2025 Revenue DeclineA pronounced top-line drop of ~20% in 2025 highlights sensitivity of fee income to market moves, flows, or product mix shifts. Sustained or repeated revenue declines would erode recurring fee base, pressure margins and cash generation, and complicate medium-term planning for investments and payouts.
Cash Flow VolatilityPeriodic negative OCF/FCF (notably 2022) and a 2025 FCF drop point to uneven cash conversion. This volatility can strain liquidity during downturns, increase reliance on balance-sheet buffers, and limit consistent capital returns or reinvestment when cash is most needed.
Prior High Leverage EpisodeA recent history of materially higher leverage (debt/equity >1.1 in 2021–22) indicates management previously operated with elevated financial risk. That legacy demonstrates potential for leverage to re-emerge under different strategies or stress, increasing tail risk despite current improvement.