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Gladstone Commercial Corp (GOOD)
NASDAQ:GOOD

Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) AI Stock Analysis

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Gladstone Commercial

(NASDAQ:GOOD)

65Neutral
Gladstone Commercial shows a robust financial performance with strong cash flow and revenue growth, making it appealing for growth-focused investors. However, the high leverage and relatively high P/E ratio present risks, especially in volatile markets. The recent earnings call highlights strengths in industrial property acquisitions but also notes challenges in the office sector and rising expenses. Overall, the stock is moderately attractive with potential risks balanced by strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Capital Recycling Program
The company has been active in their capital recycling program, by selling non-core office assets and using it to build on its industrial portfolio, now representing 65% of annualized straight line earnings.
Property Acquisition
The company completed the acquisition of six properties comprising 355.8K sqft, fully occupied, for a total cost of $73.7 million, at a weighted average cap rate of 8.39%.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
The company does have a slightly higher than average level of debt and preferred totaling ~53% to total capitalization.

Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Gladstone Commercial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGladstone Commercial Corporation is a real estate investment trust focused on acquiring, owning, and operating net leased industrial and office properties across the United States. Including payments through September 2020, Gladstone Commercial has paid 189 consecutive monthly cash distributions on its common stock. Prior to paying distributions on a monthly basis, Gladstone Commercial paid five consecutive quarterly cash distributions. The company has also paid 53 consecutive monthly cash distributions on its Series D Preferred Stock, 12 consecutive monthly cash distributions on its Series E Preferred Stock and three consecutive monthly cash distributions on its Series F Preferred Stock. Gladstone Commercial has never skipped, reduced or deferred a distribution since its inception in 2003.
How the Company Makes MoneyGladstone Commercial makes money primarily through the acquisition and management of commercial real estate properties that are leased to businesses under long-term, net lease agreements. These agreements typically require tenants to cover most property-related expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, thus ensuring a steady stream of rental income for Gladstone. Additionally, the company seeks to generate revenue through strategic property acquisitions that offer potential for value appreciation and higher rental yields. Partnerships with established businesses and careful selection of tenants contribute to its earnings by reducing vacancy risks and enhancing property value over time.

Gladstone Commercial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gladstone Commercial shows solid financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth. The company maintains strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation. However, its high leverage could pose a risk in volatile markets. Overall, the financials reflect a stable and growing business with good cash flow management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Gladstone Commercial shows a solid upward trajectory in revenue with a TTM increase to $151.17M from $149.39M the previous year. Gross Profit Margin remains robust at 78.4%, while Net Profit Margin improved significantly, reflecting a positive shift to 16.9% from the prior year's 16.1%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable at 34.8% and 78.3% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency and cash flow generation.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 4.08, reflecting substantial reliance on debt financing. However, Return on Equity increased to 14.0%, suggesting improved profitability. The Equity Ratio stands at 15.8%, indicating a relatively small equity base compared to total assets, which poses a risk if market conditions worsen.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable at 2.33, indicating strong cash earnings. Free Cash Flow showed a steady increase, with no capital expenditures reported, but Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is high at 2.33, suggesting robust cash flow compared to net income. However, fluctuations in investing cash flows suggest some volatility in capital allocation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
151.17M149.39M147.58M148.98M137.69M133.15M
Gross Profit
118.59M117.86M115.35M122.15M110.59M107.15M
EBIT
52.66M51.14M50.78M43.77M37.75M37.31M
EBITDA
118.40M117.23M101.30M100.86M96.97M90.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
25.61M24.00M4.99M-23.18M-19.99M-12.26M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.45M10.96M11.98M11.65M7.96M11.02M
Total Assets
1.11B1.09B1.13B1.20B1.14B1.10B
Total Debt
723.60M697.45M743.95M754.51M713.03M674.38M
Net Debt
713.15M686.49M731.97M742.86M705.08M663.36M
Total Liabilities
956.91M923.05M809.16M996.94M940.79M881.87M
Stockholders Equity
147.31M171.17M170.04M202.78M201.30M213.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
59.61M56.95M60.37M62.35M64.78M59.13M
Operating Cash Flow
59.61M56.95M60.37M69.18M70.13M65.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-95.84M-1.73M1.14M-82.51M-94.78M-100.26M
Financing Cash Flow
36.67M-56.29M-61.36M16.15M21.75M39.35M

Gladstone Commercial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.29
Price Trends
50DMA
14.26
Positive
100DMA
15.00
Negative
200DMA
15.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
53.45
Neutral
STOCH
79.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOOD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.11, above the 50-day MA of 14.26, and below the 200-day MA of 15.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GOOD.

Gladstone Commercial Risk Analysis

Gladstone Commercial disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gladstone Commercial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gladstone Commercial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AHAHH
73
Outperform
$748.95M129.653.05%10.22%-12.13%-14.54%
OLOLP
70
Neutral
$530.36M18.109.57%7.35%1.82%-1.03%
65
Neutral
$665.83M49.277.51%8.40%3.01%
CTCTO
63
Neutral
$606.66M36.87-1.05%8.25%17.48%-172.41%
60
Neutral
$2.82B10.290.31%8508.26%5.91%-17.42%
59
Neutral
$687.53M-6.29%12.64%-14.92%-3.27%
57
Neutral
$456.35M-6.09%7.25%-8.41%88.62%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOOD
Gladstone Commercial
14.29
0.78
5.77%
CTO
CTO Realty Growth
18.42
2.05
12.52%
OLP
One Liberty Properties
24.38
2.01
8.99%
AHH
Armada Hoffler Properties
7.27
-3.38
-31.74%
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital
5.24
-0.36
-6.43%
PKST
Peakstone Realty Trust
12.30
-0.42
-3.30%

Gladstone Commercial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong performance in industrial property acquisitions and portfolio management. However, challenges such as economic uncertainty and increased operating expenses were noted. The company's strategic focus on industrial properties is a key strength, while the office sector remains a challenge.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Portfolio Performance
Gladstone Commercial Corporation maintained a portfolio occupancy rate of 98.4% as of March 31, 2025, with 100% collection of cash-based rents.
Increased Industrial Focus
The company increased its industrial concentration to 65% of annualized straight-line rent with $73.25 million in new industrial property acquisitions.
Positive Financial Metrics
Same-store rents increased by 6.6% year-over-year, with total operating revenues rising from $35.7 million in Q1 2024 to $37.5 million in Q1 2025.
Successful Capital Management
Net assets increased from $1.09 billion to $1.16 billion due to acquisitions, with a manageable debt profile and $99 million in liquidity available.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty and Tariff Impact
The broader economic environment showed growing uncertainty due to recent tariff announcements, affecting companies with exposure to Asia.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose to $23.9 million in Q1 2025 from $23.3 million in Q1 2024 due to inflationary pressures and higher incentive fees.
Challenges in Office Property Sector
The company seeks to reduce its office property holdings, aiming to redeploy capital into industrial assets, highlighting issues in the office sector.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025 earnings call, Gladstone Commercial Corporation provided guidance emphasizing key metrics and operational strategies. The company reported 100% collection of cash-based rents from their industrial properties, which encompass 355,778 square feet valued at $73.25 million. They increased their industrial concentration to 65% of annualized straight-line rent and maintained a high portfolio occupancy rate at 98.4% as of March 31. They completed acquisitions worth over $73 million and disposed of properties, achieving gains of $377,000 and $3.9 million from sales. Financially, their FFO and Core FFO per share were $0.34, consistent with the previous year, while total operating revenues increased to $37.5 million. The company also highlighted a disciplined approach to acquisitions, with a focus on high-quality, mission-critical industrial assets and maintaining a strong balance sheet with $99 million available in credit and cash. Looking forward, they plan to continue acquiring industrial assets, extending leases, and improving their portfolio while managing leverage and exploring new financing opportunities.

Gladstone Commercial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Gladstone Commercial Announces Leadership Transition Plans
Neutral
Nov 15, 2024

Terry Lee Brubaker, the COO of Gladstone Commercial Corporation, will retire on December 2, 2024, marking a significant leadership change for the company. Michael LiCalsi, the General Counsel, will take on additional operational duties while a national search is conducted for a new Chief Investment Officer. This transition comes as Gladstone Commercial, a REIT known for its diverse portfolio of industrial and office properties, continues to grow its footprint across the U.S.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.