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Microvision (MVIS)
NASDAQ:MVIS

Microvision (MVIS) AI Stock Analysis

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Microvision

(NASDAQ:MVIS)

45Neutral
Microvision faces significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in its overall low financial performance score. While there is cautious optimism regarding new revenue opportunities and a strengthened balance sheet, technical indicators and valuation remain weak. The company's strategic focus on industrial and defense sectors offers potential, but execution risks remain high.

Microvision (MVIS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Microvision Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicroVision, Inc. is a technology company specializing in the development of laser scanning technology for projection, 3D sensing, and image capture. The company's primary sectors include automotive, consumer electronics, and interactive displays. MicroVision's core products include its proprietary PicoP® scanning technology, which enables high-resolution projection and sensing capabilities in compact form factors, often used in head-up displays (HUDs), augmented reality (AR) systems, and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS).
How the Company Makes MoneyMicroVision generates revenue through the sale and licensing of its patented laser scanning technology and related components. The company partners with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other technology companies to integrate its PicoP® scanning technology into various applications, such as automotive HUDs and consumer electronics. Additionally, MicroVision earns income from licensing agreements, where it permits other companies to use its proprietary technology, and from development contracts where it collaborates on custom solutions. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include strategic partnerships in the automotive sector and advancements in augmented reality applications.

Microvision Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Microvision's financial performance is weak, with negative margins and substantial operational challenges. While the balance sheet shows some stability, high leverage and negative cash flows pose significant risks. Strategic improvements are necessary for financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Microvision's financial performance is weak with declining revenues and negative margins. The company reported a significant net loss in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) at -$96.9M, with negative gross and net profit margins. Revenue growth remains negative, indicating challenges in achieving sales expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, reflecting substantial operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows some stability with a reasonable level of cash and equivalents ($74.7M) relative to total assets. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is elevated at 0.88, suggesting higher leverage risks. Stockholders' equity has declined, impacting the equity ratio which stands at 40.26%. Return on equity is negative due to continuing losses, indicating inefficiencies in using shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates liquidity concerns, with negative free cash flow growth and a high operating cash flow to net income ratio due to substantial operating losses. The company is heavily reliant on financing activities to support operations, raising concerns about sustainability without a clear path to positive cash flows.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.70M7.26M664.00K2.50M3.09M
Gross Profit
-2.83M4.49M564.00K2.50M1.69M
EBIT
-85.52M-88.88M-53.89M-43.87M-14.06M
EBITDA
-85.03M-81.05M-50.84M-42.41M-13.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-96.92M-82.84M-52.29M-41.04M-12.22M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
74.70M73.78M82.71M115.37M16.86M
Total Assets
121.16M129.63M115.00M130.22M21.01M
Total Debt
51.64M15.04M15.70M6.27M3.11M
Net Debt
-2.85M-30.13M-4.84M-76.38M-13.76M
Total Liabilities
72.39M33.83M25.25M17.47M12.00M
Stockholders Equity
48.77M95.80M89.74M112.75M9.01M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-68.91M-69.03M-42.38M-31.90M-16.48M
Operating Cash Flow
-68.54M-67.09M-38.02M-29.40M-16.07M
Investing Cash Flow
2.67M21.82M-38.07M-35.32M123.00K
Financing Cash Flow
72.89M72.44M14.31M131.16M26.98M

Microvision Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.20
Price Trends
50DMA
1.22
Negative
100DMA
1.30
Negative
200DMA
1.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
52.30
Neutral
STOCH
55.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MVIS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.16, below the 50-day MA of 1.22, and above the 200-day MA of 1.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MVIS.

Microvision Risk Analysis

Microvision disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Microvision reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Microvision Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$486.87M48.663.64%0.42%-10.99%-61.37%
60
Neutral
$10.96B10.27-6.73%2.97%7.73%-11.60%
56
Neutral
$365.59M-63.35%8.04%5.52%
52
Neutral
$571.28M-56.81%28.04%64.81%
48
Neutral
$386.77M-63.44%9.23%51.61%
48
Neutral
$441.98M-118.08%
45
Neutral
$294.95M-134.07%-35.31%-2.18%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MVIS
Microvision
1.20
-0.05
-4.00%
ALNT
Allient
28.76
0.42
1.48%
KULR
KULR Technology Group
1.36
0.90
195.65%
BKSY
BlackSky Technology
11.55
10.39
895.69%
OUST
Ouster
10.62
-1.82
-14.63%
SATL
Satellogic
4.27
2.86
202.84%

Microvision Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -13.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
MicroVision reported significant progress in expanding its revenue opportunities and strengthening its balance sheet. However, it faced revenue shortfalls and delays in automotive timelines. The sentiment reflects optimism about industrial and defense sectors but acknowledges challenges in automotive engagements.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion of Revenue Opportunities
MicroVision expanded near-term revenue opportunities in industrial and defense sectors as automotive timelines evolve. The company positioned itself to focus on revenue from industrial verticals like AMR, AGV, and collaborative robots, with potential immediate and significant revenue.
Disciplined Cost Management
The company managed costs effectively, focusing resources on near-term revenue opportunities, maintaining one of the lowest cash burn rates in the marketplace.
Strengthened Balance Sheet
MicroVision strengthened its balance sheet with two rounds of investment totaling over $90 million from a strategic financial partner, extending the cash runway into 2026.
Expanded Production Capacity
The company secured production commitments to fulfill anticipated demand from industrial customers, expecting demand in the $30 to $50 million range over the next 12 to 18 months.
Record Trading Volume
MicroVision achieved strong market cap and elevated trading volumes, surpassing several peers and reflecting strong market position.
Negative Updates
Revenue Shortfall
The fourth-quarter revenue was $1.7 million, falling short of expectations as one customer delayed its decision to 2025.
Automotive Timeline Delays
Engagements with automotive OEMs experienced delays in timeline adjustments and decision-making processes.
Company Guidance
During the MicroVision fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results conference call, the company provided several metrics and projections for the coming years. The company reported $1.7 million in revenue for Q4, driven primarily by industrial customers, and detailed plans to pursue additional revenue opportunities in the industrial and defense sectors. They highlighted significant progress in automotive OEM programs with seven RFQs and expanded their production capacity with partner ZF to meet anticipated demand ranging from $30 to $50 million over the next 12 to 18 months. Despite challenges in the automotive sector, MicroVision emphasized its strategic focus on near-term revenue opportunities, disciplined cost management, and a strengthened balance sheet, noting a $90 million capital commitment from an institutional investor. The company also projected an annual R&D and SG&A expense run rate of $48 to $50 million for 2025 and indicated that their cash runway extends into 2026.

Microvision Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Microvision Secures $75M for Lidar Market Expansion
Positive
Oct 15, 2024

MicroVision, Inc. has bolstered its financial footing by securing a $75 million capital commitment through a two-year senior secured convertible note agreement with High Trail Capital. This move positions the company to explore new revenue opportunities in 2025 with its integrated lidar and software solutions, targeting heavy equipment and automotive markets. The deal, characterized by flexible conversion terms and attractive financing conditions, enhances MicroVision’s competitive stance in the U.S. and European lidar sectors, paving the way for future growth and shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.