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Rent The Runway, Inc. (RENT)
NASDAQ:RENT
US Market
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Rent the Runway (RENT) AI Stock Analysis

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RENT

Rent the Runway

(NASDAQ:RENT)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-29.15% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/04/26
Score is held down primarily by weak financial health (negative equity and ongoing cash burn despite improving profitability) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partly offset by constructive earnings-call guidance and revenue momentum, plus a low P/E that improves the valuation view.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription growth
The core subscription base is expanding alongside strong top-line momentum, which strengthens recurring revenue predictability and lifetime value. Subscriber growth plus higher average subscribers provides a durable foundation for revenue stability, lowers per-customer marketing dependence and supports long-term fleet utilization.
Negative Factors
Weak balance sheet (negative equity)
Negative equity constrains financial flexibility and increases downside risk if operating results falter. It limits borrowing capacity, complicates covenant negotiations, and makes the company more reliant on dilutive equity or covenant-amending financings to sustain inventory-intensive operations over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring subscription growth
The core subscription base is expanding alongside strong top-line momentum, which strengthens recurring revenue predictability and lifetime value. Subscriber growth plus higher average subscribers provides a durable foundation for revenue stability, lowers per-customer marketing dependence and supports long-term fleet utilization.
Read all positive factors

Rent the Runway Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Subscriber Breakdown
Subscriber Breakdown
Provides a detailed look at the composition of subscribers, revealing trends in customer acquisition, retention, and the overall health of the subscription model.
Chart InsightsAfter rapid growth in 2021–22, total subscribers flattened and experienced a meaningful early‑2025 dip before recovering to prior highs by late‑2025; importantly, both average and ending active subscribers have trended upward, suggesting better engagement and retention and a higher‑quality subscriber base. That improvement implies steadier subscription revenue per user even without big net add runs, but the history of seasonal swings and churn means management still needs to demonstrate this recovery’s durability.
Data provided by:The Fly

Rent the Runway (RENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rent the Runway Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Rent the Runway, Inc. rents designer wear for women through its stores and online retail. The company offers ready-to-wear, workwear, denim, casual, maternity, outerwear, blouses, knitwear, loungewear, jewelry, handbags, activewear, ski wear, home...
How the Company Makes Money
Rent the Runway primarily makes money through (1) subscription revenue and (2) resale revenue. Subscription revenue is generated when customers pay recurring fees for membership plans that provide ongoing access to rent a set number of items at a ...

Rent the Runway Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed strong top-line momentum: nearly 30% revenue growth, meaningful add-on and retail strength, improving adjusted EBITDA, and promising early returns from AI-driven discovery and new revenue pilots. These positives are tempered by notable margin compression, worsening free cash flow in the quarter, a deceleration in ending subscriber growth versus prior periods, and exposure to transportation/fuel cost volatility and leadership transitions. Management reiterated full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance and outlined initiatives to improve discovery and diversify revenue, suggesting confidence in a continued recovery trajectory despite near-term operational headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Guidance Beat
Total revenue of $89.9M in Q1'26, up 29.2% year-over-year, and above guidance ($85M-$87M). Company reiterates double-digit revenue growth guidance for fiscal year 2026.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Contraction
Gross margin declined to 25.9% in Q1'26 from 31.5% in Q1'25 and fell from 38.6% in Q4'25, driven by higher revenue share costs from greater share-by-RTR inventory and seasonally higher fixed revenue share costs.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth and Guidance Beat
Total revenue of $89.9M in Q1'26, up 29.2% year-over-year, and above guidance ($85M-$87M). Company reiterates double-digit revenue growth guidance for fiscal year 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated double‑digit revenue growth for fiscal 2026 and an adjusted EBITDA target of 4%–7% of revenue for the full year, with rental product acquired expected to be $45–50M; for Q2 they guided revenue of $91–95M (up 12%–17% vs Q2 ’25) and Q2 adjusted EBITDA of 5%–8% of revenue. For context, Q1 revenue was $89.9M (+29.2% YoY), beating prior guidance of $85–87M, with ending active subscribers of 155,692 (+5.8% YoY) and average active subscribers of 149,744 (+12.2% YoY). Management highlighted strong product engagement—add‑on revenue +70% YoY and +11% QoQ, a personalized carousel driving an 11% increase in hearting behavior for active subscribers, and AI imagery lifting views on updated styles by 129%. Q1 unit economics included fulfillment costs of $23.6M (26.2% of revenue), gross margin of 25.9%, operating expenses 45.4% of revenue, adjusted EBITDA of –$0.8M (–0.9% of revenue), and free cash flow of –$13.6M, with the company expecting improved free cash flow over fiscal 2026 (and an April 2026 debt amendment allowing PIK interest through April 2027).

Rent the Runway Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving operating trajectory (TTM revenue up ~6% and net margin turned positive vs prior heavy losses), but fundamentals remain weak: negative equity, EBIT still negative, and cash generation deteriorated with negative TTM operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue350.10M329.80M306.20M298.20M296.40M203.30M
Gross Profit198.10M196.00M67.70M60.80M55.10M8.90M
EBITDA37.40M22.30M76.80M25.70M-4.70M-67.20M
Net Income29.80M22.60M-69.90M-113.20M-138.70M-211.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets212.70M221.00M509.60M534.60M336.20M447.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.10M50.40M77.40M84.00M154.50M247.60M
Total Debt197.10M198.30M380.80M356.60M315.20M312.80M
Total Liabilities266.00M257.10M692.10M656.90M371.50M376.40M
Stockholders Equity-53.30M-36.10M-182.50M-122.30M-35.30M71.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.60M-46.60M-40.70M-98.20M-118.70M-83.40M
Operating Cash Flow-8.60M3.50M12.90M-15.70M-47.70M-42.30M
Investing Cash Flow-44.60M-49.50M-20.10M-54.60M-44.30M-22.50M
Financing Cash Flow19.10M18.60M-300.00K700.00K-4.00M215.20M

Rent the Runway Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.94
Price Trends
50DMA
4.59
Negative
100DMA
5.42
Negative
200DMA
5.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
33.35
Neutral
STOCH
18.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RENT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.96, above the 50-day MA of 4.59, and below the 200-day MA of 5.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RENT.

Rent the Runway Risk Analysis

Rent the Runway disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rent the Runway reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rent the Runway Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
22.70%8.64%
62
Neutral
$102.93M-48.52-21.26%1.69%93.35%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$468.27M-19.75-12.23%3.65%66.88%
46
Neutral
$23.43M-2,577.52-326.53%-8.96%83.08%
45
Neutral
$138.30M-11.003.50%-9.39%-147.79%
44
Neutral
$124.22M3.87-17.71%16.39%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RENT
Rent the Runway
3.45
-4.29
-55.43%
TLYS
Tilly's
5.27
3.92
290.37%
SFIX
Stitch Fix
3.67
-0.97
-20.91%
CURV
Torrid Holdings
1.39
-3.54
-71.81%
VSCO
Victoria's Secret
80.06
57.90
261.28%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
8.56
2.26
35.87%

Rent the Runway Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Rent the Runway announces CEO transition and leadership change
Neutral
May 13, 2026
Rent the Runway announced on May 13, 2026, that co-founder Jennifer Hyman resigned as CEO, president and board member effective May 15, 2026, after nearly two decades leading the rental-focused fashion platform. She will stay on as an advisor thro...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rent the Runway Launches New ATM Equity Program
Neutral
Apr 15, 2026
On April 15, 2026, Rent the Runway entered into an at-the-market sales agreement with BTIG that allows the company to issue and sell up to $40 million of its Class A common stock under an existing shelf registration. A related prospectus supplemen...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Rent the Runway Amends Credit Agreement to Enhance Liquidity
Positive
Apr 6, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Rent the Runway, Inc. entered into a Second Amendment to its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with its lenders and CHS (US) Management LLC as administrative agent. The amendment allows the company to capitalize interest inst...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 04, 2026