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Ventas (VTR) AI Stock Analysis

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VTR

Ventas

(NYSE:VTR)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$88.00▲(1.10% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (notably strong and growing free cash flow) and a very constructive earnings outlook with raised guidance and strong SHOP operating momentum. These strengths are tempered by weak technical momentum and an expensive valuation (very high P/E), with additional caution from leverage and reporting volatility in gross profit/debt presentation.

Positive Factors
Senior Housing Operating GrowthSustained double-digit SHOP NOI growth indicates durable operating momentum rather than a single-quarter improvement. It reflects stronger occupancy, pricing, and property-level profitability, supporting recurring cash-flow growth and giving Ventas a foundation for further investment and earnings expansion.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageHistorically elevated leverage can constrain financial flexibility for a rate-sensitive REIT, particularly when debt must be refinanced. Higher obligations may limit acquisition capacity, increase exposure to financing costs, and reduce the resources available for dividends or property investment during weaker operating periods.

Ventas Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by TypeSeparates revenue into categories like contractual rent, operating income from managed communities, and fees, clarifying which cash flows are recurring versus variable. For investors in Ventas, this helps judge dividend sustainability and the sensitivity of revenue to occupancy, reimbursement, or management performance.

$0.00$500.00M$1.00B$1.50BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Resident Fees & Services is the clear growth engine—accelerating sharply and driving the company’s revenue and NOI, a trend that underpins management’s raised FFO and heavier SHOP investment posture. Rental Income is steady but non‑growthary, while loan/investment and office-related lines are small and volatile. Ventas is redeploying capital into senior housing and active asset management to monetize occupancy and rate gains; execution risk remains around lease‑ups and near‑term capex, but the current operational momentum supports margin expansion and FFO upside if occupancy improvements persist.

Data provided by:The Fly

Ventas (VTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%VTR+18.99%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$46.03B
Dividend Yield
2.34%
Average Volume (3M)
3.58M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
161.2
Beta (1Y)
0.17
Revenue Growth
22.13%
EPS Growth
0.00%
Country
US
Employees
542
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Ventas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ventas, Inc. is an S&P 500 company enabling exceptional environments that benefit a large and growing aging population. With approximately 1,450 properties in North America and the United Kingdom, Ventas occupies an essential role in the longevity ec...

How the Company Makes Money

Ventas makes money primarily by generating recurring real estate income from its healthcare property portfolio. Key revenue streams include: (1) Rental and lease income: For properties operated under triple-net or other lease arrangements, Ventas ear...

Ventas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:4.44%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, characterized by record company same-store growth, 17 consecutive quarters of double-digit SHOP NOI growth, improving occupancy and margins, increased FFO guidance, substantial investment activity, stronger leverage, and a robust acquisition pipeline. The company cited limited challenges from research portfolio performance, quarterly utility costs, higher interest rates, FX, acquisition competition, and lower-priority international markets, but these did not outweigh the reported operating momentum and outlook.

Positive Updates

Strong Enterprise and Same-Store Performance
Ventas reported 11% total company same-store cash NOI growth, a record-high company growth rate, led by 16% SHOP same-store cash NOI growth. U.S. SHOP same-store cash NOI grew 17%.

Negative Updates

Research Portfolio Decline
Ventas's research portfolio, which represents a small portion of NOI, experienced a modest decline in the third quarter, although management said the decline was expected.

Company Guidance

Ventas raised full year net income guidance to $0.64 to $0.67 per share or $0.66 per share at the midpoint, and increased full year normalized FFO per share guidance to now range from $3.87 to $3.90 per share, which represents year over year growth of 9% to 10%; the guidance includes closed investments of $5.2 billion, assumes refinancing maturing debt in the coming months, and expects the majority of disposition and loan repayment guidance of $700 million at a 7% yield to close in the fourth quarter. Same store cash NOI guidance was reaffirmed for each segment and for the total company. Senior housing investments are expected to produce double digit to mid teens unlevered IRRs and year-1 average yields in the mid-6s, while next year’s in house rent increases are expected to be around the same or better.

Ventas Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are improving with meaningful revenue acceleration, a return to positive net income, and strong, rising operating and free cash flow that supports dividends and reinvestment. Offsetting this are balance-sheet concerns (historically elevated leverage and an unclear TTM debt presentation) and volatility/oddities in reported gross profit that add uncertainty to earnings quality.

Income Statement

71Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

84Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.78B5.83B4.92B4.50B4.13B3.83B
Gross Profit-60.12M-344.22M2.10B1.94B1.85B1.74B
EBITDA2.59B2.24B1.82B1.70B1.50B1.48B
Net Income265.60M251.38M81.15M-40.97M-47.45M49.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.63B27.59B26.19B24.73B24.16B24.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments202.01M741.07M897.85M508.79M122.56M149.72M
Total Debt12.67B13.22B13.74B13.69B12.49B12.22B
Total Liabilities14.27B15.01B15.36B15.18B13.94B13.77B
Stockholders Equity15.81B12.53B10.77B9.49B10.15B10.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.66B1.32B1.06B935.13M926.34M858.69M
Operating Cash Flow1.95B1.68B1.34B1.19B1.15B1.04B
Investing Cash Flow-4.78B-2.73B-2.39B-239.20M-882.33M-764.48M
Financing Cash Flow2.82B875.73M1.45B-563.88M-289.13M-535.97M

Ventas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price87.04

Price Trends

50DMA86.61Positive
100DMA88.68Negative
200DMA85.78Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.10Negative
RSI55.10Neutral
STOCH83.15Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 87.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.53, above the 50-day MA of 86.61, and above the 200-day MA of 85.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTR.

Ventas Risk Analysis

Ventas disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ventas reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Ventas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

VTR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CTRECTRE80Outperform$8.54B22.808.54%4.10%53.07%32.48%
OHIOHI80Outperform$14.24B21.0316.51%5.66%15.18%72.69%
DOCDOC70Outperform$13.76B36.225.00%6.24%9.42%―
WELLWELL70Outperform$175.33B116.513.23%1.27%39.11%-140.16%
VTRVTR67Neutral$46.85B161.191.89%2.34%22.13%0.00%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HRHR60Neutral$6.47B-134.78-1.04%5.01%-6.28%77.63%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%20%30%VTRDOCWELLOHIHRCTREDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
VTR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VTRVentas Inc87.0413.8618.94%
DOCHealthpeak Properties, Inc.19.562.8316.92%
WELLWelltower, Inc.241.1757.5231.32%
OHIOmega Healthcare Investors47.536.3115.32%
HRHealthcare Realty Trust Incorporated19.182.1412.53%
CTRECareTrust REIT36.712.126.14%

Ventas Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Ventas Appoints Laurida Sayed as Chief Accounting Officer

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

On September 10, 2026, Ventas, Inc. approved the appointment of Laurida Sayed as Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, effective on or around October 5, 2026, with Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Robert...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026