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Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) AI Stock Analysis

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HST

Host Hotels & Resorts

(NASDAQ:HST)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:$29.00â–²(17.74% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

HST scores well due to strengthened profitability and robust free cash flow, reinforced by a strongly positive earnings call with raised RevPAR and EBITDAre guidance and constructive 2027 demand indicators. Technicals support the uptrend, though overbought indicators add near-term risk. Valuation is supported by a high dividend yield but is tempered by a mid-to-high P/E and the company’s margin/cash-flow volatility and moderate leverage.

Positive Factors
RevPAR and margin growthBroad-based rate, leisure, group, and business-transient demand is lifting both room revenue and ancillary spending. The simultaneous margin expansion indicates Host is converting stronger demand into operating earnings despite wage pressure, supporting durable cash generation over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated and persistent leverageDebt remains elevated relative to equity and has increased versus earlier periods, limiting balance-sheet de-risking. Although liquidity is currently strong, higher leverage can constrain acquisition and renovation choices and leave Host more exposed if lodging demand or property cash flows weaken.

Host Hotels & Resorts Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Number of PropertiesIndicates the scale of the company's real estate portfolio, reflecting its market presence and potential for revenue generation.

0.0020.0040.0060.0080.00Mar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Domestic property count has quietly become the lever for Host’s strategy—steady international holdings but a gradual domestic shrinkage with a pronounced early‑2026 drop—consistent with active dispositions, condo conversions and redevelopment-focused capital recycling discussed on the call. Management is prioritizing reinvestment in fewer, higher‑return hotels (and returning cash to shareholders), which should lift EBITDA per asset but increases concentration, weather and execution risk and limits near‑term acquisition upside.

Data provided by:The Fly

Host Hotels & Resorts (HST) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%HST+46.25%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$17.89B
Dividend Yield
6.40%
Average Volume (3M)
8.82M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
19.5
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
4.93%
EPS Growth
58.04%
Country
US
Employees
162
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Hotel & Motel

Host Hotels & Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc., a distinguished member of the S&P 500 index, stands as the world's foremost lodging real estate investment trust (REIT) and a leading proprietor of luxury and upper-upscale hotel properties. The company boasts an extensiv...

How the Company Makes Money

Host Hotels & Resorts makes money primarily by owning hotel and resort real estate and earning hotel-level operating cash flows after paying property operating expenses and management/franchise-related costs. Its core revenue stream is hotel operatin...

Host Hotels & Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-5.67%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Highlights significantly outweighed the challenges, with record or better-than-expected third-quarter operating results, broad-based demand growth, higher margins, raised 2026 guidance, accretive acquisitions, progress on major renovation programs, strong liquidity and an optimistic 2027 outlook. The principal challenges were weather-related disruption and costs, higher wages and other operating expenses, a remaining occupancy gap to pre-pandemic levels, and uncertainty around some insurance proceeds.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter EBITDA and FFO Growth
Third-quarter adjusted EBITDAre was $347 million, an increase of 8.8% year over year, while adjusted FFO per share was $0.39, up 11.4% compared to the third quarter of 2025. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDAre and adjusted FFO per share increased 6.5% and 8.3%, respectively.

Negative Updates

Hawaii Weather Disruptions
Storms in Hawaii reduced third-quarter comparable hotel RevPAR growth by 25 basis points and full-year comparable hotel RevPAR growth by 40 basis points. Including the Kona low storm, Hawaii weather events were expected to reduce full-year EBITDA by approximately $10 million, of which $7 million was attributable to Maui.

Company Guidance

For 2026, Host increased comparable hotel RevPAR and total RevPAR guidance estimates to approximately 6.756%, respectively, and later specified approximately 6.75% and 6%, respectively, compared to 2025; fourth-quarter RevPAR growth is expected to be high single digit, including estimated RevPAR growth of 6.5% in October, with comparable hotel EBITDA margin of approximately 30%, up 30 basis points from the midpoint of prior guidance and 80 basis points above 2025, wage rates increasing approximately 5%, and adjusted EBITDAre guidance of $1.865 billion, a $35 million or 2% improvement, including $31 million from Don Cesar, $11 million from Alila Ventana Big Sur, and $6 million from 1 Hotel Brooklyn Bridge and Renaissance Plano; Maui properties are expected to generate approximately $122 million of EBITDA, capital expenditure guidance is approximately $550 million to $600 million, including approximately $255 million to $280 million for redevelopment, repositioning, and ROI projects and $10 million to $15 million for Kona low reconstruction, and approximately $19 million of operating profit guarantees are expected from the 2 transformational capital programs; for 2027, total group revenue pace is 6% ahead of the same time last year, festive pace is 14% year over year, Maui’s fourth-quarter RevPAR forecast is 15%, San Francisco’s fourth-quarter group pace is 14%, and business transient room nights were up over 5% in the third quarter and 24% relative to 2019 pre pandemic.

Host Hotels & Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are solid overall: profitability improved meaningfully (TTM net income ~$1.03B; ~16.5% net margin) and cash generation is strong (TTM operating cash flow ~$1.60B; free cash flow ~$1.01B). Offsetting this, results show volatility (notable gross margin swings and uneven cash conversion vs. earnings), and leverage remains moderately high with limited de-risking over time (debt ~$5.65B vs. equity ~$6.39B; debt-to-equity ~0.88).

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.22B6.11B5.68B5.31B4.91B2.89B
Gross Profit980.00M160.00M3.03B2.85B2.71B1.49B
EBITDA2.12B1.85B1.70B1.67B1.49B851.00M
Net Income1.03B765.00M697.00M740.00M633.00M-11.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.25B13.05B13.05B12.24B12.27B12.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.95B768.00M554.00M1.14B667.00M807.00M
Total Debt5.64B5.64B5.64B4.77B4.78B5.46B
Total Liabilities6.86B6.32B6.27B5.42B5.39B5.78B
Stockholders Equity6.39B6.56B6.61B6.63B6.71B6.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B858.00M950.00M795.00M912.00M-135.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.60B1.50B1.50B1.44B1.42B292.00M
Investing Cash Flow497.00M-507.00M-2.04B-183.00M-618.00M-1.16B
Financing Cash Flow-757.00M-860.00M-13.00M-771.00M-874.00M-657.00M

Host Hotels & Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price24.63

Price Trends

50DMA23.07Positive
100DMA23.29Positive
200DMA21.44Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.73Positive
RSI53.25Neutral
STOCH62.13Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.58, above the 50-day MA of 23.07, and above the 200-day MA of 21.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HST.

Host Hotels & Resorts Risk Analysis

Host Hotels & Resorts disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Host Hotels & Resorts reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Host Hotels & Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HST against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HSTHST74Outperform$17.66B19.4815.54%6.40%4.93%58.04%
DRHDRH73Outperform$2.98B18.5011.03%3.08%2.10%200.76%
PKPK69Neutral$3.37B-20.20-5.14%5.90%-1.36%-405.10%
RHPRHP69Neutral$9.25B31.1330.79%3.52%12.88%11.32%
PEBPEB68Neutral$2.45B-25.81-2.84%0.18%2.76%26.22%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
XHRXHR64Neutral$1.97B622.160.35%2.56%4.24%-93.66%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%HSTDRHPEBRHPXHRPKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HST and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HSTHost Hotels and Resorts24.638.1049.04%
DRHDiamondrock Hospitality13.985.3662.24%
PEBPebblebrook Hotel20.819.5484.67%
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties131.6741.9846.81%
XHRXenia Hotels & Resorts Inc21.218.0761.44%
PKPark Hotels & Resorts15.555.7057.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026