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Nexters (GDEV)
NASDAQ:GDEV
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Nexters (GDEV) AI Stock Analysis

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GDEV

Nexters

(NASDAQ:GDEV)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(1.66% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/20/26
The score is held back mainly by weakening top-line signals (declining revenue and KPI downtrends in bookings and paying users) and a structurally weak balance sheet from persistently negative equity. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock trading below all key moving averages. Offsetting these risks, the company shows improved profitability and positive free cash flow, and valuation looks inexpensive with a very low P/E.
Positive Factors
Positive free cash flow
Recurring positive operating and free cash flow gives Nexters internal funding capacity for live-service content, user acquisition and other needs. The 2025 rebound is supportive, although future durability depends on stabilizing revenue and reducing cash-flow volatility.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
Persistent top-line contraction indicates that existing titles are not replacing lost scale through retention, monetization or new releases. A shrinking revenue base can reduce operating leverage and make strong margins harder to sustain over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive free cash flow
Recurring positive operating and free cash flow gives Nexters internal funding capacity for live-service content, user acquisition and other needs. The 2025 rebound is supportive, although future durability depends on stabilizing revenue and reducing cash-flow volatility.
Read all positive factors

Nexters Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Bookings
Bookings
Represents total revenue from user purchases, serving as a key indicator of overall financial health and growth trajectory.
Chart InsightsBookings have moved from a 2021 peak into a lower multi-year plateau, but the late‑2024 to early‑2025 dip and only partial recovery suggest the slowdown isn’t just seasonality—it looks like waning demand or weaker monetization. Because bookings lead revenue and cash flow, this pattern raises downside risk to growth and margin assumptions unless management offsets it with new hits, better UA efficiency, or cost cuts. Investors should watch product pipeline, user acquisition spend, and next guidance for signs the trend can be arrested.
Data provided by:The Fly

Nexters (GDEV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nexters Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
GDEV Inc. operates as a global interactive entertainment firm, specializing in the development and provision of a diverse portfolio of digital games. Its offerings span various platforms, including desktop computers, mobile devices, web browsers, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Nexters primarily makes money through the ongoing operation (live services) of free-to-play games, where players can download and play for free and a subset of users spend money inside the game. Key revenue streams: - In-app purchases (IAP): The ...

Nexters Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: profitability and cash generation are solid (improved margins and positive free cash flow with a 2025 rebound), but multi-year revenue decline (including a sharp 2025 drop) plus persistently negative shareholders’ equity materially weaken the overall financial picture. KPI trends reinforce top-line risk as bookings and paying users have been trending down, despite some improvement in per-paying-user monetization that appears fragile.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue281.14M404.35M420.93M464.55M479.69M434.09M
Gross Profit180.76M262.93M278.92M303.86M302.71M297.92M
EBITDA63.84M81.63M36.43M56.68M18.55M-113.69M
Net Income58.06M69.33M25.53M46.12M7.30M-117.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.34M233.11M272.20M320.55M322.04M312.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.49M104.32M134.81M156.03M137.14M142.80M
Total Debt1.74M1.09M1.30M2.44M1.19M1.93M
Total Liabilities292.03M323.68M373.73M420.37M470.82M474.03M
Stockholders Equity-51.69M-90.56M-101.53M-99.81M-148.78M-161.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.76M29.13M28.09M17.20M115.02M104.08M
Operating Cash Flow42.92M29.45M28.52M17.95M116.08M105.52M
Investing Cash Flow-11.16M-22.40M55.90M-32.46M-171.78M-2.72M
Financing Cash Flow220.85K-57.40M-44.94M-1.95M-1.90M-42.98M

Nexters Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.82
Price Trends
50DMA
11.94
Negative
100DMA
13.50
Negative
200DMA
14.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
47.17
Neutral
STOCH
66.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GDEV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.42, below the 50-day MA of 11.94, and below the 200-day MA of 14.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GDEV.

Nexters Risk Analysis

Nexters disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nexters reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Use of generative artificial intelligence tools in our business may result in significant reputational harm and liability. Q4, 2023

Nexters Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$635.28M5.0512.93%2.48%13.89%18.17%
79
Outperform
$76.23B15.8820.04%2.45%9.83%-2.22%
67
Neutral
$6.61B29.079.84%10.34%620.66%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
54
Neutral
$207.21M2.77-79.71%21.33%
49
Neutral
$62.46M-1.35-20.93%-13.26%-46.97%
49
Neutral
$839.12M-3.0482.92%18.02%5.84%-421.33%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GDEV
Nexters
11.46
-3.69
-24.36%
NTES
NetEase
119.45
-21.06
-14.99%
BILI
Bilibili
16.20
-7.92
-32.84%
DDI
Doubledown Interactive Co
12.75
3.21
33.65%
MYPS
PLAYSTUDIOS
0.49
-0.47
-48.80%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
2.22
-1.38
-38.33%

Nexters Corporate Events

GDEV Sets August 26, 2026 Expiration and Delisting for Out-of-the-Money Warrants
Jul 22, 2026
On July 22, 2026, GDEV Inc. announced that all of its outstanding public and private warrants will expire at 5:00 p.m. New York City time on August 26, 2026, under the terms of its warrant agreement originally dated August 5, 2020. Each block of t...
GDEV Sets August 28, 2026 AGM to Vote on Director Slate and Amended Articles
Jul 10, 2026
GDEV Inc. announced on July 10, 2026, that it will hold its 2026 annual general meeting of members on August 28, 2026, in Limassol, Cyprus, with virtual participation available. Shareholders of record as of July 2, 2026, are entitled to attend and...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026