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Motorola Solutions (MSI)
NYSE:MSI
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Motorola Solutions (MSI) AI Stock Analysis

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MSI

Motorola Solutions

(NYSE:MSI)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$518.00
▲(23.97% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
MSI scores well on durable operating performance and cash generation, supported by positive price momentum and a guidance raise with strong backlog. The overall score is held back by a highly leveraged balance sheet and a premium valuation (high P/E with a modest yield), which increase downside sensitivity if costs (e.g., memory) or financing conditions deteriorate.
Positive Factors
Sticky, high-margin mission-critical platform
Mission-critical communications, video, and command software are deeply embedded in customer workflows. High switching costs and recurring support and subscription revenue should support durable retention, pricing power, and resilient margins.
Negative Factors
Debt-heavy balance sheet
Elevated leverage and a historically thin equity cushion increase exposure to refinancing costs, interest rates, and execution setbacks. Strong cash generation helps, but coverage remains modest relative to the debt burden.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sticky, high-margin mission-critical platform
Mission-critical communications, video, and command software are deeply embedded in customer workflows. High switching costs and recurring support and subscription revenue should support durable retention, pricing power, and resilient margins.
Read all positive factors

Motorola Solutions Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Motorola Solutions is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsInternational revenue has accelerated faster than North America over 2024–25, materially narrowing the geographic gap as large orders, Silvus integration, and stronger video/command‑center demand drive outsized growth overseas. Management’s raised Silvus outlook and record backlog validate sustainable international momentum, but commercialization limits (spectrum availability), tariff headwinds and parts‑cost pressure inject near‑term execution and margin risk. Expect continued international share gains, but monitor Q1 seasonality and Silvus’ expansion into U.S. public‑safety as the keystone for durable diversification.
Data provided by:The Fly

Motorola Solutions (MSI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Motorola Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) is a public safety and enterprise security technology company that provides mission-critical communications, video security, access control, and command center software used primarily by government and public safety ...
How the Company Makes Money
Motorola Solutions makes money by selling and supporting a mix of hardware, software, and services across its primary segments (commonly reported as Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services). Key revenue streams include: (1) Mis...

Motorola Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational performance: record revenue, double-digit growth across segments and technologies, significant margin expansion, robust cash flow, record backlog, and an upward revision to full-year guidance. Key growth engines (Silvus, MCN, APX NEXT, D‑Series infrastructure and software subscriptions) are showing clear traction. Headwinds include materially higher memory costs, a one-time tariff refund that boosted Q2 results, elevated inventory and integration/financing activity for acquisitions (D-Fend), and small sequential backlog dips in product. On balance, the positive operational momentum and guidance raise materially outweigh the noted challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Double-Digit Growth
Q2 revenue grew 13% year-over-year, driven by double-digit growth in both segments and across all three technologies; Products & Systems Integration grew 15% and Software & Services grew 10%.
Negative Updates
Rising Memory Costs
Direct memory spend is expected to increase to approximately $150M this year versus $50M last year — a $100M increase that creates material cost headwinds and is weighted into second-half gross margin pressure.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue and Double-Digit Growth
Q2 revenue grew 13% year-over-year, driven by double-digit growth in both segments and across all three technologies; Products & Systems Integration grew 15% and Software & Services grew 10%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q3 revenue to grow roughly 8% with non‑GAAP EPS of $4.39–$4.44, assuming ~168 million diluted shares and an effective tax rate of ~23%; for the full year it raised revenue guidance to ~$12.975 billion (up $175 million from $12.8B) and non‑GAAP EPS to $17.62–$17.72 (up from $16.87–$16.99), again assuming ~168M shares, an effective tax rate of 22–22.5% and ~$100 million of favorable FX. The raise is driven by MCN (now expected to grow 10–11%, including ~$100M from Silvus, which is now expected to deliver ~ $850M for the year), with Products & SI and Software & Services each forecast to grow ~11%; Video is expected to grow 11% and Command Center ~15%. Management expects tariff impact to be neutral for the year (Q2 included a $60M IEEPA refund), direct memory spend to be ~ $150M (vs. $50M last year), gross margins roughly flat year‑over‑year, full‑year operating margin expansion of ~170 bps (up from prior 100 bps), plans to raise ~ $1B of incremental debt to fund the D‑Fend acquisition, and to finish the year near a ~2x net debt/EBITDA leverage.

Motorola Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals are strong (income statement score 82; cash flow score 78) with stable ~50% gross margin, mid-to-high teen net margins (TTM ~17%), and improving free-cash-flow conversion (~90% of net income). The key offset is balance-sheet risk (balance sheet score 44) from a debt-heavy capital structure (TTM debt-to-equity ~3.5x) and historically thin equity, which increases sensitivity to refinancing and borrowing costs.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.24B11.68B10.82B9.98B9.11B8.17B
Gross Profit6.11B5.86B5.51B4.97B4.23B4.04B
EBITDA3.80B3.52B2.60B2.75B2.19B2.21B
Net Income2.13B2.15B1.58B1.71B1.36B1.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.24B19.39B14.60B13.34B12.81B12.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments710.00M1.17B2.10B1.71B1.32B1.87B
Total Debt9.62B9.77B6.55B6.55B6.55B6.13B
Total Liabilities16.55B16.96B12.88B12.60B12.68B12.21B
Stockholders Equity2.67B2.41B1.70B724.00M116.00M-40.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.68B2.57B2.13B1.79B1.57B1.59B
Operating Cash Flow2.97B2.84B2.39B2.04B1.82B1.84B
Investing Cash Flow-4.96B-5.16B-507.00M-414.00M-1.39B-742.00M
Financing Cash Flow-467.00M1.31B-1.45B-1.29B-906.00M-429.00M

Motorola Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price417.83
Price Trends
50DMA
423.03
Positive
100DMA
423.52
Positive
200DMA
415.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.29
Negative
RSI
59.22
Neutral
STOCH
47.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 417.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 442.37, below the 50-day MA of 423.03, and above the 200-day MA of 415.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MSI.

Motorola Solutions Risk Analysis

Motorola Solutions disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Motorola Solutions reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Motorola Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$17.56B34.7315.14%13.45%3.31%
72
Outperform
$75.64B35.6085.76%1.13%10.30%1.37%
71
Outperform
$444.99B33.2425.14%1.45%11.77%27.65%
70
Outperform
$76.29B51.066.12%1.17%23.33%2.87%
66
Neutral
$33.99B13.1123.57%3.35%2.72%56.42%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$62.03B75.714.55%1.80%13.04%-24.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSI
Motorola Solutions
469.50
14.23
3.12%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
111.61
46.21
70.64%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
10.09
2.57
34.16%
NOK
Nokia
10.39
6.24
150.48%
ZBRA
Zebra Tech
366.42
54.36
17.42%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
55.69
34.79
166.40%

Motorola Solutions Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Motorola Solutions Boosts Capital Flexibility With Debt Offering
Positive
Aug 17, 2026
On August 17, 2026, Motorola Solutions closed an underwritten public offering of senior notes, issuing $350 million of 4.850% notes due 2029 and $600 million of 5.650% notes due 2036 under an existing indenture with The Bank of New York Mellon Tru...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Motorola Solutions Shareholders Endorse Board and Governance Measures
Positive
May 20, 2026
At its Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 18, 2026, Motorola Solutions investors elected all nominated directors, including CEO Gregory Q. Brown and seven other board members, to serve one-year terms, reflecting broad shareholder support f...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026