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VirTra Inc (VTSI)
NASDAQ:VTSI

VirTra (VTSI) AI Stock Analysis

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VirTra

(NASDAQ:VTSI)

70Outperform
VirTra shows a solid financial foundation with strong margins and a stable balance sheet. The recent earnings call was positive, indicating a return to profitability and strategic growth initiatives. However, the stock's valuation seems high, and technical indicators present mixed signals. Overall, VirTra is well-positioned for growth but faces challenges from macroeconomic headwinds and valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
International Expansion
Management secured contacts with agencies in Europe and Latin America, expanding VirTra's international reach.
Product Launch
The company has been accepting initial orders for the V-XR and is preparing customer deliveries, indicating strong product demand.
Negative Factors
Federal Funding Challenges
The challenging federal funding environment is expected to impact the near term, with headwinds likely persisting for 1-2 more quarters.
Revenue and EPS Miss
VirTra reported revenue and EPS below estimates due to the impact of federal budget delays and grant disbursement pauses.

VirTra (VTSI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

VirTra Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVirTra, Inc. provides force training simulators and firearms training simulators for law enforcement, military, educational, and commercial markets worldwide. It offers V-300 simulator, a 300 degree wrap-around screen for simulation training; V-180 simulator, a 180 degree screen for smaller spaces or budgets; V-100, a single-screen firearms training simulator system; V-100 MIL, a single-screen small arms training simulator; and V-ST PRO, a realistic single screen firearms shooting and skills training simulator. The company also provides Virtual Interactive Coursework Training Academy, which enables law enforcement agencies to teach, train, test, and sustain departmental training requirements; and Subscription Training Equipment Partnership, a program that allows agencies to utilize VirTra's simulator products, accessories, and V-VICTA interactive coursework on a subscription basis. In addition, it offers V-Author software that allows users to create, edit, and train with content specific to agency's objectives; a range of simulated recoil kits/weapons; Threat-Fire, a return fire device that applies real-world stress on the trainees during simulation training; and TASER, an OC spray and low-light training devices. It sells its simulators and related products through a direct sales force and distribution partners. The company was formerly known as VirTra Systems, Inc. and changed its name to VirTra, Inc. in October 2016. VirTra, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyVirTra generates revenue primarily through the sale and leasing of its immersive simulation training systems to law enforcement agencies, military organizations, and other security-focused entities. The company's revenue streams include the direct sale of hardware and software solutions, recurring revenue from service and maintenance contracts, and the customization and integration of training modules tailored to specific client needs. Additionally, VirTra often engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. These partnerships can lead to joint development projects and co-marketing opportunities, further supporting the company's growth and revenue generation.

VirTra Financial Statement Overview

Summary
VirTra presents a stable financial standing with consistent revenue growth and strong margins. The balance sheet is solid with low debt levels and a high equity ratio, mitigating financial risk. Cash flow performance has room for improvement, with some volatility in free cash flow, but operating cash flows have been positive recently.
Income Statement
68
Positive
VirTra has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable jump from 2020 to 2023. The gross profit margin has been strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin shows some volatility, which could point to fluctuating operational costs or other expenses impacting profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a strong equity position as evidenced by a high equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating a conservative approach to leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is positive, suggesting effective use of equity capital to generate profits. Overall, the financial position appears stable with low leverage risk.
Cash Flow
64
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a mixed performance with free cash flow fluctuating over the years. Operating cash flow has been positive recently, which is a good sign, but the free cash flow has seen some negative years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is reasonable, indicating decent cash conversion from profits.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.35M38.04M28.30M24.43M19.09M
Gross Profit
19.41M26.67M16.25M11.41M11.90M
EBIT
2.00M9.64M2.59M1.45M1.23M
EBITDA
3.67M11.65M3.48M1.45M1.90M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.36M8.40M1.96M2.54M1.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
18.04M18.85M13.48M19.71M6.84M
Total Assets
66.43M69.63M53.81M49.58M22.75M
Total Debt
8.26M8.79M9.56M9.37M2.50M
Net Debt
-9.78M-10.06M-3.92M-10.34M-4.34M
Total Liabilities
19.76M27.01M20.13M18.35M11.09M
Stockholders Equity
45.69M42.62M33.68M31.23M11.66M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-588.31K5.55M-6.03M-3.86M2.18M
Operating Cash Flow
1.26M6.68M-2.69M-125.74K2.25M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.85M-1.13M-3.34M-3.74M1.85M
Financing Cash Flow
-220.71K-188.18K-190.42K16.73M1.33M

VirTra Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.41
Price Trends
50DMA
4.67
Positive
100DMA
5.54
Positive
200DMA
6.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
77.35
Negative
STOCH
64.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTSI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.32, above the 50-day MA of 4.67, and above the 200-day MA of 6.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTSI.

VirTra Risk Analysis

VirTra disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. VirTra reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

VirTra Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$47.24M12.8925.69%23.22%39.83%
72
Outperform
$75.58M19.347.61%15.63%64.98%
70
Outperform
$52.59M49.843.10%-29.61%-78.85%
64
Neutral
$4.38B12.035.25%249.91%4.11%-11.02%
CVCVU
54
Neutral
$47.06M13.9613.74%-6.23%-80.67%
48
Neutral
$29.65M-114.28%-21.64%86.28%
36
Underperform
$36.21M153.01%-72.64%30.43%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTSI
VirTra
6.41
-5.10
-44.31%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
3.55
0.70
24.56%
OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings
7.84
-0.73
-8.52%
CODA
Coda Octopus Group
6.89
0.20
2.99%
KITT
Nauticus Robotics
1.05
-4.71
-81.77%
SIDU
Sidus Space, Inc. Class A
1.65
-1.72
-51.04%

VirTra Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 37.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
VirTra's Q1 2025 earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with a return to GAAP profitability, increased bookings, and improved operational efficiency. However, challenges such as revenue decline and macroeconomic headwinds were noted. The company's strategic initiatives and innovations, such as the V-XR platform, position it well for future growth despite current challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to GAAP Profitability
VirTra posted a return to GAAP profitability in Q1 2025, demonstrating strong financial performance despite a challenging environment.
Strong Gross Margins
The gross profit for Q1 improved to $5.2 million, or 73% of total revenue, compared to 64% in the prior year period, reflecting a 25% decrease in cost of sales.
Significant Increase in Bookings
Bookings for the quarter totaled $6.4 million, more than double the $2.9 million recorded in Q1 of 2024.
Expansion of Certified Training Content
VirTra expanded its certified training content to over 120 hours, reflecting a commitment to high-impact training solutions.
Improved Operational Efficiency
Operating income increased by 110% to $1.4 million compared to $650,000 in the prior year period.
V-XR Platform Interest
Growing interest in the V-XR extended reality platform, with two units sold and several more in active quote discussions.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $7.2 million, a 3% decrease from $7.3 million in the prior year, due to delayed deliveries.
Government Revenue Decrease
Government revenue for Q1 was $5.2 million, down from $6.7 million in the prior year period, impacted by funding delays.
Macro Headwinds Impacting Sales Cycles
Sales cycles are taking longer due to economic uncertainty and tightening government budgets, affecting the timing of contracts.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, VirTra demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic progress despite challenging macroeconomic conditions. The company achieved a return to GAAP profitability, posting a net income of $1.3 million, or $0.11 per diluted share, which marked a 170% increase from the previous year. Total revenue for the quarter was $7.2 million, with gross margins improving to 73%, up from 64% in the prior year period. VirTra ended the quarter with $6.4 million in bookings and a $21.2 million backlog, reflecting a robust market position and ongoing demand for their training solutions. The company also emphasized their strategic shift to three-year agreements for their STEP program, enhancing recurring revenue streams. Additionally, VirTra's focus on expanding their V-XR platform and leveraging advanced technologies such as AI for content development positions them well to meet evolving training needs across law enforcement, military, and federal agencies.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.