursuit of our growth strategy.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 82
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 1We may develop our current and future drug candidates in combination with other therapies, and safety or supply issues with combination-use products may delay or prevent development and approval of our drug candidates.
We may develop our current or future drug candidates in combination with one or more cancer therapies, both approved and unapproved. Even if any drug candidate we develop were to receive marketing approval or be commercialized for use in combination with other existing therapies, we would continue to be subject to the risks that the FDA or similar regulatory authorities outside of the United States could revoke approval of the therapy used in combination with our drug candidates or that safety, efficacy, manufacturing or supply issues could arise with these existing therapies. Combination therapies are commonly used for the treatment of cancer, and we would be subject to similar risks if we develop any of our drug candidates for use in combination with other drugs or for indications other than cancer. Similarly, if the therapies we use in combination with our drug candidates are replaced as the standard of care for the indications we choose for any of our drug candidates, the FDA or similar regulatory authorities outside of the United States may require us to conduct additional clinical trials. The occurrence of any of these risks could result in our own products, if approved, being removed from the market or being less successful commercially. We may also evaluate our drug candidates in combination with one or more cancer therapies that have not yet been approved for marketing by the FDA or a similar regulatory authority outside of the United States. We may be unable to effectively identify and collaborate with third parties for the evaluation of our drug candidates in combination with their therapies. We will not be able to market and sell any drug candidate we develop in combination with any such unapproved cancer therapies that do not ultimately obtain marketing approval. The regulations prohibiting the promotion of products for unapproved uses are complex and subject to substantial interpretation by the FDA and other government agencies. In addition, there are additional risks similar to the ones described for our products currently in development and clinical trials that result from the fact that such cancer therapies are unapproved, such as the potential for serious adverse effects, delay in their clinical trials and lack of FDA approval. If the FDA or a similar regulatory authority outside of the United States does not approve these other drugs or revokes approval of, or if safety, efficacy, manufacturing, or supply issues arise with, the drugs we choose to evaluate in combination with any drug candidate we develop, we may be unable to obtain approval of or market such product.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 2We may not be able to obtain or maintain orphan drug designation or exclusivity for our drug candidates.
Regulatory authorities in some jurisdictions, including the United States, may designate drugs for relatively small patient populations as "orphan drugs." Under the Orphan Drug Act, the FDA may designate a drug as an orphan drug if it is intended to treat patients with a rare disease or condition, which is generally defined as a patient population of fewer than 200,000 individuals in the United States, or if the disease or condition affects more than 200,000 individuals in the United States and there is no reasonable expectation that the cost of developing the drug for the type of disease or condition will be recovered from sales of the product in the United States. Orphan drug designation entitles a party to financial incentives, such as opportunities for grant funding towards clinical trial costs, tax advantages and user fee waivers. Additionally, if a product that has orphan designation subsequently receives the first FDA approval for the disease or condition for which it has such designation, the product is entitled to orphan drug exclusivity, which means that the FDA may not approve any other applications to market the same drug for the same indication for seven years, except in certain circumstances, such as a showing of clinical superiority (i.e., another product is safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care) over the product with orphan exclusivity or where the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient product quantity. Competitors, however, may receive approval of different products for the same indication for which the orphan product has exclusivity, or obtain approval for the same product but for a different indication than that for which the orphan product has exclusivity. ACR-368 has been granted orphan drug designation, or ODD, for the treatment of anal cancer. We may apply for an ODD in the United States or other geographies for ACR-368 for the treatment of other diseases or conditions or for our future drug candidates. However, obtaining an orphan drug designation can be difficult, and we may not be successful in doing so. Even if we obtain orphan drug designation for a drug candidate in specific indications, we may not be the first to obtain regulatory approval of the drug candidate for the orphan-designated indication due to the uncertainties associated with developing drug products. In addition, exclusive marketing rights in the United States may be limited if we seek approval for an indication broader than the orphan-designated indication or may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for orphan designation was materially defective or if the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient quantities of the product to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition. Orphan drug designation does not ensure that we will receive marketing exclusivity in a particular market, and we cannot assure you that any future application for orphan drug designation in any other geography or with respect to any other future drug candidate will be granted. Orphan drug designation neither shortens the development time or regulatory review time of a drug, nor gives the drug any advantage in the regulatory review or approval process. It is also possible that current or future litigation or action by Congress could change the scope of available orphan exclusivity. Any changes to the orphan drug provisions could change our opportunities for, or likelihood of success in obtaining, orphan drug designation and/or exclusivity and would materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 3A Breakthrough Therapy or Breakthrough Device designation by the FDA, even if granted for any of our current or future drug candidates or companion diagnostics, may not lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process and it does not increase the likelihood that our drug candidates will receive marketing approval.
At various times, we may seek Breakthrough Therapy designation for our lead drug candidate and some or all of our future drug candidates and Breakthrough Device designation for our OncoSignature companion diagnostic and future companion diagnostic candidates. Breakthrough Therapy designation is a process designed to expedite the development and review of drugs that are intended, alone or in combination with one or more other drugs, to treat a serious or life-threatening disease or condition and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the drug may demonstrate substantial improvement over existing therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints, such as substantial treatment effects observed early in clinical development. For drug candidates that have been designated as Breakthrough Therapies, interaction and communication between the FDA and the sponsor of the trial can help to identify the most efficient path for clinical development while minimizing the number of patients placed in ineffective control regimens. Drugs designated as breakthrough therapies by the FDA may also be eligible for other expedited approval programs, including accelerated approval. The FDA has also implemented a Breakthrough Device program that is intended to help patients receive more timely access to breakthrough medical technologies that have the potential to provide more effective treatment or diagnosis for life-threatening or irreversibly debilitating diseases or conditions. A device also must meet one of the following criteria: (i) it represents breakthrough technology; (ii) there is no approved or cleared alternative; (iii) it offers significant advantages over existing cleared or approved devices; or (iv) availability of the device is in the best interest of patients. Under the program, device candidates are eligible to receive priority review and interactive communications from the FDA regarding device development and clinical trial protocols, all the way through to commercialization decisions. On November 16, 2023, the FDA granted Breakthrough Device Designation to the ACR-368 OncoSignature assay for the identification of ovarian cancer patients who may benefit from ACR-368 treatment. On January 21, 2025, the FDA granted Breakthrough Device Designation to the ACR-368 OncoSignature Assay for the identification of EC patients who may benefit from treatment with ACR-368. Designation as a Breakthrough Therapy or Breakthrough Device is within the discretion of the FDA. Accordingly, even if we believe a product candidate meets the criteria for designation as a Breakthrough Therapy or Breakthrough Device, the FDA may disagree and instead determine not to make such a designation. In any event, the receipt of a Breakthrough Therapy or Breakthrough Device designation for a product candidate may not result in a faster development process, review or approval compared to candidate products considered for approval under non-expedited FDA review procedures and does not assure ultimate approval by the FDA of a product candidate. In addition, even if a product candidate qualifies as a Breakthrough Therapy or Breakthrough Device, the FDA may later decide that the product candidate no longer meets the conditions for qualification. Thus, even though we intend to seek Breakthrough Therapy designation for our lead drug candidate and some or all of our future drug candidates and Breakthrough Device designation for our OncoSignature companion diagnostic and any future companion diagnostic candidates for the treatment of various cancers, there can be no assurance that we will receive Breakthrough Therapy or Breakthrough Device designations.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 4Our business substantially depends upon the successful clinical development of drug candidates using our AP3 platform and OncoSignature companion diagnostics. If we are unable to obtain regulatory approval for, and successfully commercialize, drugs developed through the application of our AP3 platform and OncoSignature tests, our business may be materially harmed.
Using our AP3 platform, we have developed predictive OncoSignature tests for our clinical drug candidate, ACR-368, as well as for two other clinical-stage drug candidates. Negative results in the development of ACR-368 may also impact our ability to successfully develop other drug candidates, either at all or within anticipated timeframes because, although other drug candidates may target different indications, the underlying technology platform, and specifically the use of an OncoSignature test, to identify patient responders is conceptually the same for certain of our drug candidates requiring an OncoSignature for patient selection. Accordingly, a failure in any one program may decrease trust in our AP3 platform's ability to successfully deploy OncoSignature tests in the clinic. In addition, if ACR-368 shows unexpected adverse events or a lack of efficacy in the indications we intend to treat, or if we experience other regulatory or developmental issues, our development plans and business could be harmed. We cannot guarantee the successful clinical development, approval and commercialization of ACR-368.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 5We may expend our limited resources to pursue a particular drug candidate or indication and fail to capitalize on drug candidates or indications that may be more profitable or for which there is a greater likelihood of success.
Because we have limited financial and managerial resources, we focus on research programs and drug candidates that we identify for specific indications. As a result, we may forego or delay pursuit of opportunities with other future drug candidates or for other indications that later prove to have greater commercial potential. Our resource allocation decisions may cause us to fail to capitalize on viable commercial products or profitable market opportunities. Our spending on current and future research and development programs and drug candidates for specific indications may not yield any commercially viable products. If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular drug candidate, we may relinquish valuable rights to that drug candidate through collaboration, licensing or other royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to that drug candidate.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 6Our clinical development is focused on the development of precision oncology medicines utilizing our proprietary precision medicine platform, which is based on a novel scientific approach and may never lead to marketable products.
The development of precision oncology medicines for patients whose tumors are sensitive to a specific product or drug candidate based on direct protein measurement is a rapidly emerging field, and the scientific discoveries that form the basis for our efforts to develop drug candidates are relatively new. Furthermore, our OncoSignature companion diagnostic is based on new technology, which makes it difficult to predict the time and cost of development and of subsequently obtaining regulatory approval, if at all. The scientific evidence to support the feasibility of developing drug candidates based on these discoveries is both preliminary and limited. Although we believe, based on our extensive preclinical evaluation, that our approach is applicable across stages of drug development and therapeutic modalities, clinical results may not confirm this hypothesis or may only confirm it for certain tumor types. Therefore, we do not know if our approach will be successful, but if our approach is unsuccessful, our business will suffer. Efforts to identify, acquire or in-license, and then develop drug candidates require substantial technical, financial and human resources, whether or not any drug candidates are ultimately identified. We apply our AP3 platform in our efforts to discover potential precision targets for which drug candidates may be developed. Our efforts may initially show promise in identifying potential drug candidates, yet fail to yield drug candidates for clinical development, approved products or commercial revenues for many reasons, including the following: - the methodology used may not be successful in identifying potential drug candidates;- competitors may develop alternatives that render any drug candidates we develop obsolete;- any drug candidates we develop may nevertheless be covered by third parties' patents or other exclusive rights;- a drug candidate may be shown to have harmful side effects or other characteristics that indicate it is unlikely to be effective or otherwise does not meet applicable regulatory criteria;- a drug candidate may not be capable of being produced in commercial quantities at an acceptable cost, or at all; and - a drug candidate may not be accepted as safe and effective by physicians, patients, the medical community or third-party payors.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 7We are highly dependent on the success of ACR-368 and/or ACR-2316, as these are our first drug candidates being developed for clinical development and regulatory approval. We may never obtain approval for ACR-368, ACR-2316 or any other drug candidate.
Our future success is highly dependent on our ability to obtain regulatory approval for, and then successfully commercialize or identify a strategic partner to commercialize, our lead drug candidate, ACR-368. ACR-368 has been dosed in more than 400 patients at the RP2D in past single center and multi-center Phase 2 clinical trials. We have received clearance from the FDA for an IND application to advance ACR-368 in Phase 2 single arm clinical trials conducted under the FDA program known as the master protocol. We currently have no products that are approved for sale in any jurisdiction. ACR-368 or any of our other future drug candidates may not achieve success in their clinical trials or obtain regulatory approval. If we do not obtain regulatory approval for ACR-368 and successfully commercialize ACR-368 in one or more indications or if we experience significant delays in doing so, we may never generate any revenue or become profitable. Our ability to generate product revenues, which we do not expect will occur for several years, if ever, will depend heavily on the successful development and eventual commercialization of ACR-368, ACR-2316 or other future drug candidates identified through the application of our AP3 platform and OncoSignature companion diagnostics. The success of ACR-368, ACR-2316, or any other future drug candidate will depend on several factors, including the following: - successful completion of preclinical studies and clinical trials;- timely and successful enrollment of patients in, and completion of, clinical trials with favorable results;- demonstration of safety, efficacy and acceptable risk-benefit profiles of ACR-368, ACR-2316, and our future drug candidates to the satisfaction of the FDA and other regulatory agencies;- the ability of our AP3 platform-based OncoSignature tests to identify patient responders;- the AP3 platform may not work equally well for all therapeutic targets;- our ability, or that of our collaborators, to develop and obtain clearance or approval of companion diagnostics, on a timely basis, or at all;- receipt and related terms of marketing approvals from applicable regulatory authorities for ACR-368 and our future drug candidates, including the completion of any required post-marketing studies or trials;- raising additional funds necessary to complete the clinical development of and commercialization of ACR-368;- successfully identifying and developing, acquiring or in-licensing additional drug candidates to expand our pipeline;- acceptance of an IND application by the FDA or other similar clinical trial applications from other regulatory authorities for clinical trials for future drug candidates;- obtaining and maintaining patent, trade secret and other intellectual property protection and regulatory exclusivity for ACR-368, ACR-2316, and our future drug candidates and our OncoSignature companion diagnostics;- making arrangements with third-party manufacturers, or establishing manufacturing capabilities, for both clinical and commercial supplies of our drug candidates;- establishing sales, marketing and distribution capabilities and launching commercial sales of our products, if approved, whether alone or in collaboration with third parties;- acceptance of our products, if approved, by patients, the medical community and third-party payors;- effectively competing with other therapies available on the market or in development;- obtaining and maintaining third-party payor coverage and adequate reimbursement; and - maintaining a continued acceptable safety profile of any products following regulatory approval. Many of these factors are beyond our control, and it is possible that none of our drug candidates, including ACR-368 and ACR-2316, will ever obtain regulatory approval even if we expend substantial time and resources seeking such approval. If we experience significant delays or are otherwise unable to successfully commercialize our drug candidates, it would materially harm our business.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 8Depending on our clinical trial results, we may seek NDA approval for ACR-368 in the United States under the FDA's accelerated approval pathway, but this pathway may not lead to faster development, regulatory review, or approval process and does not increase the likelihood that ACR-368 will receiving marketing approval.
Depending on our clinical trial results, we intend to seek approval for ACR-368 for one or more indications, and we may seek approval of our future drug candidates, where applicable, under the FDA's accelerated approval pathway. A product may be eligible for accelerated approval if it is designed to treat a serious or life-threatening disease or condition, generally provides a meaningful advantage over available therapies, and demonstrates an effect on a surrogate endpoint that is reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit or on a clinical endpoint that can be measured earlier than irreversible morbidity or mortality, or IMM, that is reasonably likely to predict an effect on IMM or other clinical benefit. The FDA considers a clinical benefit to be a positive therapeutic effect that is clinically meaningful in the context of a given disease, such as IMM. For the purposes of accelerated approval, a surrogate endpoint is a marker, such as a laboratory measurement, radiographic image, physical sign, or other measure that is thought to predict clinical benefit, but is not itself a measure of clinical benefit. The accelerated approval pathway may be used in cases in which the advantage of a new product over available therapy may not be a direct therapeutic advantage, but is a clinically important improvement from a patient and public health perspective. If granted, accelerated approval is usually contingent on the sponsor's agreement to conduct adequate and well-controlled post-marketing clinical trials to confirm the product's clinical benefit. These confirmatory trials must be completed with due diligence. If the sponsor fails to conduct such studies in a timely manner, or if such post-approval studies fail to verify the product's predicted clinical benefit, the FDA may withdraw its approval of the product on an expedited basis. In addition, for products being considered for accelerated approval, the FDA currently requires, unless otherwise informed by the Agency, pre-approval of promotional materials, which could adversely impact the timing of the commercial launch of the product. There can be no assurance that the FDA would allow ACR-368 or any of the drug candidates we may develop to proceed on an accelerated approval pathway, and even if the FDA did allow such pathway, there can be no assurance that expedited development will occur or that the FDA will review and approve such submission or application on a timely basis, or at all. Moreover, even if we received accelerated approval, any post-marketing studies required to confirm clinical benefit may not show such benefit, which could lead to withdrawal of any approvals we have obtained. In addition, receiving accelerated approval does not assure that the product's accelerated approval will eventually be converted to a traditional approval. Moreover, Congress is considering potential changes to the Accelerated Approval Program that could impact our ability to obtain Accelerated Approval, or increase the burdens associated with postmarketing requirements in the event we do obtain Accelerated Approval. In particular, the FDA must specify certain conditions for required postapproval studies for products that receive Accelerated Approval, which may include enrollment targets and milestones, including the target date for study completion, by the time the drug is approved. The FDA may also require postapproval studies to be underway at the time of Accelerated Approval or within a specified time period following Accelerated Approval for such drugs, and must explain any instances where it does not require such studies. The FDA's January 2025 draft guidance on "Accelerated Approval and Considerations for Determining Whether a Confirmatory Trial is Underway," while not finalized, suggests that the FDA generally intends to consider a confirmatory trial to be "underway" prior to accelerated approval if (1) the trial has a target completion date that is consistent with diligent and timely conduct of the trial, considering the nature of the trial's design and objectives, (2) the sponsor's progress and plans for postapproval conduct of the trial provide sufficient assurance to expect timely completion of the trial, and (3) enrollment of the confirmatory trial has been initiated. Any delay in obtaining, or inability to obtain, approval through the Accelerated Approval Program, or any issues in maintaining approval granted under the Accelerated Approval Program, would delay or prevent commercialization of our products, and would materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 9Early clinical trials for ACR-2316 may not predict the success of later clinical trials. Furthermore, the results of clinical trials for ACR-2316 may not satisfy the requirements of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities.
ACR-2316 is in the early stages of clinical development and is not currently approved for sale and there is no guarantee that it will ever be marketable. Clinical failure can occur at any stage of clinical development. We are required to demonstrate with substantial evidence through well-controlled clinical trials that ACR-2316 is safe and effective for use in a diverse population before we can seek marketing approvals for its commercial sale. Success in preclinical studies and early-stage clinical trials does not mean that future larger registration clinical trials will be successful. This is because product candidates in later-stage clinical trials may fail to demonstrate sufficient safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of the FDA and other regulatory authorities despite having progressed through preclinical studies and early-stage clinical trials. In particular, the outcome of preclinical studies and early-stage clinical trials may not be predictive of the success of later-stage clinical trials. We do not know whether any clinical trials we may conduct for ACR-2316 will demonstrate consistent or adequate efficacy and safety results sufficient to obtain marketing approval. In addition, even if ACR-2316 is approved for commercial sale, the success of ACR-2316 will depend on a number of factors beyond our control, including emerging and competing therapies and the market acceptance and adoption of ACR-2316 versus actual or perceived competing therapies.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 10We may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing, or ultimately be unable to complete the development and/or commercialization of ACR-368, ACR-2316, or our other future drug candidates identified through the application of our AP3 platform and OncoSignature companion diagnostics.
Any delays in the commencement or completion of our ongoing, planned or future clinical trials could significantly increase our product development costs. We may experience numerous unforeseen events during, or as a result of, clinical trials that could delay or prevent our ability to obtain marketing approval or commercialize ACR-368, ACR-2316, or our future drug candidates identified through the application of our AP3 platform and OncoSignature companion diagnostics, including but not limited to: - regulators, IRBs, or ethics committees, or ECs, may not authorize us or our investigators to commence a clinical trial or conduct a clinical trial at a prospective trial site;- the FDA may disagree as to the design or implementation of our clinical trials or with our recommended doses with respect to ACR-368, or any of our future drug candidates;- we may experience delays in reaching, or fail to reach, agreement on acceptable clinical trial contracts or clinical trial protocols with prospective CROs and prospective trial sites;- clinical trials for ACR-368, ACR-2316, or our future drug candidates may produce negative or inconclusive results, and we may decide, or regulators may require us, to conduct additional clinical trials, delay or halt clinical trials or abandon product development programs;- lack of adequate funding to continue clinical trials;- the number of patients required for clinical trials may be larger than we anticipate, enrollment in these clinical trials may be slower than we anticipate or may be lower than we anticipate due to challenges in recruiting and enrolling suitable patients who meet the trial criteria, participants may drop out of these clinical trials at a higher rate than we anticipate, or the duration of these clinical trials may be longer than we anticipate;- competition for clinical trial participants from investigational and approved therapies may make it more difficult to enroll patients in our clinical trials;- we may experience difficulties in maintaining contact with patients after treatment, resulting in incomplete data;- we or third-party collaborators may fail to obtain regulatory approval of companion diagnostic tests, if required, on a timely basis, or at all;- our third-party contractors may fail to meet their contractual obligations to us in a timely manner, or at all, or may fail to comply with regulatory requirements;- we may have to suspend or terminate clinical trials for various reasons, including a finding by us or by a Data Monitoring Committee for a trial that the participants are being exposed to unacceptable health risks;- ACR-368, ACR-2316, or our future drug candidates may have undesirable or unexpected side effects or other unexpected characteristics, causing us or our investigators, regulators or IRBs or ECs to suspend or terminate the trials;- the cost of clinical trials may be greater than we anticipate;- changes to clinical trial protocols; and - the supply or quality of ACR-368, ACR-2316, or our future drug candidates or other materials necessary to conduct clinical trials may be insufficient or inadequate and result in delays or suspension of our clinical trials. Delays, including delays caused by the above factors, can be costly and could negatively affect our ability to complete a clinical trial or obtain timely marketing approvals. We do not know whether any of our planned preclinical studies or clinical trials will begin on a timely basis or at all, will need to be restructured or will be completed on schedule, or at all. For example, the FDA may place a partial or full clinical hold on any of our current or future clinical trials for a variety of reasons, including safety concerns and noncompliance with regulatory requirements. If we are not able to complete successful clinical trials, we will not be able to obtain regulatory approval and will not be able to commercialize ACR-368, ACR-2316, or our future drug candidates. Significant preclinical or clinical trial delays also could shorten any periods during which we may have the exclusive right to commercialize our drug candidates or allow our competitors to bring products to market before we do and impair our ability to successfully commercialize our drug candidates, which would limit our future revenues and harm our commercial prospects.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 11The successful clinical development of some of our drug candidates may depend in part on the co-approval of an OncoSignature test as a companion diagnostic test. If we or our companion diagnostic collaborator are unable to obtain regulatory approval for our OncoSignature companion diagnostic tests for such drug candidates, we may not obtain regulatory approval and realize the commercial potential of certain drug candidates.
A key part of our development strategy for some of our drug candidates is identifying subsets of patients with specific types of tumors. The identification of these patients will require the use and development of companion diagnostics. According to the FDA's 2014 guidance document on "In Vitro Companion Diagnostic Devices", for novel therapeutic products that depend on the use of a diagnostic test and where the diagnostic device could be essential for the safe and effective use of the corresponding therapeutic product, the premarket application for the companion diagnostic device should be developed and approved or cleared contemporaneously with the therapeutic, although the FDA recognizes that there may be cases when contemporaneous development may not be possible. However, in cases where a drug cannot be used safely or effectively without the companion diagnostic, the FDA's guidance indicates it will generally not approve the drug without the approval or clearance of the diagnostic device. The FDA also issued a draft guidance in July 2016 setting forth the principles for co-development of an in vitro companion diagnostic device with a therapeutic product and final guidance in April 2020 offering considerations for the development and labeling of diagnostic devices intended to support the use of multiple oncology therapeutic products. The draft guidance describes principles to guide the development and contemporaneous marketing authorization for the therapeutic product and its corresponding in vitro companion diagnostic. We do not have experience or capabilities in developing or commercializing diagnostics, and we have limited history with operating our CLIA-certified laboratory. We have not commercialized or submitted or obtained 510(k) clearance, De Novo classification, or Premarket Approval Application, or PMA, for any companion diagnostic, and any setbacks we encounter could delay any commercial launch of ACR-368, if approved. It may be necessary to resolve issues such as selectivity/specificity, analytical validation, reproducibility, or clinical validation of companion diagnostics during the development and regulatory approval processes. Moreover, even if data from preclinical studies and early clinical trials appear to support development of a companion diagnostic for a drug candidate, data generated in later clinical trials may fail to support the analytical and clinical validation of the companion diagnostic. We and our future collaborators may encounter difficulties in developing, obtaining regulatory approval for, manufacturing and commercializing companion diagnostics similar to those we face with respect to our drug candidates, including issues with achieving regulatory clearance or approval, production of sufficient quantities at commercial scale and with appropriate quality standards, and in gaining market acceptance. If we are unable to successfully develop companion diagnostics for our drug candidates, or experience delays in doing so, the development of these drug candidates may be adversely affected, these drug candidates may not obtain marketing approval, and we may not realize the full commercial potential of any of these therapeutics that have or may obtain marketing approval. We may not be able to enter into arrangements with another diagnostic company to develop and obtain regulatory approval for an alternative diagnostic test for use in connection with the development and commercialization of our drug candidates or do so on commercially reasonable terms, which could adversely affect and/or delay the development or commercialization of our therapeutic candidates or therapeutics. Companion diagnostics are subject to regulation by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities as medical devices and will likely require separate regulatory approval prior to commercialization. If we or third parties are unable to successfully develop companion diagnostics for our drug candidates, or experience delays in doing so: - the development of these drug candidates may be delayed because it may be difficult to identify patients for enrollment in our clinical trials in a timely manner;- these drug candidates may not receive marketing approval if their safe and effective use depends on a companion diagnostic; and - we may not realize the full commercial potential of these drug candidates that receive marketing approval if, among other reasons, we are unable to appropriately identify patients or types of tumors targeted by these drug candidates. Further, requirements for companion diagnostics may evolve. The FDA has been paying particular focus to laboratory developed tests ("LDTs"), which includes some in vitro diagnostic products. The FDA issued a final rule in May 2024 that would have subjected many LDTs to regulatory requirements including, in some cases, premarket authorization. A federal district court vacated the FDA final rule in May 2025, holding that LDTs are not subject to FDA regulation. The FDA rescinded the final rule in September 2025. The FDA has not indicated how it will interpret the court ruling or whether it will seek a different regulatory approach with respect to LDTs or components thereof. If the FDA were to develop an alternate approach to regulating LDTs, or if Congress were to enact legislation giving FDA authority to regulate our current or future LDTs, or any related components, materials, or software, that may delay or prevent approval of companion diagnostic products, such as the OncoSignature diagnostic product. Even if our drug candidates and any associated companion diagnostics are approved for marketing, the need for companion diagnostics may slow or limit adoption of our drug candidates. Although we believe companion diagnostic testing is becoming more prevalent in the diagnosis and treatment of cancer, our drug candidates may be perceived negatively compared to alternative treatments that do not require the use of companion diagnostics, either due to the additional cost of the companion diagnostic or the need to complete additional testing prior to administering our drug candidates. If any of these events were to occur, our business and growth prospects would be harmed materially.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 12We may not be able to file INDs or IND amendments to commence additional clinical trials on the timelines we expect, and even if we are able to, the FDA may not permit us to proceed.
Although we received clearance from the FDA for an IND to advance ACR-368 in Phase 2 single arm clinical trials conducted under the master protocol as well as IND clearance for ACR-2316 to advance into a Phase 1 clinical trial, we may not be able to file INDs for our other drug candidates on the timelines we expect. For example, we may experience, or our partners may experience, manufacturing delays or other delays with IND-enabling studies. Further, requirements for master protocols may evolve and we may not be able to conduct future trials under a master protocol. In December 2023, the FDA published a draft guidance, Master Protocols for Drug and Biological Product Development, which provides recommendations on the design and analysis of trials conducted under a master protocol as well as guidance on the submission of documentation to support regulatory review. Evolving requirements for master protocols may delay or inhibit future trials relying on a master protocol. Moreover, we cannot be sure that submission of an IND will result in the FDA allowing further clinical trials to begin, or that, once begun, issues will not arise that suspend or terminate clinical trials. Additionally, even if such regulatory authorities agree with the design and implementation of the clinical trials set forth in an IND, we cannot guarantee that such regulatory authorities will not change their requirements in the future. These considerations also apply to new clinical trials we may submit as amendments to existing INDs or to a new IND. Any failure to file INDs on the timelines we expect or to obtain regulatory approvals for our trials may prevent us from completing our clinical trials or commercializing our products on a timely basis, if at all.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 13If we experience delays or difficulties in enrolling patients in our ongoing or planned clinical trials, our receipt of necessary regulatory approval could be delayed or prevented.
We may not be able to initiate or continue our ongoing or planned clinical trials if we are unable to identify and enroll a sufficient number of eligible patients to participate in these trials as required by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities. In addition, some of our competitors currently have ongoing clinical trials for drug candidates that would treat the same patients as our lead clinical drug candidate, and patients who would otherwise be eligible for our clinical trials may instead enroll in clinical trials of our competitors' drug candidates. We also perform ACR-368 OncoSignature testing in our clinical trial. If we encounter delays or technical challenges, enrollment in our clinical trials may be substantially delayed. Patient enrollment is also affected by other factors, including but not limited to: - the severity of the disease under investigation;- our ability to recruit clinical trial investigators of appropriate competencies and experience;- the incidence and prevalence of our target indications;- competing studies or trials with similar eligibility criteria;- invasive procedures required to enroll patients and to obtain evidence of the drug candidates' performance during clinical trials;- availability and efficacy of approved medications for the disease under investigation;- eligibility criteria defined in the protocol for the trial in question;- the size and nature of the patient population required for analysis of the trial's primary endpoints;- efforts to facilitate timely enrollment in clinical trials;- whether we are subject to a partial or full clinical hold on any of our clinical trials;- reluctance of physicians to encourage patient participation in clinical trials;- the ability to monitor patients adequately during and after treatment;- our ability to obtain and maintain patient consents; and - proximity and availability of clinical trial sites for prospective patients. Our inability to enroll and maintain a sufficient number of patients for our clinical trials would result in significant delays or may require us to abandon one or more clinical trials altogether. Enrollment delays in our clinical trials may result in increased development costs, which would cause the value of our company to decline, limit our ability to obtain additional financing and delay or limit our ability to obtain regulatory approval for our drug candidates. Additionally, the FDA may modify or enhance trial requirements which may affect enrollment. In August 2023, the FDA published a guidance document, Informed Consent, Guidance for IRBs, Clinical Investigators, and Sponsors, which supersedes past guidance and finalizes draft guidance on informed consent. Further, in December 2023, the FDA published a final rule, Institutional Review Board Waiver or Alteration of Informed Consent for Minimal Risk Clinical Investigations, which allows exceptions from informed consent requirements when a clinical investigation poses no more than minimal risk to the human subject and includes appropriate safeguards to protect the rights, safety, and welfare of human subjects. These guidance documents present evolving requirements for informed consent which may affect recruitment and retention of patients in clinical trials. Effects on recruitment and retention of patients may hinder or delay a clinical trial and could cause a significant setback to an applicable program. Additionally, in June 2023, the FDA published a draft guidance, E6(R3) Good Clinical Practice (GCP), which seeks to unify standards for clinical trial data for ICH member countries and regions. Changes to data requirements may cause the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities to disagree with data from preclinical studies or clinical trials, and may require further studies.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 14Preliminary, interim and topline data from our clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time may change as more patient data becomes available and is subject to audit and verification procedures that could result in material changes in the final data.
From time to time, we may publicly disclose preliminary, interim or topline data from our clinical trials, such as futility analyses, ORR, or various primary and secondary clinical endpoints. These updates will be based on a preliminary analysis of then-available data, and the results and related findings and conclusions are subject to change following a more comprehensive review of the data related to the particular study or trial. Additionally, interim data from clinical trials that we may complete are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data becomes available. Therefore, positive interim results in any ongoing clinical trial may not be predictive of such results in the completed study or trial. We also make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our analyses of data, and we may not have received or had the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate all data. As a result, the topline results that we report may differ from future results of the same studies, or different conclusions or considerations may qualify such results, once additional data has been received and fully evaluated. Topline data also remains subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data we previously published. As a result, topline data should be viewed with caution until the final data is available. In addition, we may report interim analyses of only certain endpoints rather than all endpoints. Adverse changes between preliminary or interim data and final data could significantly harm our business and prospects. Further, additional disclosure of interim data by us or by our competitors in the future could result in volatility in the price of our common stock. See the description of risks under the heading "Risks Related to Ownership of our Common Stock and our Status as a Public Company" for more disclosure related to the risk of volatility in our stock price. Further, others, including regulatory agencies, may not accept or agree with our assumptions, estimates, calculations, conclusions or analyses or may interpret or weigh the importance of data differently, which could impact the value of the particular program, the approvability or commercialization of the particular drug candidate or product and our company in general. Additionally, requirements regarding clinical trial data may evolve. In June 2023, the FDA published a draft guidance, E6(R3) Good Clinical Practice (GCP), which seeks to unify standards for clinical trial data for ICH member countries and regions. Changes to data requirements may cause the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities to disagree with data from preclinical studies or clinical trials, and may require further studies. In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular study or clinical trial is typically selected from a more extensive amount of available information. You or others may not agree with what we determine is the material or otherwise appropriate information to include in our disclosure, and any information we determine not to disclose may ultimately be deemed significant with respect to future decisions, conclusions, views, activities or otherwise regarding a particular product, drug candidate or our business. Additionally, other future clinical trials we conduct may be open-label trials in which both the patient and investigator know whether the patient is receiving the investigational drug candidate or either an existing approved product or placebo. Open-label clinical trials typically test only the investigational drug candidate and sometimes may do so at different dose levels. Open-label clinical trials are subject to various limitations that may exaggerate any therapeutic effect as patients in open-label clinical trials are aware when they are receiving treatment. Open-label clinical trials may be subject to a "patient bias" where patients perceive their symptoms to have improved merely due to their awareness of receiving an experimental treatment. In addition, open-label clinical trials may be subject to an "investigator bias" where those assessing and reviewing the physiological outcomes of the clinical trials are aware of which patients have received treatment and may interpret the information of the treated group more favorably given this knowledge. If the preliminary or topline data that we report differs from late, final or actual results, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for, and commercialize, ACR-368, ACR-2316, or any other future drug candidates may be harmed.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 15The development and use of artificial intelligence, or AI, presents risks and challenges that can impact our business, including by posing security risks to our confidential information, proprietary information, and personal data, and could give rise to legal and/or regulatory actions, damage our reputation or otherwise materially harm our business.
The development and deployment of AI in drug discovery and development presents both opportunities for innovation and challenges and risks that require careful consideration. The implementation of AI technologies, including predictive analytics, computational approaches and generative AI, has the potential to provide significant benefits and competitive advantages. However, implementation of AI approaches to drug discovery and development has inherent risks and challenges. The importance of balanced, unbiased and comprehensive dataset for these AI predictive models is critical but may not be available and may even be insufficient. Subsequently, the AI algorithms may lead to flawed, biased and inaccurate results, which could lead to ineffective results and cause reputational harm. Even with the successful implementation of AI, we may fail to correctly leverage the predictive models. Deployment of these AI models may be used improperly or misinterpreted which could lead to conflicting outputs, which may compromise intellectual properties and as well as impact current and future collaboration. In addition, our competitors may be able to develop and embed AI more quickly and effectively than we can, and our business, results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected as a result. Furthermore, our use of generative AI platforms may lead to novel and unforeseen cybersecurity risks, intellectual property risks, including compromises to proprietary intellectual property and intellectual property infringement, and privacy and data protection concerns. Additionally, we expect to see increasing government regulation related to artificial intelligence use and ethics, which may also significantly increase the burden and cost of research, development and compliance in this area. Several jurisdictions around the globe, including Europe and certain U.S. states, have proposed, enacted, or are considering laws governing the development and use of AI, such as the EU's Artificial Intelligence Act. Emerging ethical issues also surround the use of AI, and we may be subject to reputational and legal risk if our deployment or use of AI becomes controversial. Further, bad actors around the world use increasingly sophisticated methods, including the use of artificial intelligence, to engage in illegal activities involving the theft and misuse of sensitive data. Any of these effects could damage our reputation, result in the loss of valuable property and information, cause us to breach applicable laws and regulations, and adversely impact our business.
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