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Heron Therapeutics Inc (HRTX)
NASDAQ:HRTX
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Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) AI Stock Analysis

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HRTX

Heron Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:HRTX)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.32
▼(-30.22% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is held down primarily by high financial risk (very high leverage, negative free cash flow, and ongoing losses) and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include improved operations and product momentum highlighted on the earnings call (acute care growth and better adjusted EBITDA), but guidance withdrawal and CINVANTI legal/generic uncertainty keep the risk profile elevated.
Positive Factors
Acute Care Franchise Growth
Strong growth across the acute-care franchise indicates increasing adoption of Heron's products in surgical settings. Broadening utilization of both ZYNRELEF and APONVIE can support a more durable commercial platform and reduce reliance on a single growth product.
Negative Factors
CINVANTI Generic Competition Risk
CINVANTI represented $21.8 million of Q2 revenue and remains Heron's largest product, so potential generic entry could materially reduce sales and margins. The unresolved appeal creates lasting uncertainty around the franchise's revenue durability and commercial strategy.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Acute Care Franchise Growth
Strong growth across the acute-care franchise indicates increasing adoption of Heron's products in surgical settings. Broadening utilization of both ZYNRELEF and APONVIE can support a more durable commercial platform and reduce reliance on a single growth product.
Read all positive factors

Heron Therapeutics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Breaks down Heron’s revenue by product line, therapeutic area, or geography to show which drugs and markets are driving growth or creating concentration risk. For a company with a small commercial portfolio, segment-level sales reveal whether recent launches, pricing, and reimbursement are gaining traction, highlight dependence on any single product or region, and flag where weaker demand or payer pressure could meaningfully affect top-line growth and margins.
Chart InsightsHeron’s revenue mix is shifting away from a fading Oncology base toward Acute Care: ZYNRELEF and APONVIE show accelerating adoption (helped by permanent J‑codes, guideline inclusion and hospital rollout), driving the Q4 inflection and underpinning 2026 guidance. That positive momentum offsets the planned SUSTOL wind‑down and expected price erosion for CINVANTI, which leaves oncology growth constrained and CINVANTI exposed to competitive and litigation risk. Management’s targeted commercial spend may compress near‑term EBITDA but is aimed at scaling this higher‑growth Acute Care runway and free‑cash‑flow in 2027.
Data provided by:The Fly

Heron Therapeutics (HRTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Heron Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Heron Therapeutics, Inc. is a biotechnology firm dedicated to creating innovative therapies for critical patient requirements. The company leverages its proprietary Biochronomer drug delivery platform, an advanced system that enables the controlle...
How the Company Makes Money
Heron Therapeutics primarily makes money by selling its FDA-approved products to healthcare providers and institutions through pharmaceutical distribution channels, with net product revenue recognized from these sales (net of items such as wholesa...

Heron Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call showed meaningful commercial strengths — notably strong year-over-year growth in the acute care franchise, particularly APONVIE and ZYNRELEF, improved adjusted EBITDA, and proactive balance sheet and legal actions. However, the June court decision creating potential generic competition for CINVANTI (the company's largest product), the subsequent withdrawal of full-year guidance, reduced pro forma cash after required principal payments, an increased GAAP net loss, and a pause in sales force expansion introduce significant near-term uncertainty. Overall, positive operating pockets are overshadowed by material legal, cash and guidance risks.
Positive Updates
Total Net Revenue and Quarter-over-Quarter Improvement
Net revenue for Q2 2026 was $37.7 million, up from $34.7 million in Q1 2026 and roughly flat versus prior-year quarter ($37.2 million).
Negative Updates
Court Decision Creates Material Uncertainty for CINVANTI
A June U.S. District Court decision on certain CINVANTI patents changed the company's outlook; Heron has appealed but faces the possibility of generic entry for its largest product, creating uncertain timing and market-share risk.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Total Net Revenue and Quarter-over-Quarter Improvement
Net revenue for Q2 2026 was $37.7 million, up from $34.7 million in Q1 2026 and roughly flat versus prior-year quarter ($37.2 million).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Heron withdrew its full‑year 2026 guidance of $173–$183 million in net product sales and $10–$20 million in adjusted EBITDA, citing three uncertainties (the June court decision affecting potential generic timing/terms for CINVANTI, the pause of a planned second‑half sales‑force expansion and tightened spending, and consideration of strategic alternatives) and will instead report quarterly on cash, spending and covenant compliance; at quarter end it had $42.7 million in cash, equivalents and short‑term investments (pro forma ~$28.5M after a $13.5M principal paydown and ~ $24.3M if a further $4.0M payment is made by Sept. 15), agreed an amended Hercules facility that waives June covenants and resets monthly minimum revenue and EBITDA covenants plus a minimum cash covenant through December 2027, and reported Q2 results of $37.7M net revenues, 69.3% gross margin, $2.0M operating loss, $5.5M net loss and $3.2M adjusted EBITDA.

Heron Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating progress is evident with strong TTM gross margin (~71%) and materially improved revenue growth (~31% TTM), plus sharply narrowed losses versus 2021–2022. However, the balance sheet and cash flow remain major risks: very high leverage (debt ~$148M vs. equity ~$6.9M; debt-to-equity ~15.5x) and negative TTM operating/free cash flow (about -$11.6M/-$12.1M) alongside still-negative profitability.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue151.18M154.90M144.28M127.04M107.67M86.35M
Gross Profit105.94M113.56M105.64M61.94M52.80M40.33M
EBITDA-27.84M-17.88M-5.06M-103.79M-176.66M-215.25M
Net Income-34.05M-20.20M-13.58M-110.56M-182.02M-220.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets252.26M255.88M233.15M222.51M250.95M305.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.66M46.63M59.28M80.41M84.85M157.58M
Total Debt148.35M140.64M177.76M179.63M157.48M159.50M
Total Liabilities245.35M241.54M266.80M256.48M237.38M228.14M
Stockholders Equity6.91M14.33M-33.65M-33.97M13.57M77.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.13M-27.91M-24.23M-60.33M-148.74M-206.38M
Operating Cash Flow-11.61M-27.59M-22.53M-58.79M-146.91M-203.35M
Investing Cash Flow2.20M16.01M18.71M18.00M-3.32M32.73M
Financing Cash Flow13.61M14.43M940.00K54.11M75.06M156.03M

Heron Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.46
Price Trends
50DMA
0.43
Negative
100DMA
0.68
Negative
200DMA
0.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
27.88
Positive
STOCH
11.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HRTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.44, above the 50-day MA of 0.43, and below the 200-day MA of 0.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.88 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HRTX.

Heron Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Heron Therapeutics disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Heron Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Heron Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$116.06M-2.77-38.80%-100.00%-392.92%
47
Neutral
$128.94M-1.6644.63%3.03%57.71%
47
Neutral
$92.52M-4.08-161.58%23.02%
45
Neutral
$106.34M-3.325214.36%2.05%
45
Neutral
$74.92M-1.51-103.08%-6.96%32.77%
41
Neutral
$63.92M-1.71-300.90%0.99%-3014.75%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HRTX
Heron Therapeutics
0.32
-0.98
-75.38%
ONCY
Oncolytics Biotech
0.82
-0.19
-18.61%
CRDF
Cardiff Oncology
0.90
-1.53
-62.80%
BDTX
Black Diamond Therapeutics
2.05
-0.70
-25.45%
ADCT
ADC Therapeutics
1.10
-2.14
-66.05%
GANX
Gain Therapeutics
2.04
0.27
15.25%

Heron Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Heron Therapeutics Extends Tax Benefit Preservation Plan Timeline
Positive
Aug 14, 2026
On August 13, 2026, Heron Therapeutics, Inc. amended its existing Tax Benefit Preservation Plan originally adopted on August 14, 2025, with Computershare Trust Company, N.A. as rights agent. The amendment extends the plan’s Final Expiration ...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Heron Therapeutics Faces Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Deficiency
Negative
Jun 25, 2026
On June 25, 2026, Heron Therapeutics disclosed that it had received a notice from Nasdaq stating its common stock failed to meet the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement over the 30 trading days from May 12 to June 24, 2026. The company now has unt...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Heron Shareholders Approve Directors, Incentive Plans, Tax Measures
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 11, 2026, Heron Therapeutics’ shareholders elected seven directors to serve until the 2027 meeting and ratified Withum Smith+Brown, PC as the independent registered public accounting fi...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Heron Therapeutics Appeals Ruling Invalidating CINVANTI Patents
Negative
Jun 2, 2026
On June 2, 2026, Heron Therapeutics reported that the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware had ruled on June 1, 2026 that the asserted claims of its U.S. Patents Nos. 12,115,255 and 12,290,520 covering CINVANTI (aprepitant) injectable ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026