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Zillow Group Class C (Z)
NASDAQ:Z
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Zillow Group Class C (Z) AI Stock Analysis

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Z

Zillow Group Class C

(NASDAQ:Z)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▼(-5.79% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/16/26
The score is primarily supported by improving financial performance (high gross margins, solid cash generation, and a very low-leverage balance sheet) and a constructive earnings outlook with reiterated growth and margin expansion targets. These positives are tempered by expensive valuation (very high P/E) and only mixed technicals, with the stock still below key longer-term moving averages and facing near-term transition and legal cost headwinds highlighted on the call.
Positive Factors
High-Margin, Cash-Generating Operations
Strong gross margins and positive operating and free cash flow show that Zillow’s platform can convert consumer engagement and professional demand into financial resources. This supports continued investment in products, data and software while providing resilience through normal housing-market variability.
Negative Factors
Preferred-Model Transition Headwinds
The transition to a preferred integrated model is changing revenue mix and delaying recognition from Zillow Home Loans. Even if long-term economics improve, the interim timing and seasonal effects can suppress reported for-sale growth and make near-term performance harder to interpret.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High-Margin, Cash-Generating Operations
Strong gross margins and positive operating and free cash flow show that Zillow’s platform can convert consumer engagement and professional demand into financial resources. This supports continued investment in products, data and software while providing resilience through normal housing-market variability.
Read all positive factors

Zillow Group Class C Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Unique Monthly Visitors
Average Unique Monthly Visitors
Measures the average number of distinct visitors to Zillow’s platforms each month, indicating the site’s popularity and potential for ad revenue growth.
Chart InsightsTraffic shows a clear seasonal pattern but also a multi-year upward trend in peak quarters, signaling expanding audience reach despite a broadly flat housing market. Recent stronger peaks coincide with Zillow’s rental and mortgage momentum and early AI/product rollouts, suggesting engagement is becoming more durable and monetizable. The modest Q1 pullback looks seasonal and demand-driven, not structural; management’s increased ad spend and rental focus should lift H2 traffic and help convert higher visitors into faster revenue growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Zillow Group Class C (Z) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Zillow Group Class C Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Zillow Group, Inc. functions as a prominent digital real estate enterprise, offering a variety of real estate platforms accessible through mobile applications and websites throughout the United States. The company's operations are divided into thr...
How the Company Makes Money
Zillow Group primarily generates revenue through its Internet, Media & Technology (IMT) segment, which monetizes traffic on its real estate websites and apps by selling advertising, lead generation, and related services to real estate professional...

Zillow Group Class C Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong underlying business momentum with broad-based revenue growth, meaningful AI-driven engagement gains, rapid progress in Zillow Home Loans, and disciplined cost actions. Management acknowledged near-term headwinds tied to an accelerated transition to a preferred, integrated transaction model (revenue mix shifts, timing/seasonality impacts) and recorded restructuring and litigation costs. Despite these transitional and macro risks, the company reported above-expectation results, expanded profitability metrics, clear product adoption signals, and reiterated medium-term margin targets, indicating confidence in the strategy.
Positive Updates
Strong Total Revenue and Profitability
Total revenue of $772M in Q2, up 18% year-over-year and above guidance; EBITDA of $176M (23% margin) exceeded outlook; reported adjusted net income of $118M and diluted adjusted net income per share of $0.52 versus $0.40 a year ago.
Negative Updates
Transition to Preferred Model Causes Near-Term Revenue Headwinds
Accelerating connections to preferred creates a shift from residential revenue to mortgages and timing headwinds: a 300 bps shift in 2025, ~500 bps in H1 2026, and management expects 600–800 bps of shift in later quarters; the timing of Zillow Home Loans recognition (6–12 month lag) has created a ~200 bps headwind to for-sale revenue and Q4 is expected to face a 400–600 bps combined headwind to for-sale revenue YoY.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Total Revenue and Profitability
Total revenue of $772M in Q2, up 18% year-over-year and above guidance; EBITDA of $176M (23% margin) exceeded outlook; reported adjusted net income of $118M and diluted adjusted net income per share of $0.52 versus $0.40 a year ago.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Zillow guided Q3 revenue of $745–760M (≈11% YoY at the midpoint), with for‑sale growth of 5–7% (residential flat, mortgages >50% YoY) and rentals up in the high‑20% range; Q3 EBITDA expenses of $560–565M and EBITDA of $180–200M (≈25% margin at the midpoint). For full‑year 2026 management reiterated mid‑teens total revenue growth to $2.92–2.96B, ~30% rentals growth, EBITDA $730–760M and continued margin expansion, while targeting >75% of connections to preferred by year‑end and a 35%+ revenue‑per‑connection premium vs. the legacy model. Other key metrics: Q2 adjusted net income $118M and diluted adjusted EPS $0.52, Q2 EBITDA $176M (23% margin), Q2 for‑sale revenue $549M (+14% YoY: residential $465M +7%, mortgages $84M +75%, purchase origination volume +95%), Q2 rentals $209M (+31%, multifamily +42%) with 2.8M average monthly rental listings and 79k multifamily properties, AI Mode live to ~20% of signed‑in users and driving 2–3x engagement/contact rates, Follow‑up Boss 138k MAU (+21% YoY), $682M cash & investments (total liquidity ≈$1.2B), Q2 repurchases $200M (YTD $826M; 225M shares outstanding), and restructuring actions expected to deliver ~$75M annualized EBITDA savings (Q2 charges $36M; additional $23–28M expected in Q3) while full‑year share‑based comp is expected down >15% YoY.

Zillow Group Class C Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a recovery with solid revenue growth and very high gross margins, supported by healthy operating and free cash flow. The balance sheet is a key strength with extremely low leverage, but net margins remain thin and cash flow has shown historical variability.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.81B2.58B2.24B1.95B1.96B2.13B
Gross Profit2.05B1.92B1.71B1.52B1.59B1.81B
EBITDA351.00M336.00M179.00M104.00M130.00M382.00M
Net Income55.00M23.00M-112.00M-158.00M-101.00M-528.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.30B5.68B5.83B6.65B6.56B10.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments682.00M1.29B1.86B2.81B3.36B2.83B
Total Debt558.00M536.00M660.00M1.83B1.87B1.60B
Total Liabilities997.00M801.00M981.00M2.13B2.08B5.35B
Stockholders Equity4.31B4.88B4.85B4.53B4.48B5.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow265.00M235.00M285.00M189.00M4.36B-3.28B
Operating Cash Flow388.00M368.00M428.00M354.00M4.50B-3.18B
Investing Cash Flow294.00M-6.00M395.00M25.00M-1.53B1.09B
Financing Cash Flow-696.00M-674.00M-1.23B-352.00M-4.34B3.15B

Zillow Group Class C Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.09
Price Trends
50DMA
31.61
Positive
100DMA
32.32
Positive
200DMA
39.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Negative
RSI
59.82
Neutral
STOCH
83.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For Z, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.27, above the 50-day MA of 31.61, and below the 200-day MA of 39.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for Z.

Zillow Group Class C Risk Analysis

Zillow Group Class C disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zillow Group Class C reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Zillow Group Class C Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$698.68M12.0118.07%―11.51%42.17%
72
Outperform
$1.08B9.4718.61%―1.50%-6.82%
67
Neutral
$12.64B63.776.50%―16.64%-87.65%
66
Neutral
$7.46B145.701.18%―17.67%―
64
Neutral
$940.04M-30.92-7.27%―9.79%53.33%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
52
Neutral
$268.48M-1.21-25.18%―-8.83%-554.39%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
Z
Zillow Group Class C
32.98
-43.78
-57.03%
ANGI
Angi
6.62
-7.48
-53.05%
YELP
Yelp
19.99
-13.00
-39.41%
PINS
Pinterest
22.32
-12.92
-36.66%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
2.43
0.44
22.11%
NRDS
NerdWallet, Inc. Class A
10.93
-1.14
-9.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026