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Sierra Bancorp (BSRR)
NASDAQ:BSRR
US Market
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Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) AI Stock Analysis

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BSRR

Sierra Bancorp

(NASDAQ:BSRR)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(12.98% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/08/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (profitability and consistent positive cash generation alongside strong revenue growth), tempered by some cyclicality/volatility in margins and leverage metrics. Technicals are mildly supportive with price above key moving averages but mixed momentum, while valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and dividend yield; corporate events add a small positive tilt due to the dividend increase.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth and profitability
Strong top-line expansion combined with a healthy net margin indicates meaningful earnings capacity for a regional bank. If revenue growth remains supported by lending and banking activity, Sierra Bancorp can fund investment, absorb costs, and reinforce its competitive position over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin normalization and volatility
Normalization from earlier peak profitability indicates that earnings power is not entirely structural and may remain sensitive to interest-rate and credit-cycle conditions. Margin volatility can make future profits less predictable, limiting the extent to which recent revenue growth translates into durable bottom-line expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth and profitability
Strong top-line expansion combined with a healthy net margin indicates meaningful earnings capacity for a regional bank. If revenue growth remains supported by lending and banking activity, Sierra Bancorp can fund investment, absorb costs, and reinforce its competitive position over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sierra Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sierra Bancorp serves as the holding company for Bank of the Sierra, providing a full suite of retail and commercial banking services to individuals and businesses across California. The institution offers diverse deposit solutions, including chec...
How the Company Makes Money
Sierra Bancorp makes money primarily through its banking subsidiary by earning interest and fees from financial services. The largest revenue driver is net interest income: the bank collects interest on loans (such as commercial real estate, comme...

Sierra Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid: strong revenue growth and healthy profitability (net margin ~22.5%) with consistently positive operating cash flow and free cash flow. The main offsets are normalization from peak-cycle profitability and some volatility/inconsistencies in leverage and TTM cash-flow metrics, which adds cyclicality and data-quality caution.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue198.98M201.98M191.14M168.93M142.49M131.43M
Gross Profit149.52M149.18M134.03M114.48M119.68M131.03M
EBITDA62.18M59.05M56.75M49.70M48.45M61.47M
Net Income45.03M42.33M40.56M34.84M33.66M43.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.72B3.83B3.61B3.73B3.61B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B604.99M756.63M1.10B1.01B1.23B
Total Debt208.00M519.05M274.09M552.59M412.86M191.38M
Total Liabilities3.35B3.46B3.26B3.39B3.31B3.01B
Stockholders Equity366.90M364.86M357.30M338.10M303.58M362.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.79M32.17M56.00M51.83M32.30M52.28M
Operating Cash Flow45.49M33.70M57.15M53.24M33.57M52.66M
Investing Cash Flow54.45M-183.49M141.23M-83.69M-481.00M20.62M
Financing Cash Flow-87.26M184.75M-176.32M31.92M267.03M112.83M

Sierra Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.83
Price Trends
50DMA
40.61
Negative
100DMA
39.23
Positive
200DMA
36.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.95
Neutral
STOCH
76.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BSRR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.21, below the 50-day MA of 40.61, and above the 200-day MA of 36.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BSRR.

Sierra Bancorp Risk Analysis

Sierra Bancorp disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sierra Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sierra Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$447.12M6.7315.91%3.65%-20.46%-308.00%
73
Outperform
$451.67M10.349.57%1.86%4.37%12.24%
71
Outperform
$527.48M11.7412.38%2.58%-1.11%17.59%
69
Neutral
$570.09M10.0510.05%2.62%4.88%6.47%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$714.09M13.997.90%1.85%12.91%33.31%
58
Neutral
$353.49M37.693.40%24.36%-10.98%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
40.37
11.21
38.44%
BMRC
Bank Of Marin Bancorp
27.39
3.52
14.73%
CWBC
Community West Bancshares
26.01
5.43
26.38%
CIVB
Civista Bancshares
27.14
6.65
32.44%
FRBA
First Bank
17.78
1.43
8.73%
BRBS
Blue Ridge Bankshares
4.04
0.69
20.71%

Sierra Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sierra Bancorp Highlights Strategy at Investor Tech Conference
Positive
Sep 8, 2026
Sierra Bancorp announced that President and CEO Kevin J. McPhaill and Executive Vice President, CFO and COO Christopher G. Treece will attend the Raymond James U.S. Bank and Banking on Tech Conference on September 9, 2026. At the event, they plan ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Sierra Bancorp to Present at KBW Bank Conference
Positive
Jul 27, 2026
Sierra Bancorp announced that President and Chief Executive Officer Kevin J. McPhaill and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer/Chief Operations Officer Christopher G. Treece will attend the Keefe, Bruyette Woods Bank Conference fr...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sierra Bancorp Enhances Board Governance With Emeritus Role
Positive
Jul 27, 2026
On July 23, 2026, Sierra Bancorp created the role of Director Emeritus and adopted a Retirement Plan for Directors Emeritus to strengthen its board governance framework. The program targets qualified non-employee directors of Sierra Bancorp and Ba...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Sierra Bancorp Increases Quarterly Dividend, Signals Ongoing Strength
Positive
Jul 24, 2026
Sierra Bancorp, parent of Bank of the Sierra and one of the highest-rated U.S. community banks, focuses on serving retail and commercial customers in California&#8217;s South San Joaquin Valley and several Central Coast counties through a network ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 08, 2026