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Orrstown Financial Services Inc (ORRF)
NASDAQ:ORRF
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Orrstown Financial Services (ORRF) AI Stock Analysis

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ORRF

Orrstown Financial Services

(NASDAQ:ORRF)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$47.00
▲(12.39% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/21/26
ORRF scores well primarily on strong financial performance (TTM profitability, revenue growth, and high-quality free cash flow) and an attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend). The earnings call reinforces the constructive outlook with NIM expansion and continued loan growth, but funding/capital pressures (borrowings reliance, tangible capital hit from unrealized losses) and only mixed technical momentum keep the score from being higher.
Positive Factors
Margin Expansion
The higher net interest margin and multi-year outlook indicate improving earning power from the core banking franchise. If management sustains this spread while controlling deposit costs, net interest income should remain a durable support for profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Funding Reliance
Funding loan growth with more borrowings makes profitability more sensitive to funding costs and deposit competition. A 92% loan-to-deposit ratio leaves less balance-sheet flexibility if deposits remain difficult to attract, potentially narrowing margins or slowing asset growth over the coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin Expansion
The higher net interest margin and multi-year outlook indicate improving earning power from the core banking franchise. If management sustains this spread while controlling deposit costs, net interest income should remain a durable support for profitability over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Orrstown Financial Services (ORRF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orrstown Financial Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. serves as the parent company for Orrstown Bank, offering a comprehensive range of commercial banking and trust solutions throughout the United States. The institution accepts various types of deposits, including c...
How the Company Makes Money
Orrstown Financial Services primarily earns money through its banking operations. The largest revenue driver for a community bank is typically net interest income: the bank collects interest and fees on loans and interest-earning assets (such as c...

Orrstown Financial Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 20, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 20, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive, supported by record or improved earnings metrics, expanding net interest margin, robust loan growth, improved efficiency, sound credit quality, deposit-cost progress, and external growth recognition. The main challenges were reliance on borrowings amid deposit outflows, sequentially lower fee income, investment-portfolio unrealized losses that reduced tangible common equity, competitive deposit pricing, and uncertainty around economic conditions and future loan growth. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Earnings and Returns
Net income was $22.8 million, or $1.17 per diluted share. Return on average assets was 1.60% and return on average equity was 14.62%; both increased quarter-to-quarter and continued to exceed peer multiples.
Negative Updates
Deposit Outflows Increased Borrowing Reliance
Significant loan growth combined with net deposit outflows, some of which were seasonal, required increased reliance on borrowings. The loan-to-deposit ratio increased to 92% as borrowings were used to fund loan growth, although available alternative funding sources remained strong at $1.7 billion.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Quarterly Earnings and Returns
Net income was $22.8 million, or $1.17 per diluted share. Return on average assets was 1.60% and return on average equity was 14.62%; both increased quarter-to-quarter and continued to exceed peer multiples.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management projected net interest margin through the end of 2027 in the range of 4.05%-4.15%, annualized fee income into 2027 in the range of $54 million-$56 million, and an annualized expense run rate between $153 million and $157 million; the loan growth goal remains in the mid-single digits going forward, with growth potentially being on the lower end of the mid-single digit range, while the team believes it can potentially do higher than the 5% target. The modeling assumes another two increases over the course of the next year, at 25 bps each; 4Q expenses are expected to be somewhat consistent with third quarter and then slowly build up. Core NIM is expected to increase, and every 25 basis point rate increase is expected to produce about a $500,000 impact for every 25 on a ramp basis, equating to about five basis points for every quarter for the margin. Deposit beta is expected to be higher than 25 basis points, and the company is comfortable with near-term reliance on time deposits, money markets, and wholesale deposits.

Orrstown Financial Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong current fundamentals: TTM revenue growth (~39%), healthy profitability (net margin ~24%) and operating margins (EBIT ~30%, EBITDA ~33%), plus robust free cash flow (~$112M) that closely matches net income (FCF/NI ~0.99). Balance sheet leverage is moderate and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.45) with attractive TTM ROE (~14%), but results have shown meaningful variability across years (notably 2024 profitability compression) and leverage stability has not been consistent.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue358.74M353.86M284.09M174.30M134.32M121.64M
Gross Profit254.56M249.97M173.86M127.62M121.11M113.83M
EBITDA121.81M117.98M37.50M49.37M31.24M46.20M
Net Income86.32M80.86M22.05M35.66M22.04M32.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.61B5.54B5.44B3.06B2.92B2.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.01B994.82M1.08B578.68M574.55M681.15M
Total Debt282.36M336.37M209.91M179.38M155.42M57.16M
Total Liabilities4.99B4.95B4.92B2.80B2.69B2.56B
Stockholders Equity621.65M591.53M516.68M265.06M228.90M271.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.69M70.50M33.38M41.41M35.30M39.56M
Operating Cash Flow87.79M74.73M34.96M43.70M36.19M40.81M
Investing Cash Flow-224.05M-181.96M60.99M-153.25M-270.99M-2.01M
Financing Cash Flow131.72M8.13M87.76M113.89M86.91M44.65M

Orrstown Financial Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.82
Price Trends
50DMA
41.96
Positive
100DMA
41.31
Positive
200DMA
38.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
69.68
Neutral
STOCH
97.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORRF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.65, below the 50-day MA of 41.96, and above the 200-day MA of 38.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORRF.

Orrstown Financial Services Risk Analysis

Orrstown Financial Services disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orrstown Financial Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orrstown Financial Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$406.77M9.8812.05%2.39%3.23%29.90%
75
Outperform
$871.17M9.4214.42%2.64%1.02%18.66%
74
Outperform
$1.16B12.0710.41%2.14%2.41%26.67%
73
Outperform
$868.23M11.388.15%2.74%18.49%19.19%
72
Outperform
$665.32M12.0913.13%3.21%14.85%64.71%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$799.68M9.9213.09%3.13%46.45%―
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORRF
Orrstown Financial Services
44.29
11.15
33.65%
ACNB
ACNB
65.42
22.56
52.63%
FISI
Financial Institutions
40.58
12.18
42.91%
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp
34.26
5.48
19.05%
UVSP
Univest Of Pennsylvania
42.14
12.62
42.73%
CZFS
Citizens Financial Services
84.57
30.86
57.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026