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EuroDry Ltd (EDRY)
NASDAQ:EDRY
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EuroDry (EDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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EDRY

EuroDry

(NASDAQ:EDRY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(11.57% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/24/26
The score is driven primarily by improving operating performance and stronger free cash flow, supported by constructive technical momentum. These positives are tempered by a leveraged, cyclical financial profile with still-thin/volatile net profitability, an elevated P/E, and earnings-call risks tied to rate exposure, higher breakevens, and financing/execution needs for fleet expansion.
Positive Factors
Strengthening cash generation
EuroDry's move to positive free cash flow and materially improved operating cash flow provides durable financial flexibility to fund capex, service debt, and pursue buybacks. Stronger cash generation reduces short-term refinancing pressure in a cyclical market and supports execution of growth plans.
Negative Factors
Moderate-to-elevated leverage
Leverage roughly in line with equity limits financial cushioning in weaker rate cycles and increases sensitivity to rate volatility. Upcoming amortizations require sustained cash generation or refinancing, constraining capital allocation flexibility over the next 2–4 years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strengthening cash generation
EuroDry's move to positive free cash flow and materially improved operating cash flow provides durable financial flexibility to fund capex, service debt, and pursue buybacks. Stronger cash generation reduces short-term refinancing pressure in a cyclical market and supports execution of growth plans.
Read all positive factors

EuroDry Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Fleet Utilization Rate
Fleet Utilization Rate
Shows the share of the fleet that is actively employed and earning revenue. High utilization supports steady cash flow and better coverage of fixed costs, while low utilization signals idle capacity, lost revenue, and pressure on margins.
Chart InsightsNear‑constant, essentially full utilization reflects disciplined commercial deployment and underpins the Q4 operational turnaround, but utilization alone doesn’t protect earnings: only a minority of days are fixed via hedges and rates (TCE) remain the main driver of EBITDA. The tight utilization profile leaves little buffer for off‑hire or drydocking, and planned fleet renewals/disposals plus looming debt maturments mean any sustained rate softness or unexpected downtime could quickly erode the recent margin gains despite near‑perfect utilization.
Data provided by:The Fly

EuroDry (EDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EuroDry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
EuroDry Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates drybulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains; and minor bulks, including bauxite, phos...
How the Company Makes Money
EuroDry makes money primarily by chartering out its drybulk vessels to customers for the transportation of dry bulk cargoes. Revenue is earned through charter hire, typically under contracts such as time charters (the customer pays a daily rate fo...

EuroDry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong quarter marked by significant revenue growth (38.9%), a return to profitability (net income $260k vs prior-year loss), a large positive swing in adjusted EBITDA (~$4.87M vs -$1.02M), improved utilization and more than doubled per-vessel earnings. Management is executing buybacks while investing in fleet modernization (4 newbuilds) and maintaining disciplined charter/hedging strategies. Key risks include macro/geopolitical uncertainty, conditional newbuilding financing, rising breakeven levels, and upcoming debt/newbuild payments. On balance, near-term operational and market momentum outweigh the execution and market risks discussed.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total net revenues of $12.79M in Q1 2026, an increase of 38.9% vs $9.21M in Q1 2025.
Negative Updates
Exposure to Macro and Geopolitical Risks
IMF and industry commentary highlight downside risks (Middle East conflict, trade tensions, AI-driven uncertainty); these risks could materially weaken global growth and drybulk demand for 2026-2027.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total net revenues of $12.79M in Q1 2026, an increase of 38.9% vs $9.21M in Q1 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to a strong Q2 and reiterated that fixed-rate coverage for the remainder of 2026 is ~23.5% (49% in Q2, ~15% in Q3, very small in Q4) while four vessels remain index-linked; it has hedged the equivalent of one Kamsarmax for Q2 at $19.1k/day and one for Q3 at $17.2k/day (plus 90 days for Q4 at $17.1k/day), and management’s calculator implies an annualized EBITDA of about $34M at current forward rates with a sensitivity of ~$2.2M EBITDA per $1k/day change in average rate. Key breakevens were reiterated: EBITDA breakeven ~$8.04k/day and all‑in cash‑flow/free‑cash‑flow breakeven ~$12.3–12.5k/day; Q1 operating metrics included net revenues $12.79M, net income $260k ($0.09 diluted), adjusted net income $330k ($0.12), adjusted EBITDA ~$4.9M, average TCE $14.4k/day on ~11 vessels, utilization 99.7%, and OpEx ~$7.08k/day. Fleet and capex guidance: current fleet 11 vessels (avg age ~13.8 yrs, ~707k DWT) will expand to 15 vessels (~1.05M DWT) with 2 Ultramax (63.5k DWT each) due 2027 and 2 Kamsarmax (82k DWT each) due 2028 (Kamsarmax contracts ~ $74M to be financed ~60% on delivery); balance sheet items cited include cash/other assets ~$31.6M, advances for newbuilds ~$14.4M, vessels book ~$163.1M (estimated market value ~$226.9M), total assets ~$209.1M, total debt roughly $100.9–$109M with avg margin ~1.99% and all‑in senior cost ~5.63%, scheduled repayments ~$12.2M (2026), ~$20–21M (2027), ~$17M (2028) and ~$28.8M (2029); share actions: buyback program up to $10M with ~$5.6M deployed to repurchase ~348k shares.

EuroDry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Near-term rebound is evident with improved operating profitability (EBIT margin ~13%) and stronger cash generation (TTM operating cash flow ~$17.5M; free cash flow ~$9.8M). Offsetting factors include slightly negative TTM net results, moderate-to-elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.07), and historically volatile earnings/cash flows typical of a cyclical shipping market.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.84M52.26M61.08M47.59M70.18M64.44M
Gross Profit12.77M6.41M20.81M8.47M37.30M43.98M
EBITDA19.55M11.57M13.33M14.17M48.15M41.45M
Net Income-304.76K-4.26M-9.66M-2.91M33.54M31.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets209.06M212.10M219.74M231.05M199.51M161.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.51M22.47M6.71M10.80M35.24M26.85M
Total Debt100.13M102.88M107.19M103.93M81.22M78.65M
Total Liabilities105.90M109.59M114.14M111.63M85.56M82.41M
Stockholders Equity93.77M93.27M96.74M109.66M113.94M78.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.81M5.40M-3.92M-53.50M-4.80M2.31M
Operating Cash Flow17.46M12.76M4.81M11.81M32.99M39.14M
Investing Cash Flow602.84K6.14M-8.73M-65.30M-28.40M-36.82M
Financing Cash Flow-4.40M-5.13M1.73M30.47M3.01M22.61M

EuroDry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.96
Price Trends
50DMA
20.98
Positive
100DMA
18.85
Positive
200DMA
15.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Positive
RSI
51.33
Neutral
STOCH
48.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EDRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.33, above the 50-day MA of 20.98, and above the 200-day MA of 15.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EDRY.

EuroDry Risk Analysis

EuroDry disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EuroDry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EuroDry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$44.40M13.543.87%-20.22%-47.01%
66
Neutral
$21.64M1.13-5.54%24.97%
64
Neutral
$21.13M0.699.79%11.81%-51.76%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$63.04M-203.26-0.33%-0.04%96.94%
51
Neutral
$46.40M-26.19-1.00%26.77%-515.79%
45
Neutral
$7.99M1.547.94%-6.63%-38.69%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EDRY
EuroDry
22.15
13.76
164.00%
PSHG
Performance Shipping
1.72
0.09
5.52%
GLBS
Globus Maritime
2.12
0.95
81.20%
TOPS
Top Ships
1.03
-5.98
-85.31%
PXS
Pyxis Tankers
4.78
2.00
71.94%
CTRM
Castor Maritime
2.25
>-0.01
-0.44%

EuroDry Corporate Events

EuroDry Boosts Q1 2026 Revenue and Orders Two Eco Kamsarmax Bulk Carriers
May 20, 2026
EuroDry reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 20, 2026, posting total net revenues of $12.8 million, up 38.9% year on year, and net income attributable to controlling shareholders of $0.26 million, or $0.09 per share. Adjusted net income reac...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 24, 2026