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Consolidated Water Co (CWCO) AI Stock Analysis

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CWCO

Consolidated Water Co

(NASDAQ:CWCO)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:$32.00â–²(17.56% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/16/26

The score is led by strong financial resilience (very low leverage and solid cash generation), which provides downside support. This is tempered by weakened revenue/profit trends and a soft technical setup with the stock trading below major moving averages. Valuation appears somewhat rich given near-term pressure, while the latest earnings call adds a modest positive tilt due to backlog and project progress despite current margin and manufacturing weakness.

Positive Factors
Municipal Design-Build WinThe $39.8 million municipal contract expands CWCO's U.S. advanced water-treatment platform and provides a substantial multi-year project pipeline. Winning a competitive procurement against two rival teams also supports the company's technical credibility and ability to secure complex infrastructure work.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability PressureThe sharp TTM revenue contraction and recent margin and earnings declines indicate that operating performance is materially weaker than during the earlier expansion phase. Lower profitability and less predictable results could constrain internal reinvestment and make future earnings more dependent on project recovery.

Consolidated Water Co (CWCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%CWCO-25.54%SPY+9.07%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$435.87M
Dividend Yield
2.06%
Average Volume (3M)
100.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.7
Beta (1Y)
0.49
Revenue Growth
-1.16%
EPS Growth
1.76%
Country
US
Employees
293
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Water

Consolidated Water Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. (CWCO) is a specialist in providing comprehensive water solutions, primarily engaged in developing, constructing, overseeing, and operating water production and treatment facilities. Its core operations are concentrated in...

How the Company Makes Money

CWCO generates revenue primarily by producing potable water (largely via seawater desalination) and selling it under contractual arrangements to governments, utilities, and other customers. A core revenue stream comes from long-term, contract-based w...

Consolidated Water Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-9.53%|Next Earnings Date:May 17, 2021
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call conveyed a cautiously optimistic but balanced outlook. Near-term financial results showed modest revenue decline (-2%), a sharp drop in manufacturing revenue (-49%), and margin/profitability compression (gross margin down 5 percentage points; net income down ~23%). Offsetting these headwinds, the company has a strong balance sheet (cash $132.6M, no significant debt), meaningful growth in bulk (revenue +20%, gross profit +27%), strategic wins and backlog (notably a $10.1M municipal order and procurement authorization of ~$6M for the Hawaii project), a 25-year Grand Cayman license that provides long-term regulatory certainty, and several service/construction wins that should support future revenues. Given the material near-term weaknesses but prominent longer-term catalysts and strong liquidity, the net takeaway is balanced and cautious.

Positive Updates

Bulk Revenue Surge and Margin Improvement
Bulk revenue of $9.9M increased 20% year-over-year and bulk gross profit rose ~27%, driven primarily by higher energy pass-through charges to CW Bahamas and contributions from two newly commissioned Cat Island desalination plants (December and April commissioning).

Negative Updates

Overall Revenue Decline
Consolidated revenue totaled $32.9M for Q2 2026, a 2% decrease versus Q2 2025, with softness concentrated in manufacturing.

Company Guidance

Management's guidance was cautiously optimistic: they expect full‑year 2026 manufacturing revenue to be below 2025 but to improve in future quarters given current backlog (Q2 manufacturing revenue was $2.7M, down 49% YoY) and recent orders including a $10.1M Florida purchase order (delivery scheduled Nov 2027) and the company's largest municipal membrane order to date; construction of the 1.7 MGD Kalaeloa, Hawaii desalination project is expected to start later this year (a limited notice to proceed authorizes ~ $6M of long‑lead procurements) and, once operational under an anticipated 20‑year operating term, should materially contribute to future revenue and earnings. For Q2 they reported total revenue of $32.9M (‑2% YoY) with retail $8.7M (volume down ~2% but aided by a rate increase), bulk $9.9M (+20%) and services $11.6M (+1%); bulk gross profit rose 27% while consolidated gross profit was $11.0M (33% margin) vs $12.8M (38%) a year ago, and net income from continuing operations was $4.0M ($0.25 diluted) vs $5.2M ($0.32). Balance sheet and near‑term liquidity guidance included cash of $132.6M, working capital $144.6M, stockholders' equity $225.6M, CW Bahamas AR down to $18.8M (from $20.7M at 12/31/25), projected capex for the remainder of 2026 of ~$4.8M, and $2.3M of dividends paid in July with possible future quarterly dividends if declared.

Consolidated Water Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financial quality is supported by an exceptionally strong balance sheet (very low leverage) and solid cash generation (operating cash flow exceeds earnings and free cash flow is positive). Offsetting this, operating momentum has weakened materially, with sharply lower TTM revenue and profitability below prior highs, making near-term fundamentals less steady.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

84Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue127.61M132.07M133.97M180.21M94.10M66.86M
Gross Profit44.99M47.57M45.62M61.93M30.36M23.51M
EBITDA23.28M29.01M27.47M44.72M15.97M10.57M
Net Income16.43M18.34M28.24M29.59M5.86M875.58K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets262.87M257.57M243.31M218.44M193.01M176.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.63M123.79M99.35M42.62M50.71M42.86M
Total Debt2.79M3.03M3.46M2.67M2.47M2.94M
Total Liabilities31.87M30.89M28.00M26.61M25.24M10.69M
Stockholders Equity225.64M221.65M209.96M186.83M159.67M157.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.24M33.17M29.82M2.92M13.79M5.48M
Operating Cash Flow39.76M41.71M36.52M7.97M21.33M6.97M
Investing Cash Flow-9.40M-8.44M26.96M-10.89M-4.98M-3.94M
Financing Cash Flow-9.95M-8.95M-6.71M-5.52M-6.30M-5.86M

Consolidated Water Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price27.22

Price Trends

50DMA28.37Negative
100DMA28.93Negative
200DMA31.06Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.50Positive
RSI43.36Neutral
STOCH32.97Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.83, below the 50-day MA of 28.37, and below the 200-day MA of 31.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CWCO.

Consolidated Water Co Risk Analysis

Consolidated Water Co disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Consolidated Water Co reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Consolidated Water Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

CWCO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PCYOPCYO78Outperform$262.18M17.849.98%―22.88%8.17%
ARTNAARTNA73Outperform$356.41M14.959.37%3.68%5.90%5.30%
CWCOCWCO70Outperform$435.87M26.697.38%2.06%-1.16%1.76%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
MSEXMSEX62Neutral$1.15B21.4610.06%2.41%8.95%16.16%
CDZICDZI55Neutral$322.27M-7.16-206.70%―-21.32%0.45%
GWRSGWRS54Neutral$217.93M86.052.77%4.18%9.78%-48.99%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%CWCOARTNACDZIMSEXPCYOGWRSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CWCO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CWCOConsolidated Water27.22-6.72-19.81%
ARTNAArtesian Resources Corporation34.393.1610.11%
CDZICadiz3.58-1.27-26.19%
MSEXMiddlesex Water59.878.5416.64%
PCYOPure Cycle10.88-0.12-1.09%
GWRSGlobal Water Resources7.28-2.41-24.86%

Consolidated Water Co Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

Consolidated Water Wins Major U.S. Design-Build Contract

Positive
Oct 15, 2026

On October 8, 2026, Consolidated Water’s U.S. subsidiary PERC Water Corporation signed a $39.8 million fixed‑price design‑build agreement with the City of Pismo Beach, California for the Central Coast Blue Advanced Water Purificatio...

Business Operations and Strategy

Consolidated Water Secures Major U.S. Treatment Contracts

Positive
Jul 22, 2026

On July 22, 2026, Consolidated Water reported receiving a Limited Notice to Proceed from the Honolulu Board of Water Supply, authorizing about $6 million of long‑lead equipment purchases for the Kalaeloa seawater reverse osmosis desalination fa...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2026