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Ouster (OUST)
NASDAQ:OUST
US Market

Ouster (OUST) AI Stock Analysis

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Ouster

(NASDAQ:OUST)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲( 11.87% Upside)
Ouster's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic advancements, balanced by challenges in profitability and valuation concerns. The positive earnings call sentiment and technical momentum contribute to a moderate score, but the company must address its financial inefficiencies for long-term success.

Ouster (OUST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ouster Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOuster (OUST) is a leading provider of high-resolution digital lidar sensors used in various industries, including automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure. The company's core products include advanced lidar solutions that enable 3D perception for applications such as autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, and smart city deployments. Ouster's digital lidar technology is designed to deliver superior performance and reliability, facilitating the integration of advanced sensing capabilities across multiple sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyOuster makes money primarily through the sale of its digital lidar sensors, which are used in a wide range of applications across different industries. The company's revenue model is largely based on the direct sale of these lidar units to customers in sectors such as automotive, industrial automation, robotics, and smart infrastructure. Ouster also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other technology and manufacturing firms to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, the company may generate revenue through service agreements, customization, and support services for its lidar technology. Key factors contributing to Ouster's earnings include the growing demand for autonomous vehicle technology, industrial automation, and smart city solutions, which drive the need for advanced sensing and perception capabilities that Ouster's products provide.

Ouster Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ouster shows notable revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow issues. The balance sheet highlights reduced debt and a strong equity base, but persistent net losses and negative cash flows remain significant challenges.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Ouster's revenue has shown a significant growth from $41.03M in 2022 to $111.10M in 2024, indicating a positive revenue growth trend. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins due to persistent losses. The gross profit margin improved to 36.41% in 2024, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, affecting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, reflecting better leverage management, with total debt decreasing substantially. Stockholders' equity is positive, indicating a stable equity base. However, the equity ratio is relatively high, suggesting dependence on equity financing. The return on equity is negative, driven by the persistent net losses.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Ouster's operating cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. Free cash flow is also negative, although it has shown some improvement. The company has been investing and financing actively, but the cash flow to net income ratios reflect inefficiencies in cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
111.10M83.28M41.03M33.58M18.90M
Gross Profit
40.46M9.68M10.93M9.09M1.51M
EBIT
-104.18M-373.19M-145.42M-99.71M-51.76M
EBITDA
-79.94M-342.62M-123.38M-88.69M-98.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-97.05M-374.11M-138.56M-93.98M-106.78M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
172.02M190.15M122.93M182.64M11.36M
Total Assets
276.15M330.74M256.14M307.70M46.41M
Total Debt
20.25M69.90M56.20M19.27M21.81M
Net Debt
-25.29M18.91M-66.74M-163.37M10.45M
Total Liabilities
95.24M151.07M84.52M47.00M122.32M
Stockholders Equity
180.91M179.67M171.62M260.70M-75.91M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-37.45M-140.90M-116.11M-74.84M-45.63M
Operating Cash Flow
-33.69M-137.89M-110.69M-70.56M-42.12M
Investing Cash Flow
14.65M50.60M-5.15M-15.23M-3.51M
Financing Cash Flow
15.39M15.66M55.60M257.80M39.86M

Ouster Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.28
Price Trends
50DMA
8.64
Positive
100DMA
9.46
Positive
200DMA
8.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Negative
RSI
55.52
Neutral
STOCH
53.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OUST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.28, above the 50-day MA of 8.64, and above the 200-day MA of 8.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OUST.

Ouster Risk Analysis

Ouster disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ouster reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ouster Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$539.52M53.923.64%0.38%-10.99%-61.37%
66
Neutral
$809.42M-0.34%-4.76%97.93%
60
Neutral
$11.56B10.24-7.04%2.94%7.46%-10.54%
54
Neutral
$588.52M-56.81%28.04%64.81%
48
Neutral
$376.07M-67.89%16.47%27.19%
45
Neutral
$410.71M-118.08%
41
Neutral
$286.65M-135.21%-41.76%5.56%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OUST
Ouster
9.89
-1.61
-14.00%
ALNT
Allient
30.92
2.80
9.96%
FARO
Faro Technologies
42.05
23.16
122.60%
MVIS
Microvision
1.06
-0.10
-8.62%
KULR
KULR Technology Group
1.19
0.80
205.13%
SATL
Satellogic
3.77
2.38
171.22%

Ouster Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicated strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and gross margin improvement, supported by strategic deals and advancements in software and AI. However, there were challenges related to increased operating expenses and broader economic uncertainties. The overall sentiment of the call leans towards positive, given the substantial highlights outweighing the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Gross Margin Performance
Ouster reported Q1 2025 revenue of $32.6 million and a gross margin of 41%, including a $1.5 million patent royalty. This represents a 1,200 basis point year-over-year increase in gross margin.
Multimillion-Dollar Deals Across Verticals
Ouster secured multimillion-dollar contracts in all four verticals, including a major contract with Komatsu for autonomous mining equipment and the largest software-attached sales contract in Europe in the smart infrastructure vertical.
Expansion in Software and AI Capabilities
Ouster made significant progress in its software-attached business, including the launch of the Gemini cloud portal and a major milestone in AI development with NVIDIA for traffic management.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ouster ended the quarter with $171 million in cash and equivalents with zero debt, maintaining one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry.
Strategic Product Development
Ouster is transforming its product portfolio with new hardware, firmware, and software enhancements, aiming to double its addressable market.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
GAAP operating expenses increased by 12% year-over-year to $37 million, primarily due to higher litigation expenses.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The company acknowledged the fluid geopolitical and macroeconomic environment, including potential tariff impacts, although not significantly affecting current operations.
Company Guidance
During Ouster's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the second quarter, expecting revenue between $32 million and $35 million. The first quarter results showed notable financial metrics, including a revenue of $32.6 million, a gross margin of 41%, and shipments of over 4,700 sensors. Additionally, Ouster ended the quarter with $171 million in cash and equivalents and zero debt. The company highlighted its strategic priorities for 2025, focusing on scaling its software-attached business, transforming its product portfolio, and executing towards profitability. Despite the positive gross margin performance, Ouster maintains a long-term gross margin framework of 35% to 40% and expects operating expenses to remain at or below third quarter 2023 levels, committing to 30% to 50% annual revenue growth.

Ouster Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Ouster Enters $100M Sales Agreement with Oppenheimer
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Ouster, Inc. entered into an At Market Issuance Sales Agreement with Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., allowing the company to offer and sell shares of its common stock up to $100 million. The agreement includes provisions for the agent to sell shares based on Ouster’s instructions and offers the agent a 2% commission on gross proceeds from sales. The company intends to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including working capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (OUST) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ouster stock, see the OUST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ouster Restructures Board for Balanced Representation
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

On April 7, 2025, the Board of Directors of Ouster, Inc. restructured its board by moving Angus Pacala from Class III to Class II to achieve an equal balance among director classes. This change was made to ensure balanced representation, with Mr. Pacala’s service considered uninterrupted, resulting in a board composition of three Class I directors, two Class II directors, and two Class III directors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.