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Colgate-Palmolive (CL)
NYSE:CL

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) AI Stock Analysis

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CL

Colgate-Palmolive

(NYSE:CL)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
Colgate-Palmolive's stock has a moderate score due to its strong profitability and cash flow, which are offset by high leverage and a slightly negative revenue growth trend. Technical analysis indicates a neutral stance with no strong momentum, and valuation metrics suggest limited upside given the high P/E ratio. The earnings call provided a balanced view, highlighting profit growth and geographic diversification, but also pointing out challenges with tariffs and volume growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The clean +5c EPS beat in 1Q signals a level of P&L flex that management has oft alluded to and is now fully deploying, showcasing financial strength.
Growth Driver
Hill’s Pet Nutrition remains a key growth driver for the company, with expectations to outpace the category due to investments in innovation, advertising, and additional capacity.
International Opportunities
Incremental opportunity is seen in international markets like China and Brazil, providing potential for expansion and revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Competition and Market Share
Downside risks include intensified competition leading to market share losses and higher promotional activity.
Consumer Sentiment
Broader macro uncertainty has taken a toll on consumer sentiment, leading to a more prudent approach to wallet management.
Tariffs Impact
Tariffs are weighing on margins to the tune of $200 million, presenting a significant challenge for profitability.

Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Colgate-Palmolive Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionColgate-Palmolive Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells consumer products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Oral, Personal and Home Care; and Pet Nutrition. The Oral, Personal and Home Care segment offers toothpaste, toothbrushes, mouthwash, bar and liquid hand soaps, shower gels, shampoos, conditioners, deodorants and antiperspirants, skin health products, dishwashing detergents, fabric conditioners, household cleaners, and other related items. This segment markets and sells its products under various brands, which include Colgate, Darlie, elmex, hello, meridol, Sorriso, Tom's of Maine, Irish Spring, Palmolive, Protex, Sanex, Softsoap, Lady Speed Stick, Speed Stick, EltaMD, Filorga, PCA SKIN, Ajax, Axion, Fabuloso, Murphy, Suavitel, Soupline, and Cuddly to a range of traditional and eCommerce retailers, wholesalers, and distributors. It also includes pharmaceutical products for dentists and other oral health professionals. The Pet Nutrition segment offers pet nutrition products for everyday nutritional needs under the Hill's Science Diet brand; and a range of therapeutic products to manage disease conditions in dogs and cats under the Hill's Prescription Diet brand. This segment markets and sells its products through pet supply retailers, veterinarians, and eCommerce retailers. Colgate-Palmolive Company was founded in 1806 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyColgate-Palmolive generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products in the Oral, Personal and Home Care, and Pet Nutrition segments. The Oral, Personal and Home Care segment, which includes oral hygiene products like toothpaste and toothbrushes, as well as personal care products like body wash and deodorants, is the largest contributor to the company's revenue. The Pet Nutrition segment, represented by the Hill's Pet Nutrition brand, provides premium pet food for dogs and cats, catering to the veterinary and specialty pet retail channels. The company leverages its extensive global distribution network to reach a wide range of customers, from large retailers to individual consumers. Strategic partnerships, continuous innovation, brand strength, and a focus on emerging markets are significant factors contributing to Colgate-Palmolive's earnings.

Colgate-Palmolive Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Oral, Personal, and Home Care Revenue Breakdown
Oral, Personal, and Home Care Revenue Breakdown
Breaks down sales within core product categories, providing a view of market demand and competitive positioning in essential consumer goods.
Chart InsightsColgate-Palmolive's revenue in North America shows signs of stagnation, reflecting the softness highlighted in the earnings call due to lower store traffic and conversion rates. Meanwhile, Latin America and Europe have shown resilience, though Latin America experienced a recent dip. The earnings call underscores the company's strategic focus on innovation and geographic diversification to counteract tariff impacts and volume growth challenges. Despite these hurdles, Colgate-Palmolive is leveraging investments in advertising and supply chain to sustain brand health and navigate market volatility.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Colgate-Palmolive Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Colgate-Palmolive demonstrates strong profitability with robust margins and efficient cash flow management as evidenced by strong cash flow ratios and a high net profit margin. However, the company faces concerns with high leverage indicated by a high debt-to-equity ratio and low equity base, coupled with a slight decline in recent revenue growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Colgate-Palmolive shows a stable financial performance with consistent revenue growth over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is robust at around 60.73%, and the net profit margin stands at 14.52%, both indicating strong profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 21.87% and 23.72%, respectively. However, the revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is slightly negative at -0.77%, which is a point of concern despite the overall stable performance.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 18.10 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 798.35%, but this is primarily due to the low equity base, which poses a risk. The equity ratio is low at 2.18%, suggesting a reliance on debt financing and potential financial instability in adverse conditions.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis shows strong performance, with a free cash flow growth rate of -2.23% from 2024 to TTM, suggesting a slight decline but still maintaining substantial free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.39, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.20, both indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
19.95B20.10B19.46B17.97B17.42B16.47B
Gross Profit
12.11B12.16B11.33B10.25B10.38B10.02B
EBIT
4.36B4.27B3.98B4.33B4.47B3.88B
EBITDA
4.82B4.27B4.25B4.13B4.37B4.33B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.90B2.89B2.30B1.78B2.17B2.69B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.11B1.10B1.15B775.00M832.00M888.00M
Total Assets
16.65B16.05B16.39B15.73B15.04B15.92B
Total Debt
8.27B8.51B9.06B8.90B7.25B7.60B
Net Debt
7.16B7.42B8.10B8.12B6.41B6.71B
Total Liabilities
15.91B15.50B15.44B14.93B14.07B14.82B
Stockholders Equity
363.00M212.00M609.00M401.00M609.00M743.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.47B3.55B3.04B1.86B2.76B3.31B
Operating Cash Flow
4.03B4.11B3.75B2.56B3.33B3.72B
Investing Cash Flow
-500.00M-534.00M-742.00M-1.60B-592.00M-779.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.49B-3.39B-2.79B-952.00M-2.77B-2.92B

Colgate-Palmolive Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.67
Price Trends
50DMA
91.41
Positive
100DMA
90.02
Positive
200DMA
93.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
52.39
Neutral
STOCH
94.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 90.87, above the 50-day MA of 91.41, and below the 200-day MA of 93.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CL.

Colgate-Palmolive Risk Analysis

Colgate-Palmolive disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Colgate-Palmolive reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our reliance on third parties in many aspects of our business could have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations. Q4, 2024

Colgate-Palmolive Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PGPG
76
Outperform
$386.31B26.1730.29%2.46%-0.16%2.74%
73
Outperform
$46.08B43.7610.22%3.38%-1.18%-29.18%
KMKMB
70
Outperform
$46.72B19.19229.84%3.47%-3.12%34.80%
64
Neutral
$8.88B14.674.78%173.89%3.39%2.18%
CLCL
63
Neutral
$74.55B26.05977.07%2.19%0.98%12.12%
CHCHD
63
Neutral
$23.85B41.5513.35%1.18%2.18%-26.08%
CLCLX
62
Neutral
$16.62B24.211176.27%3.60%-2.64%189.29%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CL
Colgate-Palmolive
91.67
-1.09
-1.18%
CHD
Church & Dwight
95.83
-10.27
-9.68%
CLX
Clorox
131.87
2.12
1.63%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
141.07
11.80
9.13%
PG
Procter & Gamble
165.43
1.62
0.99%
KVUE
Kenvue, Inc.
24.00
4.84
25.26%

Colgate-Palmolive Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 25, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong profit growth, robust performance of the Hill's division, and successful geographic diversification, which were balanced by challenges with tariffs, volume growth, and specific regional softness, particularly in North America and some emerging markets.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Profit Growth Despite Volatility
Colgate-Palmolive delivered strong profit growth in Q1 2025, despite the volatility in the quarter, showcasing the strength and flexibility built into the P&L and balance sheet.
Hill's Division Performance
Hill's organic sales were up 5% excluding private label, with growth across all product lines including wet, dry, treats, cat, dog, prescription diet, and science diet.
Geographic Diversification Benefits
The company's geographic breadth provides more opportunities for growth, reducing exposure to any single market.
Increased Advertising Investment
Advertising spending reached an all-time high, with a focus on driving ROI and competing effectively.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Tariffs
Expected incremental impact of $200 million in 2025 due to tariffs announced since January, affecting raw materials and finished goods between the US and China.
Volume Growth Challenges
Negative impact on volume growth due to macroeconomic and consumer uncertainty, pantry de-loading, and modest retailer destocking.
Softness in North America
Volume was a challenge, particularly in North America, due to lower store traffic and conversion rates.
Emerging Markets Volume Decline
Volume was positive excluding private label, but some markets like China and South Africa faced challenges.
Company Guidance
In the Colgate-Palmolive 2025 first quarter conference call, Noel Wallace, CEO, highlighted key challenges and opportunities for the year. The company anticipates an incremental $200 million impact from tariffs in 2025, prompting a need for strategic flexibility in their supply chain, which has seen a $2 billion investment over the past five years. Despite macroeconomic and consumer uncertainties affecting volume growth, particularly in Q1, Colgate-Palmolive is focused on driving household penetration and brand health through innovation, like the relaunch of Colgate Total and Hill's Science Diet with ActiveBiome technology. While pricing has decelerated, the company remains committed to managing costs through productivity, revenue growth management, and leveraging AI and data analytics. They aim to maintain advertising spending at an all-time high and continue investing in capabilities to navigate the volatile market environment effectively.

Colgate-Palmolive Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Colgate-Palmolive Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 9, 2025, Colgate-Palmolive held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key decisions were made. The election of ten directors was confirmed, and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. A non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation was approved, while stockholder proposals for an independent Board Chairman and revisiting plastic packaging policies were not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (CL) stock is a Buy with a $103.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Colgate-Palmolive stock, see the CL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.