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Targa Resources (TRGP)
NYSE:TRGP
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Targa Resources (TRGP) AI Stock Analysis

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TRGP

Targa Resources

(NYSE:TRGP)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$333.00
▲(16.06% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/25/26
The score is driven primarily by improving operating performance and a strong, upbeat earnings outlook (top-end EBITDA guidance supported by record volumes and project progress), alongside favorable technical momentum. The main offsets are balance-sheet leverage and only moderate free-cash-flow conversion, plus a relatively premium valuation (P/E ~27.9) with a modest dividend yield (~1.53%).
Positive Factors
Record throughput growth
Record volumes across gathering, transportation and fractionation show strong customer demand and improving asset utilization. Sustained Permian growth and integrated downstream capacity can support durable earnings expansion over the next several years.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
The substantial debt load leaves Targa with a relatively limited equity cushion if commodity conditions, volumes or capital markets weaken. Elevated leverage can also constrain financial flexibility while the company funds an ambitious expansion program.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Record throughput growth
Record volumes across gathering, transportation and fractionation show strong customer demand and improving asset utilization. Sustained Permian growth and integrated downstream capacity can support durable earnings expansion over the next several years.
Read all positive factors

Targa Resources Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Measures profit from each business unit after operating costs, showing which segments drive earnings and where margins are expanding or contracting. Highlights the parts of the business that convert revenue into cash most efficiently and where cost or volume changes are affecting overall profitability.
Chart InsightsGathering & Processing and Logistics & Transportation are the durable earnings engines—both show sustained upward momentum that aligns with management’s record Permian inlet volumes, fractionation throughput and pipeline capacity additions—while the “Other” line is erratic, driven by marketing gains, one‑offs and integration effects that add significant quarter-to-quarter noise. The guidance raise reflects confidence that ongoing egress and downstream projects will turn that underlying capacity into more reliable EBITDA, but Waha-basis shut‑ins and occasional export outages keep near‑term volume and Other‑line volatility elevated.
Data provided by:The Fly

Targa Resources (TRGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Targa Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Targa Resources Corp., alongside its subsidiary Targa Resources Partners LP, is a significant entity in the North American midstream energy sector, focusing on the ownership, operation, acquisition, and development of crucial energy infrastructure...
How the Company Makes Money
Targa makes money by charging fees and earning margins for moving, treating, and marketing natural gas and NGLs from upstream producers to downstream buyers. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Gathering and Processing: collecting raw natur...

Targa Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution and record volumes across the Permian and downstream systems, with significant adjusted EBITDA growth, project progress (multiple plants, fractionators and pipeline expansions), robust liquidity and increased shareholder returns. Key near-term challenges include earlier price-driven shut-ins, per-unit margin pressure in G&P due to commodity sensitivity, moderation of marketing optimization gains in H2, and extended lead times for some project components. On balance, the positive operational momentum, record throughput, project execution and financial strength materially outweigh the disclosed headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.603 billion in Q2 2026, up 14% sequentially and adjusted EBITDA increased ~38% year-over-year. Company now expects full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA toward the top end of guidance ($5.7B–$5.9B) and suggests 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth over 2025 may be close to $1 billion.
Negative Updates
Price-Related Producer Curtailments and Shut-ins
During Q2 management disclosed ~200–400 MMcf/d of gas shut-in on any given day due to weak Waha prices earlier in the period; while most curtailed volumes returned in July, some shut-ins remained into early August, indicating exposure to regional basis volatility and takeaway constraints.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.603 billion in Q2 2026, up 14% sequentially and adjusted EBITDA increased ~38% year-over-year. Company now expects full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA toward the top end of guidance ($5.7B–$5.9B) and suggests 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth over 2025 may be close to $1 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Targa said it now expects full‑year 2026 adjusted EBITDA toward the top of its $5.7–$5.9 billion guidance range (Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $1.603 billion, +14% QoQ and +38% YoY), implying 2026 adjusted EBITDA could be roughly $1 billion higher than 2025; the company reiterated 2026 net growth capital of ~ $4.5 billion and net maintenance capital of $250 million, reported $3.2 billion of available liquidity and a pro‑forma consolidated leverage ratio of ~3.4x (target range 3–4x), extended its A/R securitization to July 30, 2027 and added $200 million capacity, declared a Q2 common dividend of $1.25/sh (+25% YoY) and repurchased about $80 million of stock at an average $259.93/sh, noted H1 marketing outperformance of ~ $250 million (not included in guidance), and framed operational drivers for the guidance including record Permian volumes of 7.2 Bcf/d (+7% QoQ, +14% YoY), record NGL transport of 1.1 MMbpd, fractionation of 1.2 MMbpd, Q2 LPG exports averaging 14.8 MMb/month, Train 11 online (Trains 12/13 on track), Speedway initial capacity 500k bpd (expandable to 1.0 MMbpd) and an LPG export expansion to ~19 MMb/month targeted for Q3 2027.

Targa Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength is notable (improving margins and profitability; Income Statement Score 84), and operating cash flow is robust (Cash Flow Score 71). Offsetting this, the balance sheet is still a key risk (Balance Sheet Score 58) with high leverage and rising absolute debt, and free-cash-flow conversion is currently modest versus net income.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.79B17.14B16.63B15.62B21.68B17.44B
Gross Profit6.14B4.54B3.33B2.54B2.79B2.09B
EBITDA4.80B4.85B4.14B3.97B3.21B1.70B
Net Income2.26B1.84B1.27B828.20M1.14B71.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.52B25.22B22.73B20.67B19.56B15.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.30M166.10M157.30M141.70M219.00M158.50M
Total Debt20.14B17.55B14.27B13.01B11.56B6.63B
Total Liabilities24.72B22.02B18.32B16.06B14.58B10.03B
Stockholders Equity3.66B3.07B2.59B2.74B2.67B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow740.90M584.10M683.90M826.20M1.05B1.80B
Operating Cash Flow4.29B3.92B3.65B3.21B2.38B2.30B
Investing Cash Flow-5.05B-5.44B-3.02B-2.40B-4.15B-473.20M
Financing Cash Flow780.00M1.53B-612.80M-888.10M1.83B-1.91B

Targa Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price286.91
Price Trends
50DMA
277.61
Positive
100DMA
267.64
Positive
200DMA
236.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.34
Positive
RSI
57.77
Neutral
STOCH
55.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 286.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 288.20, above the 50-day MA of 277.61, and above the 200-day MA of 236.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRGP.

Targa Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$60.50B12.8433.42%7.20%4.79%10.20%
76
Outperform
$62.20B27.9572.08%1.53%-0.83%49.90%
75
Outperform
$84.09B13.4821.21%5.68%7.38%7.45%
73
Outperform
$74.03B13.3616.77%6.25%33.27%12.55%
73
Outperform
$60.16B16.7816.28%4.35%41.83%12.74%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$90.70B30.0923.86%2.70%8.70%26.28%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRGP
Targa Resources
294.29
136.41
86.40%
ET
Energy Transfer
21.51
5.54
34.66%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
38.83
9.20
31.05%
OKE
Oneok
97.51
29.37
43.10%
WMB
Williams Co
75.83
20.03
35.90%
MPLX
MPLX
59.83
13.55
29.27%

Targa Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Targa Resources Announces Executive Leadership and CFO Transition
Positive
Aug 25, 2026
On August 20, 2026, Targa Resources’ board appointed Brent B. Secrest as President – Logistics and Transportation, effective September 1, 2026, bringing extensive leadership experience in crude oil, refined products, liquid hydrocarbon...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Targa Resources Reports Record Q2 Results, Raises Guidance
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
Targa Resources reported record second quarter 2026 results on August 6, with net income rising to $765 million from $629 million a year earlier and adjusted EBITDA jumping 38% year-on-year to $1.6 billion, supported by record Permian inlet, NGL t...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Targa Resources Adds Experienced Director to Board
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, Targa Resources Corp. appointed former ConocoPhillips executive Thomas Mathiasmeier as a Class II director, with his term running until the 2027 annual meeting, and named him to the Board’s Audit Committee. His extensive le...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Targa Resources Expands Receivables Securitization Facility Agreement
Positive
Jul 6, 2026
On July 1, 2026, Targa Resources Partners LP and its bankruptcy‑remote subsidiary Targa Receivables LLC amended their long‑standing receivables purchase agreement governing an accounts receivable securitization facility. The amendment ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2026