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OFS Capital (OFS)
NASDAQ:OFS
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OFS Capital (OFS) AI Stock Analysis

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OFS

OFS Capital

(NASDAQ:OFS)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(9.59% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/28/26
OFS scores slightly above neutral primarily because recent profitability has deteriorated sharply and leverage remains elevated, even as strong current cash generation provides support. Technicals are moderately positive but not yet a clear long-term uptrend, while valuation is buoyed by an extremely high dividend yield that is tempered by loss-making earnings and income sustainability risks. The earnings call and recent events show improving balance-sheet positioning, but weaker NII trends and new credit/nonaccrual and CLO valuation pressures cap the overall score.
Positive Factors
Senior-secured portfolio protection
The predominance of first-lien and senior-secured loans provides stronger recovery prospects than unsecured lending. This structure can help protect capital and support recurring income through credit cycles, while exposure across 51 issuers limits reliance on one borrower.
Negative Factors
Severe profitability and revenue deterioration
The sharp decline in revenue and shift to losses indicate that current earnings power is unstable. For a credit-focused investment company, weaker profitability can reduce retained capital, constrain distributions and make it harder to absorb portfolio markdowns or credit losses.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Senior-secured portfolio protection
The predominance of first-lien and senior-secured loans provides stronger recovery prospects than unsecured lending. This structure can help protect capital and support recurring income through credit cycles, while exposure across 51 issuers limits reliance on one borrower.
Read all positive factors

OFS Capital (OFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OFS Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
OFS Capital Corporation functions as a business development company, delivering adaptable capital solutions, predominantly through debt financing and, to a lesser degree, minority equity investments. The firm concentrates on U.S.-based middle-mark...
How the Company Makes Money
OFS Capital makes money primarily from investment income generated by its portfolio. The core revenue stream is interest income earned on debt investments (most notably senior secured loans) made to portfolio companies; this includes contractual c...

OFS Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a balanced outlook: meaningful balance sheet progress (deleveraging, extended maturities, higher regulatory coverage ratio) and NAV gains driven by Fansteel contrast with a sizable quarter-over-quarter decline in net investment income, CLO-related mark-to-market losses, a new nonaccrual loan, and compression in yields. Management emphasized readiness to prudently redeploy capital to improve NII while retaining disciplined underwriting.
Positive Updates
NAV Increase Driven by Fansteel
Net asset value per share rose to $8.41 from $8.16, an increase of $0.25 or approximately 3% quarter-over-quarter, largely driven by $14.1 million of unrealized appreciation on the company's equity investment in Fansteel (fair value $94.6 million, ~32% of portfolio).
Negative Updates
Material Decline in Net Investment Income
Net investment income fell to $0.08 per share in Q2 2026 from $0.18 in Q1 2026, a decline of $0.10 per share or ~55.6% quarter-over-quarter (NII of $1.0 million), driven by the roll-off of a prior nonrecurring Fansteel dividend and deleveraging impacts.
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Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
NAV Increase Driven by Fansteel
Net asset value per share rose to $8.41 from $8.16, an increase of $0.25 or approximately 3% quarter-over-quarter, largely driven by $14.1 million of unrealized appreciation on the company's equity investment in Fansteel (fair value $94.6 million, ~32% of portfolio).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that it will maintain the Q3 quarterly distribution at $0.17 per share (a 19.2% annualized yield on the current market price) while shifting from balance‑sheet repair to prudently redeploying capital to boost net investment income (NII); Q2 NII was $1.0 million or $0.08 per share (down from $0.18/sh in Q1), NAV rose to $8.41/sh (up $0.25 or ~3% q/q from $8.16), and regulatory asset coverage improved to 161% (up 7 pts). Management highlighted progress on deleveraging—$57.6 million of total debt reduction over the last 12 months and $16.7 million of repayments in the quarter, with maturities now spanning 2028–2031—and noted $6.0 million of unfunded commitments to portfolio companies. They reiterated plans to pursue monetization of Fansteel (fair value $94.6M, ~32% of the portfolio, $14.1M of unrealized appreciation this quarter, $5.1M of distributions to date on a $200k cost ≈23x return) while managing portfolio risk (51 issuers, $297.8M fair value; ~66% senior secured loans/22% structured finance/12% equity by amortized cost; 97% of loans first‑lien by fair value), and said they expect to selectively deploy into income‑generating opportunities to lift yields after a quarter in which total investment income fell ~23% to $6.8M, expenses fell ~9% to $5.8M, weighted average performing investment income yield declined 0.4 pp to 12.1%, and CLO equity valuations incurred $6.5M of losses.

OFS Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial quality is mixed. Income statement fundamentals are weak due to a sharp deterioration in TTM results (negative revenue and a sizable net loss after prior profitability), while the balance sheet carries elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.4–1.9) that increases downside risk in volatile periods. Offsetting these negatives, TTM operating cash flow/free cash flow are strongly positive (~$64.6M), providing near-term flexibility, but the profitability/cash-flow disconnect and volatility keep the score below average.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-6.31M-11.81M49.52M24.27M12.70M85.75M
Gross Profit-18.58M-28.32M32.88M4.79M-4.33M68.23M
EBITDA-14.23M-33.09M28.51M-57.00K-7.18M57.09M
Net Income-22.20M-33.09M28.44M-465.00K-7.59M56.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets304.46M346.71M428.12M469.82M520.72M569.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.98M3.36M6.07M45.35M14.94M43.05M
Total Debt183.49M217.64M246.66M299.73M331.75M344.81M
Total Liabilities191.85M223.52M255.90M307.81M340.29M365.30M
Stockholders Equity112.61M123.19M172.22M162.00M180.42M203.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow64.55M43.64M33.01M21.37M2.95M-12.01M
Operating Cash Flow64.55M43.64M33.01M21.37M2.95M-12.01M
Investing Cash Flow26.26M0.000.0060.20M-107.55M-216.11M
Financing Cash Flow-70.81M-46.35M-72.29M-51.15M-31.06M17.35M

OFS Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.65
Price Trends
50DMA
3.62
Positive
100DMA
3.57
Positive
200DMA
3.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
63.23
Neutral
STOCH
88.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.69, above the 50-day MA of 3.62, and below the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OFS.

OFS Capital Risk Analysis

OFS Capital disclosed 99 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OFS Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OFS Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$152.48M8.976.83%16.76%-0.46%416.27%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$250.05M8.188.05%16.42%0.37%-28.29%
55
Neutral
$52.39M-2.38-18.44%21.63%-43.53%-316.63%
54
Neutral
$83.34M-1.87-32.53%21.46%-11.06%-288.02%
51
Neutral
$145.41M-2.98-25.97%31.58%-1756.77%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OFS
OFS Capital
3.93
-3.29
-45.61%
OXSQ
Oxford Square Capital
1.33
-0.40
-23.03%
WHF
WhiteHorse
7.04
-0.43
-5.81%
SCM
Stellus Capital
8.40
-4.54
-35.09%
GECC
Great Elm Capital
6.01
-3.38
-35.99%

OFS Capital Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
OFS Capital Announces Partial Redemption of 7.50% Notes
Positive
Aug 28, 2026
On August 28, 2026, OFS Capital Corporation announced it had notified holders of its 7.50% Notes due 2028 that it would exercise its option to redeem a portion of the issue. The move affects $20 million of the $69 million outstanding, and the comp...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
OFS Capital Special Meeting Adjourned Without Shareholder Vote
Negative
Aug 11, 2026
On April 2, 2026, OFS Capital Corporation called a special meeting of stockholders to consider authorizing the company, with board approval, to issue common stock over the following 12 months at prices below its then-current net asset value per sh...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
OFS Capital Stockholders Approve Directors and Auditor Slate
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
On June 10, 2026, OFS Capital Corporation held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, with 8,728,411 shares represented in person or by proxy out of 13,398,078 eligible to vote. Stockholders elected Romita Shetty and Bilal Rashid as Class II dir...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026