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General Dynamics (GD)
NYSE:GD

General Dynamics (GD) AI Stock Analysis

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GD

General Dynamics

(NYSE:GD)

78Outperform
General Dynamics scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, driven by significant growth in Aerospace and effective shareholder returns. While the valuation is fair, technical indicators suggest cautious optimism. Challenges like negative free cash flow and tariff uncertainties are notable risks but are outweighed by the company's robust earnings growth and financial health.
Positive Factors
Certification and Demand
G800 achieved FAA certification which is expected to stimulate demand.
Defense and Combat Systems
Solid demand signals from Europe and increased orders on wheeled and tracked vehicles position Combat well.
Technologies Segment Performance
Technologies was a notable standout with sales and margins exceeding estimates.
Negative Factors
Interest Expense
Higher interest expense could negatively impact earnings, though repurchases might offset this.
Supply Chain Delays
Supply chain delays and quality issues continue to affect the Marine segment.
Tariff Risk
Tariff risk is more pronounced at Aerospace, with the potential impact still unknown.

General Dynamics (GD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

General Dynamics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Dynamics Corporation is a global aerospace and defense company headquartered in Reston, Virginia. It operates through four main business segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The company is known for its production of Gulfstream business jets, combat vehicles, weapons systems, munitions, C4ISR solutions, and IT services. General Dynamics serves a diverse set of customers, including government and commercial clients, offering a wide range of products and services designed to meet the demands of modern defense and aerospace industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Dynamics makes money through a diversified revenue model that encompasses multiple key streams across its business segments. The Aerospace segment generates revenue primarily from the sale of Gulfstream business jets and associated aviation services. In the Marine Systems segment, the company earns income by designing and building nuclear-powered submarines and surface combatants for the U.S. Navy. The Combat Systems segment contributes to revenue through the manufacture and supply of combat vehicles, weapons systems, and ammunition to military clients. Lastly, the Technologies segment focuses on generating income by providing IT and mission support services, including communication and information technology solutions, to government and commercial customers. Significant partnerships with the U.S. Department of Defense and other international defense agencies play a critical role in the company's earnings, alongside long-term contracts and a strong backlog of orders.

General Dynamics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Earnings by Segment
Operating Earnings by Segment
Shows profit generated by each division after operating expenses, providing insight into operational efficiency and strategic focus across different business areas.
Chart InsightsGeneral Dynamics' Aerospace segment is experiencing robust growth, significantly contributing to the company's overall financial performance, with a notable 45.2% revenue increase driven by higher aircraft deliveries. Despite this, the company faces challenges such as negative free cash flow and supply chain issues in Marine Systems. The Combat Systems and Technologies segments show steady growth, but uncertainties like tariffs could impact future performance. The strategic focus on Aerospace and shareholder returns suggests confidence, yet operational hurdles remain a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

General Dynamics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
General Dynamics exhibits strong financial health across all verticals. The income statement highlights robust profitability and growth, the balance sheet demonstrates stability with effective leverage management, and the cash flow statement confirms strong cash generation and liquidity. However, careful monitoring of liabilities is advisable to maintain financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
General Dynamics shows strong profitability with consistent growth in revenue and net income over the years. The TTM gross profit margin is healthy at 15.41%, and the net profit margin stands at 10.75%. Revenue has grown steadily, reflected by a 4.13% increase from 2023 to 2024. The EBIT margin is robust at 13.60%, and EBITDA margin at 15.24%, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects a well-performing company with upward growth trends.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, showing a prudent leverage strategy. The equity ratio of 39.28% indicates a stable capital structure. ROE is strong at 17.89%, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. However, the high total liabilities relative to stockholders' equity could pose a future risk if not managed carefully. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and effective equity utilization.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow generation is strong, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 4.61% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.07, indicating that the company is effectively converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.84 reflects ample liquidity to support operations and investments. Overall, the cash flow statement shows healthy cash management and sufficient liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
49.21B47.72B42.27B39.41B38.47B37.92B
Gross Profit
7.59B7.36B6.67B6.62B6.41B6.33B
EBIT
5.03B4.80B4.25B4.21B4.16B4.13B
EBITDA
5.88B5.82B5.25B5.31B5.19B5.11B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.98B3.78B3.31B3.39B3.26B3.17B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.24B1.70B1.91B1.24B1.60B2.82B
Total Assets
56.58B55.88B54.81B51.59B50.07B51.31B
Total Debt
11.51B10.68B11.08B10.50B11.49B13.00B
Net Debt
10.27B8.98B9.17B9.25B9.89B10.17B
Total Liabilities
34.35B33.82B33.51B33.02B32.43B35.65B
Stockholders Equity
22.23B22.06B21.30B18.57B17.64B15.66B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.34B3.20B3.81B3.46B3.38B2.89B
Operating Cash Flow
4.24B4.11B4.71B4.58B4.27B3.86B
Investing Cash Flow
-903.00M-953.00M-941.00M-1.49B-882.00M-974.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.13B-3.37B-3.09B-3.47B-4.59B-903.00M

General Dynamics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price280.71
Price Trends
50DMA
269.03
Positive
100DMA
262.71
Positive
200DMA
276.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.19
Negative
RSI
61.85
Neutral
STOCH
77.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 280.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 272.65, above the 50-day MA of 269.03, and above the 200-day MA of 276.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GD.

General Dynamics Risk Analysis

General Dynamics disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Dynamics reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Dynamics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GDGD
78
Outperform
$75.34B19.4818.23%2.05%14.11%17.65%
LMLMT
77
Outperform
$109.73B20.2382.55%2.75%3.12%-15.29%
LHLHX
76
Outperform
$43.03B27.288.49%2.03%5.39%36.86%
HIHII
71
Outperform
$9.03B16.5812.27%2.30%-1.04%-21.80%
NONOC
70
Outperform
$68.10B18.6225.41%1.74%0.61%77.28%
64
Neutral
$4.43B12.015.16%249.23%4.03%-11.73%
BABA
52
Neutral
$155.19B-162.23%-9.15%-406.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GD
General Dynamics
280.71
-13.39
-4.55%
BA
Boeing
205.82
19.21
10.29%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
230.20
11.08
5.06%
HII
Huntington Ingalls
230.05
-19.39
-7.77%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
468.32
13.18
2.90%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
473.17
12.16
2.64%

General Dynamics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented strong financial performance with significant growth across key segments, particularly in Aerospace. However, challenges such as negative free cash flow, a slight decline in backlog, and uncertainties related to tariffs and the supply chain in Marine Systems were notable concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth
Earnings per diluted share were $3.66 on revenue of $12.2 billion. Revenue increased by 13.9%, operating earnings by 22.4%, and net earnings by 24.4% compared to the year-ago quarter.
Aerospace Segment Performance
Aerospace revenue increased by 45.2%, driven by a 50% increase in aircraft deliveries, including 13 new G700s. Operating earnings increased by 59.4%.
G800 Certification and Expectations
The G800 was certified by the FAA and EASA, with expectations for smooth entry into service and potential to exceed planned deliveries.
Defense Segment Growth
Combat Systems revenue increased by 3.5%, and Marine Systems revenue grew by 7.7%. Technologies Group revenue increased by 6.8%.
Shareholder Returns
Returned over $980 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was a negative $290 million for the quarter, though this was better than expected.
Slight Decline in Backlog
The total backlog was slightly down from year-end to $89 billion, attributed in part to the 14% increase in revenue from last year.
Tariff Uncertainty
Concerns about the impact of tariffs on aerospace, with no clear understanding of the scope and breadth of the issue yet.
Challenges in Marine Systems
Continued struggles with achieving operating leverage due to delays and quality problems in the supply chain.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, General Dynamics reported robust financial performance with earnings of $3.66 per diluted share, reflecting a 27.1% increase from the same period in the previous year. The company achieved revenue of $12.2 billion, marking a 13.9% increase, while operating earnings rose by 22.4% to $1.268 billion, and net earnings increased by 24.4% to $994 million. The operating margin improved by 70 basis points to 10.4%. Aerospace led revenue growth with a 45.2% increase, driven by a 50% increase in aircraft deliveries, including 13 new G700s. The Technologies Group also saw strong order activity with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 to 1. However, the overall company book-to-bill ratio was slightly below 1 due to a 14% revenue increase. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $142 million, and the company returned over $980 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $290 million, with expectations for improvement in the subsequent quarters. The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of $1.2 billion and a net debt position of $8.4 billion. The effective tax rate was 17.2%. While the company did not update its annual guidance, it noted the positive start to the year and the potential impact of tariffs on future performance.

General Dynamics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
General Dynamics Elects Board at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 7, 2025, General Dynamics Corporation announced the election of its Board of Directors, with all nominees successfully elected. Shareholders also approved KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025 and endorsed the executive compensation plan. However, a proposal for a Human Rights Impact Assessment report was rejected by the shareholders, indicating a focus on maintaining current operational strategies without additional human rights reporting.

Spark’s Take on GD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GD is a Outperform.

General Dynamics shows robust financial performance with strong profitability and growth across its segments, especially in Aerospace. Technical indicators and valuation suggest a stable outlook, though the stock is fairly valued. The earnings call confirmed strong growth prospects but highlighted some challenges like negative free cash flow and tariff uncertainties. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth, but investors should monitor potential risks.

To see Spark’s full report on GD stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
General Dynamics Completes $750 Million Notes Sale
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, General Dynamics Corporation completed the sale of $750 million in 4.950% Notes due 2035, as part of a transaction involving major financial institutions like BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan Securities, and Wells Fargo Securities. This financial move, registered with the SEC, is expected to impact the company’s financial structure and potentially strengthen its market position by securing long-term funding.

Spark’s Take on GD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GD is a Outperform.

General Dynamics shows strong financial performance with significant growth in Aerospace and solid profitability. While technical indicators suggest stability, the valuation is fair, offering a reasonable P/E ratio and dividend yield. The earnings call highlights robust growth but also notes challenges like negative free cash flow and tariff uncertainties. Overall, the company is well-positioned but must address these risks to maintain momentum.

To see Spark’s full report on GD stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.