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Palantir Technologies (PLTR) AI Stock Analysis

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PLTR

Palantir Technologies

(NASDAQ:PLTR)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:$197.00â–²(14.74% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

Strong financial performance and a highly optimistic, guidance-raising earnings update drive the score, supported by excellent cash generation and low leverage. Offsetting factors are weak near-term technical momentum and a very high valuation (high P/E with no dividend support), which increases downside sensitivity if growth or margins cool.

Positive Factors
U.S. Revenue GrowthExceptional growth across both U.S. commercial and government markets demonstrates accelerating adoption of Palantir’s platforms. Expansion across customer groups broadens the revenue base, supports operating leverage, and strengthens the company’s position in data and AI software.
Negative Factors
International Commercial GrowthInternational commercial growth is materially slower than Palantir’s U.S. expansion, limiting geographic diversification of the growth engine. If this gap persists, the company may remain more dependent on U.S. demand and have fewer balanced regional drivers over the medium term.

Palantir Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Total CustomersShows the number of clients using the company’s services, reflecting market reach and potential for revenue growth.

0.00250.00500.00750.001000.00Mar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Customer additions have accelerated into a scale-up phase, and management confirms this is paired with high-value conversions and expansions—record large deals and a 157% net-dollar retention are boosting revenue per customer and underpin the large upward guidance and margin expansion. However, the momentum is concentrated in U.S. commercial accounts while international adds lag, and rising revenue concentration in a handful of very large customers increases upside volatility; investors should watch international commercialization progress and large-account concentration as key risks to sustain growth.

Data provided by:The Fly

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%PLTR-3.50%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$403.54B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
28.05M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
112.2
Beta (1Y)
2.50
Revenue Growth
87.06%
EPS Growth
230.03%
Country
US
Employees
4,429
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Palantir Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Palantir Technologies Inc. engineers and deploys advanced software platforms primarily for the intelligence community, supporting counterterrorism investigations and operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. One su...

How the Company Makes Money

Palantir primarily makes money by selling subscriptions and services related to its software platforms to two broad customer groups: (1) government/public sector customers (e.g., defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies) and (2) commercial enterp...

Palantir Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 01, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-3.72%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly optimistic, supported by record 96% year-over-year revenue growth, accelerating U.S. commercial demand, expanding government adoption, large pilot-to-production conversions, record profitability and raised full-year guidance. The main challenges were comparatively weak international commercial growth, shorter-than-usual contract durations, higher expenses tied to stated investments, limited organizational bandwidth and the planned end of strategic contract revenue. The positive metrics and management outlook significantly outweighed the explicitly stated challenges.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue Growth
Third-quarter revenue grew 96% year-over-year and 20% sequentially, the highest growth rates Palantir has delivered as a public company. Revenue reached $2.313 billion and crossed $2 billion for the first time.

Negative Updates

International Commercial Growth Was Comparatively Modest
Third-quarter international commercial revenue grew 21% year-over-year and only 1% sequentially to $184 million, materially below the growth rates reported for U.S. commercial revenue.

Company Guidance

For Q4 2026, Palantir expects revenue of between $2.649 billion and $2.653 billion and adjusted income from operations of between $1.640 billion and $1.644 billion; for full year 2026, it is raising revenue guidance to between $8.530 billion and $8.534 billion, with a guidance midpoint of $8.532 billion, representing 91% growth year-over-year and a 9-point increase over its full year 2026 revenue guidance from last quarter, U.S. commercial revenue guidance to in excess of $3.559 billion, representing a growth rate of at least 143%, adjusted income from operations guidance to between $5.245 billion and $5.249 billion, and adjusted free cash flow guidance to between $4.8 billion and $5 billion, while continuing to expect GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter of this year; revenue from strategic commercial contracts is expected to be less than $500,000 in the fourth quarter, with no further revenue from these contracts beyond the fourth quarter of this year.

Palantir Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are a clear strength: strong revenue growth (TTM +18.4%) alongside a sharp profitability step-up (TTM net margin ~50.3%) and consistently high gross margin (~84.7%). Cash generation is exceptional (TTM FCF ~$4.05B, ~0.99x net income) with low leverage (~0.02 debt-to-equity). Main risk is sustainability of unusually elevated margins versus loss-making history in 2021–2022.

Income Statement

91Very Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

93Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.29B4.48B2.87B2.23B1.91B1.54B
Gross Profit6.18B3.69B2.30B1.79B1.50B1.20B
EBITDA3.77B1.68B520.76M273.92M-334.45M-469.96M
Net Income3.67B1.63B462.19M209.82M-373.70M-520.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.41B8.90B6.34B4.52B3.46B3.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.56B7.18B5.23B3.67B2.63B2.52B
Total Debt225.27M229.34M239.22M229.39M249.40M260.07M
Total Liabilities2.07B1.41B1.25B961.46M818.80M956.42M
Stockholders Equity11.23B7.39B5.00B3.48B2.57B2.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.05B2.10B1.14B697.07M183.71M321.22M
Operating Cash Flow4.10B2.13B1.15B712.18M223.74M333.85M
Investing Cash Flow-2.10B-2.78B-340.65M-2.71B-45.43M-397.91M
Financing Cash Flow9.22M-26.91M463.36M218.84M86.00M306.75M

Palantir Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price171.70

Price Trends

50DMA186.86Negative
100DMA163.35Positive
200DMA153.60Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.85Positive
RSI35.79Neutral
STOCH14.38Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLTR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 171.70 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 195.86, below the 50-day MA of 186.86, and above the 200-day MA of 153.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PLTR.

Palantir Technologies Risk Analysis

Palantir Technologies disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Palantir Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Palantir Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

PLTR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CRWDCRWD80Outperform$250.54B6846.591.29%―24.30%―
ORCLORCL79Outperform$381.57B19.1042.58%1.62%21.62%45.95%
ZSZS78Outperform$36.70B-575.49-2.76%―25.42%-47.39%
PLTRPLTR75Outperform$421.57B112.2239.84%―87.06%230.03%
PANWPANW73Outperform$286.73B756.611.68%―24.49%-68.55%
MDBMDB68Neutral$27.02B449.532.00%―25.45%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%PLTRORCLPANWMDBZSCRWDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
PLTR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.171.70-3.35-1.91%
ORCLOracle Corporation123.73-116.85-48.57%
PANWPalo Alto Networks348.04136.6764.66%
MDBMongodb, Inc.328.38-27.45-7.71%
ZSZscaler224.44-93.48-29.40%
CRWDCrowdstrike Holdings241.00107.8781.03%

Palantir Technologies Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures

Palantir Reports Record Third-Quarter Revenue and Profitability

Positive
Nov 2, 2026

On November 2, 2026, Palantir reported third-quarter revenue of $2.313 billion, up 96% year over year, while U.S. revenue increased 119% to $1.937 billion. U.S. commercial revenue rose 148% to $984 million, surpassing U.S. government revenue for the...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026