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Commercial National Financial (CNAF) AI Stock Analysis

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CNAF

Commercial National Financial

(Other OTC:CNAF)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:$9.00▲(7.59% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is primarily held back by weakening financial performance trends (notably margin/return compression and a sharp 2025 revenue decline) and modestly weak technical momentum (negative MACD, below the 50-day average). These risks are partly balanced by supportive valuation metrics, including a moderate P/E and a high dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Continued ProfitabilityOngoing profitability provides an operating base for the business and indicates that revenues still convert into positive earnings. Although margins have weakened, continued profits can support capital retention, customer activity, and internal funding over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue DeclineA sharp annual revenue decline, following an otherwise flat-to-volatile cycle, signals weaker business momentum and makes future earnings less predictable. Sustained top-line pressure could limit operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and prolong the recovery in profitability.

Commercial National Financial (CNAF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%CNAF+15.76%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$23.95M
Dividend Yield
5.97%
Average Volume (3M)
3,415
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.6
Beta (1Y)
0.31
Revenue Growth
-1.87%
EPS Growth
14.96%
Country
US
Employees
76
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Commercial National Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Commercial National Financial Corporation functions as a bank holding company, overseeing Commercial Bank & Trust of PA, which delivers a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services throughout Pennsylvania. The institution provides diverse...

Commercial National Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show continued profitability and positive operating/free cash flow, but business momentum has weakened: revenue was flat-to-volatile with a sharp decline in 2025, net margins compressed materially (about ~30% in 2020 to ~11% in 2025), and returns (ROE) trended down. Leverage improved in 2025 after a 2024 spike, but capital structure volatility remains a risk.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

57Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.86M17.07M17.37M16.86M16.32M18.60M
Gross Profit16.13M15.63M15.62M15.77M16.49M17.83M
EBITDA2.20M1.82M2.21M3.62M4.54M5.80M
Net Income2.24M1.88M1.84M3.05M3.91M4.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets393.78M363.29M375.10M390.62M408.37M471.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.07M3.86M20.52M167.28M176.60M228.27M
Total Debt57.04M17.54M38.98M25.32M6.71M861.00K
Total Liabilities365.09M325.54M342.32M354.48M375.92M406.99M
Stockholders Equity28.70M37.75M32.77M36.14M32.46M64.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow01.38M1.58M2.60M3.22M3.37M
Operating Cash Flow01.81M1.92M3.35M3.53M3.54M
Investing Cash Flow017.39M12.61M20.32M1.08M-44.13M
Financing Cash Flow0-18.54M-14.91M-24.56M-31.61M45.58M

Commercial National Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price8.37

Price Trends

50DMA8.60Negative
100DMA8.51Negative
200DMA8.20Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Negative
RSI45.15Neutral
STOCH63.10Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNAF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.37, below the 50-day MA of 8.60, and above the 200-day MA of 8.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CNAF.

Commercial National Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

CNAF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
KFFBKFFB62Neutral$46.74M19.364.97%0.85%7.36%360.42%
CNAFCNAF59Neutral$23.95M10.596.41%5.97%-1.87%14.96%
GLBZGLBZ39Underperform$11.97M-151.50-0.39%―17.13%-395.56%
SHFSSHFS37Underperform$2.10M-0.00-0.37%―-14.63%94.07%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%CNAFCARVGLBZKFFBSHFSMBBCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CNAF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CNAFCommercial National Financial8.371.2116.89%
CARVCarver Bancorp1.99-1.52-43.30%
GLBZGlen Burnie4.05-0.71-14.99%
KFFBKentucky First Federal5.871.5836.74%
SHFSShf Holdings Inc.0.02-17.14-99.86%
MBBCMarathon Bancorp, Inc.14.573.6233.06%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026