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Blaize Holdings (BZAI) AI Stock Analysis

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BZAI

Blaize Holdings

(NASDAQ:BZAI)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$0.20â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality (large losses and heavy negative free cash flow) and significant negative catalysts (renewed guidance cut, investigations/class action, and Nasdaq bid-price noncompliance). Technicals also show a pronounced downtrend with very weak momentum. Offsetting factors are limited to improving revenue traction off a small base, low balance-sheet leverage, and some contracted backlog plus cost-reduction actions.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe sharp year-over-year revenue increase demonstrates improving commercial traction and growing customer adoption of Blaize’s edge AI offerings. If converted into repeatable deployments, this expansion could strengthen operating leverage and support a larger installed base over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Cash BurnLarge operating losses and substantial negative free cash flow show that the business is not yet self-funding. Continued cash consumption can require additional financing, constrain investment choices, and weaken shareholder economics unless revenue growth eventually produces meaningful operating leverage.

Blaize Holdings (BZAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%BZAI-92.87%SPY+9.07%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$29.70M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.32M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.3
Beta (1Y)
0.66
Revenue Growth
1585.05%
EPS Growth
67.97%
Country
US
Employees
241
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

Blaize Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Blaize Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled edge computing solutions. Its portfolio includes programmable AI processors in a broad range of form factors, deployable across several verticals, including smart city, defense, reta...

Blaize Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-82.56%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call presents a mixed picture: the company shows meaningful top-line momentum year-to-date, sizable contracted orders/backlog, geographic expansion, and a strategic shift toward software and platform-driven margins. However, these positives are overshadowed by a dramatic reduction in near-term revenue guidance (from $130M to $40–43M), severe margin compression in Q2, rising operating losses and one-time charges, supply-chain-driven cost pressure (memory pricing), and delayed customer conversions. Management is taking disciplined steps to preserve cash, realign spending, and pursue non-dilutive financing, and they outline a credible longer-term plan centered on AI Services and next-generation products, but near-term financial challenges are significant.

Positive Updates

Strong Sequential and Year-over-Year Revenue Growth
Q2 revenue was $12.0 million versus $2.7 million in Q1; first half 2026 revenue totaled $14.7 million versus $3.0 million in the same period last year, a year-on-year increase of 390%.

Negative Updates

Material Guidance Reduction
Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was reduced sharply from $130 million to a range of $40 million to $43 million, reflecting slower conversions, timing shifts, and supply cost inflation.

Company Guidance

Management revised 2026 revenue guidance sharply to $40–$43 million (down from prior ~$130 million), while disclosing a signed agreement for ~2,000 servers worth about $70 million (part to convert in 2026, with roughly $50 million of committed backlog expected at Dec. 31 at current memory prices); they now expect H2 gross margin of 17–19% (Q2 gross profit was $0.9M, a ~8% margin vs. 58% in Q1), full‑year adjusted EBITDA loss of $62–65M, and Q2 revenue of $12M (H1 revenue $14.7M, up 390% YoY from $3M); operating expense in Q2 was $31.5M (up 32% sequentially), R&D was $10.5M (including $3.7M stock comp), adjusted EBITDA loss in Q2 was $20.9M (vs. $13.9M prior), cash ended the quarter at $36.8M (up $3.6M) after $9.4M of customer receipts and $32.8M net equity proceeds, and management said Q3 should be similar to Q2 with a heavier Q4, expects first AI Services revenue this year, and projects 2027 revenue of roughly 2.5x–3x the 2026 guide.

Blaize Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is strong (TTM ~24% and strong 2026 H1 YoY growth noted), and leverage is low with effectively zero total debt and positive equity. However, fundamentals are dominated by deeply negative profitability (TTM net margin about -161%), low/compressed gross margin (~14% TTM), and very weak cash generation with materially negative operating and free cash flow (TTM FCF roughly -$83M), implying ongoing funding needs.

Income Statement

26Negative

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue50.37M38.63M1.55M000
Gross Profit5.88M5.00M89.00K000
EBITDA-96.98M-90.60M-46.53M-1.34M1.23M-66.79K
Net Income-81.02M-206.90M-61.20M1.34M1.67M-65.89K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.51M102.24M78.50M72.59M19.28M293.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.85M45.78M50.24M25.38M4.91M1.54M
Total Debt02.14M165.08M21.23M4.81M144.75K
Total Liabilities36.72M63.24M188.96M41.44M89.82M10.76M
Stockholders Equity42.79M39.00M-110.46M31.15M-70.54M282.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-83.42M-82.20M-54.43M-2.34M-40.72M100.27K
Operating Cash Flow-82.67M-81.41M-53.53M-2.34M-40.22M100.27K
Investing Cash Flow-746.00K-788.00K-902.00K230.12M-493.00K-291.81M
Financing Cash Flow91.30M77.76M101.71M-226.97M39.09M293.25M

Blaize Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.20

Price Trends

50DMA0.38Negative
100DMA0.70Negative
200DMA1.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Negative
RSI32.79Neutral
STOCH43.57Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BZAI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, below the 50-day MA of 0.38, and below the 200-day MA of 1.13, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BZAI.

Blaize Holdings Risk Analysis

Blaize Holdings disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blaize Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The price of our common stock has and may continue to fluctuate significantly, and this may make it difficult for you to resell shares of common stock owned by you at times or at prices you find attractive.Q2, 2026
2.Future sales or issuances of our common stock in the public markets, or the perception of such sales, could depress the trading price of our common stock.Q2, 2026
3.The activity of short sellers in our common stock could increase volatility in our share price and negatively impact our reputation, business, and ability to raise capital.Q2, 2026

Blaize Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BZAI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
AMBAAMBA59Neutral$2.58B-45.39-9.34%―20.04%38.40%
CEVACEVA54Neutral$762.98M-67.25-3.42%―8.82%2.60%
QUIKQUIK48Neutral$147.37M-10.31-50.90%―-9.42%-61.14%
AEVAAEVA47Neutral$766.76M-5.16-756.88%―62.91%27.14%
ARBEARBE47Neutral$55.64M-1.23-88.73%―250.00%35.86%
BZAIBZAI40Underperform$29.70M-0.30-298.56%―1585.05%67.97%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%BZAICEVAQUIKAMBAAEVAARBEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BZAI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BZAIBlaize Holdings, Inc.0.20-3.18-93.96%
CEVACeva Inc27.101.094.19%
QUIKQuickLogic8.040.8111.27%
AMBAAmbarella Inc.58.55-35.87-37.99%
AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc.11.00-2.60-19.12%
ARBEArbe Robotics Ltd.0.43-1.23-73.92%

Blaize Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsShareholder MeetingsStock Split

Blaize Holdings Announces Series B Preferred Voting Rights

Neutral
Oct 22, 2026

On October 16, 2026, Blaize Holdings’ board declared a dividend of one one-thousandth of a share of newly designated Series B Preferred Stock for each outstanding common share, payable to holders of record on October 26, 2026. The Series B Pref...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings

Blaize Cuts 2026 Outlook Amid Legal and Payment Strains

Negative
Oct 6, 2026

Blaize Holdings, Inc., a San Jose-based AI computing company, operates a programmable platform that runs AI inference across edge, cloud and data centers, serving sectors such as smart cities, industrial automation and logistics. The group maintains...

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Blaize Holdings Faces Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Noncompliance

Negative
Oct 2, 2026

On September 28, 2026, Blaize Holdings received notice from Nasdaq’s Listing Qualifications Department that its common stock had traded below the $1.00 minimum closing bid price for 30 consecutive business days, putting it out of compliance wit...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Blaize Holdings Restructures to Focus on AI Growth

Positive
Sep 30, 2026

On September 24, 2026, Blaize Holdings, Inc. implemented a board-approved restructuring plan aimed at reducing costs and improving operational efficiency, centered on a reduction in force affecting approximately 26% of its workforce and related strea...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026