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Wolfspeed (WOLF)
NYSE:WOLF

Wolfspeed (WOLF) AI Stock Analysis

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Wolfspeed

(NYSE:WOLF)

44Neutral
Wolfspeed's overall stock score reflects substantial financial difficulties, with negative margins and cash flows posing significant challenges. Despite some positive indicators in technical analysis and corporate leadership changes, the company's high debt and unprofitability weigh heavily on its valuation. While strategic restructuring efforts and new leadership provide a glimmer of hope, the path to financial stability remains uncertain and fraught with risk.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
WOLF has access to $2.5bn in funding to support their ongoing restructure, alleviating liquidity concerns.
Revenue Growth
EV revenue was up +90% YOY in the first two quarters of FY25, and management sees continued growth moving forward.
Negative Factors
Financial Challenges
Wolfspeed faces significant financial challenges in a sluggish macro environment with financial losses, high leverage, CHIPS Act funding challenges underpinning doubts over going concern.
Investor Confidence
Complex negotiations with lenders, including in-court and out-of-court options, impair equity investors’ confidence in Wolfspeed shares.
Management Stability
The departure of the CEO and now the CFO points to the multiple challenges the company is facing.

Wolfspeed (WOLF) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Wolfspeed Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) is a leader in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the development and production of wide bandgap semiconductors, particularly silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN) materials and devices. These advanced materials are crucial for enhancing the efficiency and performance of power and radio frequency (RF) applications across various sectors, including automotive, telecommunications, industrial, and renewable energy. Wolfspeed's core products include power devices, RF devices, and materials that enable next-generation systems for electric vehicles, 5G networks, and other cutting-edge technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyWolfspeed generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, which include silicon carbide (SiC) and gallium nitride (GaN) materials, power devices, and RF devices. These products are sold to a diverse range of industries, including automotive manufacturers for electric vehicles, telecommunications companies for 5G infrastructure, and industrial clients for high-efficiency power management solutions. The company capitalizes on the growing demand for energy-efficient and high-performance semiconductor materials, driven by trends such as electrification, renewable energy adoption, and the expansion of wireless communication networks. Strategic partnerships and long-term supply agreements with key players in these sectors also contribute significantly to Wolfspeed's revenue streams, ensuring a stable and growing customer base.

Wolfspeed Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wolfspeed is navigating a tough financial landscape characterized by high leverage, significant losses, and cash flow constraints. While gross profits indicate some operational effectiveness, the company faces challenges in achieving profitability and managing its debt levels. Sustained investment and strategic adjustments will be crucial for future financial stability and growth.
Income Statement
50
Neutral
Wolfspeed's TTM data shows a challenging financial position with negative net income and EBIT, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. The gross profit margin stands at 12.22%, indicating some level of product profitability, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -146.13%, highlighting significant losses. Revenue growth is subdued, with a marginal increase from the previous year, suggesting limited top-line expansion.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 17.26, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on Equity is negative at -319.47%, due to large losses and low equity. The equity ratio is 4.81%, reflecting a capital structure heavily reliant on debt, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Wolfspeed shows negative free cash flow, with a deteriorating free cash flow growth rate, driven by substantial capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash flow challenges are in line with the company's earnings difficulties. The financials indicate cash flow constraints amid high investment levels.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
776.60M807.20M921.90M746.20M525.60M470.70M
Gross Profit
-49.00M77.40M279.50M249.30M164.60M158.50M
EBIT
-758.60M-372.00M-380.60M-248.10M-238.40M-222.60M
EBITDA
-481.90M-145.20M-71.60M-131.20M-173.90M-73.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-978.20M-864.20M-329.90M-295.10M-341.30M-197.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.40B2.17B2.95B1.20B1.15B1.24B
Total Assets
7.74B7.98B6.62B3.92B3.45B3.23B
Total Debt
4.47B6.29B4.18B1.03B839.10M798.80M
Net Debt
3.86B5.25B4.19B582.20M460.10M350.00M
Total Liabilities
7.37B7.10B5.00B1.48B1.33B1.14B
Stockholders Equity
372.60M882.10M1.62B2.44B2.12B2.08B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.77B-3.01B-1.10B-804.80M-701.90M-263.30M
Operating Cash Flow
-702.80M-725.60M-142.60M-154.20M-125.50M-29.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-916.70M-1.94B-1.15B-391.00M-448.60M-486.90M
Financing Cash Flow
1.33B1.96B2.60B615.90M504.10M464.30M

Wolfspeed Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.49
Price Trends
50DMA
3.85
Negative
100DMA
5.02
Negative
200DMA
7.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
47.82
Neutral
STOCH
39.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WOLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.64, below the 50-day MA of 3.85, and below the 200-day MA of 7.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WOLF.

Wolfspeed Risk Analysis

Wolfspeed disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wolfspeed reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wolfspeed Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$11.58B10.33-7.23%2.94%7.47%-10.84%
55
Neutral
$427.05M-16.06%7.90%74.69%
54
Neutral
$499.85M-2.51%13.09%46.89%
53
Neutral
$626.40M-24.12%2.66%-11.35%
51
Neutral
$398.96M-26.43%-16.95%-2.47%
50
Neutral
$573.79M-32.43%-7.09%-53.23%
44
Neutral
$606.94M-180.49%-9.62%-30.36%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WOLF
Wolfspeed
3.49
-22.75
-86.70%
CEVA
Ceva
20.90
0.79
3.93%
LASR
nLIGHT
12.65
-0.58
-4.38%
INDI
indie Semiconductor
2.64
-3.73
-58.56%
NVTS
Navitas Semiconductor
2.03
-1.76
-46.44%
SKYT
SkyWater Technology
8.69
0.31
3.70%

Wolfspeed Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -21.22%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view, with notable achievements in revenue growth at Mohawk Valley and improvements in capital structure. However, challenges included negative free cash flow and ongoing debt negotiations. The strategic restructuring and focus on Silicon Carbide technology offer promising prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Mohawk Valley Revenue Growth
Mohawk Valley posted $78 million in revenue, showing a sequential growth of 50% and a year-over-year increase of over 175%.
Silicon Carbide Technology Leadership
Wolfspeed's silicon carbide technology is described as second to none, with a fully automated 200-millimeter manufacturing footprint established.
Capital Structure Improvements
Received approximately $192 million in cash tax refunds from the Section 48D Advanced Manufacturing Tax Credit, boosting liquidity.
Operational Restructuring
Significant cost-saving measures and a 30% reduction in senior leadership team to optimize operations and improve profitability.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $168 million, with operating cash flow at negative $142 million.
Decreased Industrial and Energy Revenues
Despite growth in automotive revenue, there was a decrease in industrial and energy revenues.
Debt Negotiations and Going Concern Language
Ongoing negotiations with lenders concerning capital structure, with potential in-court or out-of-court options being considered.
Company Guidance
During Wolfspeed's third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance emphasizing several key metrics and strategic developments. Wolfspeed reported third-quarter revenue of $185 million, achieving a 2.2% sequential increase, with Mohawk Valley contributing $78 million, marking a 50% sequential growth. The company highlighted its focus on enhancing financial performance, targeting an EBITDA break-even point of approximately $800 million annually and aspiring to achieve $200 million in positive unlevered operating cash flow by fiscal 2026. Wolfspeed also discussed its capital structure improvements, including receiving $192 million in cash tax refunds and planning to submit for a $600 million tax credit refund in fiscal year 2026. To further strengthen its financial position, the company aims to generate $150 million from non-core asset divestitures by calendar year 2025 and is engaged in lender negotiations to optimize its capital structure. Operationally, Wolfspeed is advancing its transition to a 200-millimeter silicon carbide production, closing its 150-millimeter facilities, and implementing cost-saving measures targeting $200 million in cash savings annually.

Wolfspeed Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Wolfspeed Appoints New Board Members Amid Financial Talks
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced the appointment of Mark Jensen and Paul Walsh to its Board of Directors, with both joining the Audit Committee. These appointments bring significant expertise in finance, accounting, and restructuring, crucial for Wolfspeed’s ongoing negotiations with lenders to improve its capital structure. The company also announced that Stacy J. Smith will not seek re-election and will leave the Board before the 2025 Annual Meeting. These changes are expected to strengthen Wolfspeed’s board as it navigates financial challenges and aims for long-term success.

Spark’s Take on WOLF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, WOLF is a Neutral.

Wolfspeed’s overall stock score reflects a company in transition, facing significant financial and operational challenges. The financial performance is heavily impacted by high leverage and losses, while the technical analysis provides some hope of recovery. Valuation concerns arise from negative earnings, and the earnings call highlights a mixed outlook with some strategic positives. The appointment of a new CEO could potentially lead to future improvements.

To see Spark’s full report on WOLF stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Wolfspeed Enters Confidentiality Agreement, Discloses Financial Info
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. entered into a confidentiality agreement with a holder of its 1.75% convertible senior notes due 2026 to discuss potential transactions. However, the potential transaction was deemed not actionable, and the company decided not to pursue it further. As part of the agreement, Wolfspeed disclosed certain confidential information to the public. The release also included cautionary notes about the company’s financial projections, which were not prepared for public disclosure and should not be relied upon for investment decisions. The announcement highlights the company’s transparency in handling financial matters and its cautious approach to future projections amidst various economic and geopolitical uncertainties.

Spark’s Take on WOLF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, WOLF is a Neutral.

Wolfspeed faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and ongoing losses weighing heavily on its stock score. Technical analysis shows a bearish trend, and valuation is concerning given the negative P/E ratio. The earnings call highlighted both potential improvements and ongoing challenges, while the new CEO’s appointment is a positive development. Despite strategic initiatives, the company’s financial and market conditions present substantial risks.

To see Spark’s full report on WOLF stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Adopts 2025 Inducement Award Plan
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. adopted the 2025 Inducement Award Plan, reserving 2,000,000 shares of common stock for equity awards. This plan is designed to attract new talent and facilitate corporate acquisitions or mergers by offering stock options and other equity-based awards, aligning with the New York Stock Exchange’s Inducement Listing Rule.

Spark’s Take on WOLF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, WOLF is a Neutral.

Wolfspeed faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and ongoing losses weighing heavily on its stock score. Technical analysis shows a bearish trend, and valuation is concerning given the negative P/E ratio. The earnings call highlighted both potential improvements and ongoing challenges, while the new CEO’s appointment is a positive development. Despite strategic initiatives, the company’s financial and market conditions present substantial risks.

To see Spark’s full report on WOLF stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed CFO Neill Reynolds to Step Down
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Wolfspeed announced that Neill P. Reynolds will step down as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on May 30, 2025, following a mutual agreement to pursue another opportunity. Reynolds will remain with the company until his departure to ensure a smooth transition and assist in ongoing lender negotiations. The company has initiated a search for a new CFO and reaffirmed its fiscal third-quarter guidance for 2025, highlighting its commitment to strengthening its capital structure and balance sheet.

Spark’s Take on WOLF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, WOLF is a Neutral.

Wolfspeed faces significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flow, which weigh heavily on its stock score. While the earnings call highlighted some strategic initiatives and potential funding support, the company’s valuation remains unattractive. Technical indicators suggest bearish trends, adding to the cautious outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on WOLF stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wolfspeed Appoints Robert Feurle as New CEO
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Wolfspeed, Inc. announced the appointment of Robert Feurle as the new Chief Executive Officer, effective May 1, 2025. Feurle, a veteran in the semiconductor industry, is expected to drive operational excellence and enhance profitability at Wolfspeed. His extensive experience in managing large business units and strategic initiatives in the semiconductor sector aligns with Wolfspeed’s strategic vision for long-term value creation. This leadership change is anticipated to bolster Wolfspeed’s market position and financial performance, as the company aims to accelerate its path to positive free cash flow and strengthen its balance sheet.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.