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Principal Financial (PFG)
NASDAQ:PFG
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Principal Financial (PFG) AI Stock Analysis

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PFG

Principal Financial

(NASDAQ:PFG)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$119.00
▲(6.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/20/26
PFG’s score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (improving profitability and strong free cash flow) and a constructive earnings backdrop with reiterated guidance and meaningful capital returns. These positives are offset by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and the notable risk of investment management outflows, while valuation remains reasonable for the fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Earnings and margin expansion
Improving earnings, revenue, and margins indicate stronger operating execution across the business rather than reliance on a single metric. Sustained profitability and a 16.4% operating ROE provide greater internal capacity to invest in growth, support clients, and maintain shareholder distributions.
Negative Factors
Investment management outflows
Large outflows can reduce assets on which Principal earns management fees and may weaken the investment-management revenue base if they persist. Concentration in several strategies also places greater importance on performance recovery, client retention, and restoring sales momentum.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Earnings and margin expansion
Improving earnings, revenue, and margins indicate stronger operating execution across the business rather than reliance on a single metric. Sustained profitability and a 16.4% operating ROE provide greater internal capacity to invest in growth, support clients, and maintain shareholder distributions.
Read all positive factors

Principal Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Revenue by Segment
Operating Revenue by Segment
Shows the revenue earned from each of Principal’s business lines (like retirement solutions, asset management, insurance), revealing which segments drive growth and recurring income. Helps you see how shifts in customer demand, fee rates, or interest-sensitive products could affect overall top-line stability and future profitability.
Chart InsightsRetirement & Income Solutions is still the dominant, highly cyclical revenue engine—big Q4 jumps reflect bulk PRT/roll‑in and transfer activity (management flagged +35% transfer deposits), so expect lumpy quarter‑to‑quarter timing rather than steady growth. Since 2023 Principal Asset Management and Benefits & Protection have become consistent, growing revenue contributors (aligns with record PAM gross sales and improved Benefits margins), while Corporate & Other shows outsized volatility tied to real‑estate/transaction timing and reclassification. The earlier zeroing of some legacy labels points to reporting resegmentation—focus on flows/AUM and margin trends, not headline quarterly noise.
Data provided by:The Fly

Principal Financial (PFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Principal Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Principal Financial Group, Inc. engages in the investment management offering business. It offers financial products and services to businesses, individuals, and institutional clients. It operates its business through the following segments: Retir...
How the Company Makes Money
PFG makes money primarily by earning fees and investment-related income across its retirement, asset management, and insurance operations. In its retirement and workplace benefits businesses, it generates revenue from administrative and recordkeep...

Principal Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 27, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted robust operating performance across multiple businesses — double-digit EPS growth, margin expansion (200 bps), improved ROE, strong underwriting in Benefits & Protection, AUM growth, and disciplined capital returns (raised dividend, large buybacks). These positives were tempered by significant Investment Management net outflows (~$11 billion) driven by an unusual market environment concentrated in a few U.S. active equity strategies, some fee-rate and performance-metric pressure, and elevated corporate investments/severance. Management maintained guidance, emphasized portfolio actions (Beam acquisition, Hong Kong transition, Chile sale) and a strong capital position, indicating confidence in navigating the near-term fund flow challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and EPS Growth
Non-GAAP operating earnings of $547 million, up 12% year-over-year; adjusted EPS of $2.50, up 16% year-over-year (excluding significant variances EPS was $2.42, up 17%). Year-to-date EPS growth of 15% noted.
Negative Updates
Large Investment Management Net Outflows
Total company net outflows of approximately $11 billion in the quarter concentrated in a small number of U.S. active equity strategies (strategies represent slightly more than 5% of firm AUM), creating short-term revenue and flow headwinds.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Earnings and EPS Growth
Non-GAAP operating earnings of $547 million, up 12% year-over-year; adjusted EPS of $2.50, up 16% year-over-year (excluding significant variances EPS was $2.42, up 17%). Year-to-date EPS growth of 15% noted.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 guidance and capital plans while highlighting strong Q2 results: they remain on track to deploy $1.5–$1.8 billion of capital for the year (YTD returns to shareholders $800M, including ~$427–$430M in Q2 with $250M buybacks), raised the common dividend to $0.84/sh payable in Q3 (+$0.02 q/q, +8% y/y) and target a ~40% payout ratio, and report over $1.6 billion of excess available capital (including $150M at the holding company, $300M in subsidiaries and ~$350M in excess of a 375% RBC target, with RBC ≈400%); financials underpinning the guidance include Q2 non‑GAAP operating earnings of $547M (+12% y/y) and EPS $2.50 (+16%) (ex‑items $529M, EPS $2.42), total company margin 32% (+200 bps) on 6% net revenue growth, non‑GAAP operating ROE ex‑items 16.4% (+120 bps) (within the 15–17% target), net income ex‑exited business $535M (+24% y/y), and managed AUM $808B (+5% q/q, +7% y/y); they expect full‑year 2026 performance fees in line with 2025, see SBD underwriting results emerging below the low end of the prior 60–64% loss‑ratio range (Q2 specialty benefits loss ratio 57.4%, specialty pretax earnings $162M; Benefits & Protection pretax $191M, +29% y/y), and noted $11B of concentrated net outflows in a few U.S. active equity strategies even as DCIO sales, roll‑ins and ETF flows remained healthy (DCIO $2B qtr / ~$8B TTM, roll‑ins $1.7B qtr / >$7B TTM, active ETF inflows $500M qtr / $2B TTM); management said they do not expect changes to their earnings, free capital flow or ROE outlook.

Principal Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent fundamentals are strong: improved TTM profitability (higher margins), well-managed leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.36) with better ROE (~13%), and standout cash generation (TTM FCF ~$4.85B; ~0.97x net income; ~33.6% FCF growth). The main constraint is multi-year volatility in revenue/returns, which reduces confidence in durability.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.69B15.63B16.13B13.67B17.54B14.43B
Gross Profit7.62B7.06B7.35B5.90B11.04B7.08B
EBITDA2.72B1.67B2.15B1.01B6.28B2.19B
Net Income1.55B1.19B1.57B623.20M4.76B1.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets352.75B341.38B313.66B305.05B303.00B304.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.26B33.49B72.46B70.38B67.74B80.91B
Total Debt4.34B3.95B4.11B3.99B4.08B4.69B
Total Liabilities339.86B328.99B302.19B293.84B292.70B288.20B
Stockholders Equity12.14B11.88B11.09B10.92B10.00B16.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.85B4.44B4.53B3.69B3.06B3.09B
Operating Cash Flow5.01B4.54B4.60B3.79B3.17B3.22B
Investing Cash Flow-5.31B-4.14B-5.40B-1.35B1.06B-5.66B
Financing Cash Flow1.90B-181.80M300.30M-2.59B-1.72B1.92B

Principal Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price112.17
Price Trends
50DMA
111.98
Negative
100DMA
110.99
Negative
200DMA
101.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.25
Negative
RSI
44.12
Neutral
STOCH
67.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 112.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 109.68, above the 50-day MA of 111.98, and above the 200-day MA of 101.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PFG.

Principal Financial Risk Analysis

Principal Financial disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Principal Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Principal Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$12.28B17.3728.69%1.02%12.86%5.86%
79
Outperform
$22.23B10.4420.45%4.96%6.97%11.41%
77
Outperform
$43.48B11.7161.73%1.34%8.79%28.59%
72
Outperform
$23.24B15.4213.03%2.99%3.72%41.16%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$15.21B19.967.53%2.90%25.42%―
58
Neutral
$14.40B-16.13845.66%2.16%-17.70%-356.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PFG
Principal Financial
108.57
31.65
41.14%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial
492.19
13.91
2.91%
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
102.30
20.22
24.63%
TROW
T Rowe Price
104.20
4.53
4.55%
EQH
Equitable Holdings
52.75
5.11
10.73%
CRBG
Corebridge Financial, Inc.
34.13
3.06
9.85%

Principal Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Principal Financial Reports Q3 2026 AUM Update
Negative
Oct 19, 2026
As of September 30, 2026, Principal Financial Group reported total assets under management of $785.0 billion, with $581.7 billion managed by Principal Asset Management – Investment Management and $166.2 billion by Principal Asset Management ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Principal Financial Expands Liquidity with New Credit Facility
Positive
Sep 10, 2026
On September 9, 2026, Principal Financial Group, Inc. and key subsidiaries entered into an amended and restated five-year unsecured credit facility with a syndicate of banks led by Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., refinancing a revolving facility originall...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Principal Financial reports strong Q2 assets under management
Positive
Jul 20, 2026
As of June 30, 2026, Principal Financial Group reported total assets under management of $808.0 billion, with $601.9 billion overseen by Principal Asset Management – Investment Management and $168.5 billion managed by Principal Asset Managem...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 20, 2026