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SWATCH
(OTC:SWGAY)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(10.68% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is held up mainly by the very strong balance sheet and low financial risk, but it is weighed down by sharply deteriorating profitability, inconsistent free cash flow, and an extremely high P/E ratio. Technical indicators are broadly neutral-to-weak, offering limited support for near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Very strong balance sheet
Minimal leverage and a large equity base materially reduce solvency risk. This gives Swatch flexibility to fund operations, sustain its brand portfolio, and absorb prolonged demand weakness without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Persistent revenue contraction
Two consecutive years of declining revenue indicate sustained pressure on demand, market execution or geographic exposure. Prolonged top-line weakness can reduce operating leverage, constrain brand investment and make recovery dependent on a stronger product cycle.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very strong balance sheet
Minimal leverage and a large equity base materially reduce solvency risk. This gives Swatch flexibility to fund operations, sustain its brand portfolio, and absorb prolonged demand weakness without relying heavily on external financing.
Read all positive factors
SWATCH (SWGAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$11.88B
Dividend Yield2.43%
Average Volume (3M)8.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)1100.6
Beta (1Y)1.01
Revenue Growth9.18%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees31,796
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryLuxury Goods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding578,720,000
10 Day Avg. Volume14,977
30 Day Avg. Volume8,840
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-29.33
Price to Book (P/B)0.75
Price to Sales (P/S)1.38
P/FCF Ratio88.38
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$8.20Price Target Upside-21.08% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.27
Revenue Forecast (FY)$8.08B
SWATCH Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
The Swatch Group AG is a global enterprise specializing in the design, production, and worldwide distribution of finished watches, exquisite jewelry, and critical watch movements and components. Its operations are structured across two primary div...
How the Company Makes Money
The Swatch Group primarily makes money by selling watches and jewelry under its portfolio of brands. Revenue is generated through (1) wholesale distribution, where products are sold to third-party retailers, distributors, and duty-free operators; ...
SWATCH Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.41B | 6.28B | 6.74B | 7.89B | 7.50B | 7.31B |
| Gross Profit | 3.78B | 5.16B | 5.25B | 3.77B | 5.87B | 5.54B |
| EBITDA | 541.18M | 558.00M | 764.00M | 1.55B | 1.51B | 1.45B |
| Net Income | 9.19M | 3.00M | 193.00M | 869.00M | 807.00M | 765.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.43B | 13.38B | 13.99B | 14.23B | 13.89B | 13.68B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.35B | 1.23B | 1.40B | 2.05B | 2.54B | 2.65B |
| Total Debt | 235.17M | 38.00M | 22.00M | 75.00M | 8.00M | 99.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.98B | 1.72B | 1.77B | 1.97B | 1.84B | 2.07B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.35B | 11.56B | 12.11B | 12.20B | 11.98B | 11.54B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 273.29M | 98.00M | -216.00M | -170.00M | 337.00M | 1.00B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 637.54M | 507.00M | 333.00M | 615.00M | 724.00M | 1.30B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -367.57M | -346.00M | -470.00M | -768.00M | -114.00M | -727.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -187.64M | -205.00M | -410.00M | -327.00M | -300.00M | -234.00M |
SWATCH Technical Analysis
Negative
10.39
Price Trends
11.89
Negative
12.17
Negative
11.58
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.03
Negative
47.18
Neutral
49.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWGAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.70, below the 50-day MA of 11.89, and below the 200-day MA of 11.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SWGAY.
SWATCH Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | $3.25B | 11.45 | 16.01% | 1.47% | 1.35% | 661.25% | |
66 Neutral | $550.19M | 18.95 | 8.19% | 3.01% | 4.83% | 136.40% | |
64 Neutral | $3.49B | 22.77 | 3.25% | 0.19% | 3.54% | -55.30% | |
63 Neutral | $25.02B | 16.75 | 262.81% | 1.12% | 14.17% | 956.15% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
53 Neutral | $11.88B | 1,100.59 | 0.08% | 2.71% | 9.18% | ― | |
52 Neutral | $135.46M | -4.56 | -37.58% | 21.13% | 6.41% | -893.45% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
SWGAY
SWATCH
11.59
2.64
29.48%
TPR
Tapestry
125.49
24.96
24.83%
MOV
Movado Group
34.48
17.27
100.37%
PVH
PVH
75.79
-8.37
-9.95%
SIG
Signet Jewelers
82.70
-4.10
-4.72%
BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group
1.33
-1.46
-52.33%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.