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Bok Financial Corp. (BOKF)
NASDAQ:BOKF

Bok Financial (BOKF) AI Stock Analysis

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Bok Financial

(NASDAQ:BOKF)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
BOK Financial's overall stock score reflects a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet, supported by strategic expansions. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the stock's undervaluation and strategic focus on long-term growth offer potential upside. Challenges in fee income and a contraction in energy loans are noted but are counterbalanced by the company's resilience and strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet improved with an enhanced funding mix, despite lower loans.
Credit Conditions
Credit conditions remain positive, with non-performing loans declining to 0.35% of loans, which is better than expected.
Earnings
BOKF reported a solid quarter highlighted by better than expected net interest income paired with better than expected deposit growth.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Fees and expenses have shown weaker-than-expected trends, impacting overall financial performance.
Loan Growth
Loan growth is expected to slow down, which may weigh on near-term net interest income.
Operational Leverage
Negative operational leverage is likely in the first half of 2025, impacting short-term performance.

Bok Financial (BOKF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bok Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBOK Financial Corporation operates as the financial holding company for BOKF, NA that provides various financial products and services in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Northwest Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, and Kansas/Missouri. It operates through three segments: Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking, and Wealth Management. The Commercial Banking segment offers lending, treasury, cash management, and customer commodity risk management products for small businesses, middle market, and larger commercial customers, as well as operates TransFund electronic funds transfer network. The Consumer Banking segment provides lending and deposit services to small business customers through consumer branch network; and engages in the mortgage loan origination and servicing activities. The Wealth Management segment offers fiduciary, private bank, insurance, and investment advisory services; and brokerage and trading services primarily related to providing liquidity to the mortgage markets through trading of U.S. government agency mortgage-backed securities and related derivative contracts, as well as underwrites state and municipal securities. The company also provides commercial loans, such as loans for working capital, facilities acquisition or expansion, purchases of equipment, and other needs of commercial customers; and service, healthcare, manufacturing, wholesale/retail, energy, and other sector loans. In addition, it offers commercial real estate loans for the construction of buildings or other enhancements to real estate and property held by borrowers for investment purposes; and residential mortgage and personal loans. Further, the company provides automated teller machine (ATM), call center, and Internet and mobile banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 2,593 TransFund ATM locations. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyBOK Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income from its lending activities, including commercial loans, consumer loans, and residential mortgages. Additionally, it earns non-interest income from fees and services such as wealth management, brokerage services, and transaction fees from treasury and cash management solutions. The company also benefits from its investment portfolio and gains from securities sales. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and a strong focus on cross-selling within its diverse business segments further enhance BOK Financial's earnings potential.

Bok Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BOK Financial exhibits strong financial health with notable revenue growth and high profit margins. The balance sheet is robust with no debt and high equity, indicating financial stability. Although cash flow improved, the lack of capital expenditures could signal potential underinvestment.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Bok Financial demonstrated strong revenue growth from $1.97 billion in 2023 to $2.64 billion in 2024, marking a significant growth trajectory. Gross profit margin is very high at approximately 99%, indicating efficient operations relative to revenue. The net profit margin is solid, although slightly decreased, due to a dip in net income from 2023 to 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company exhibits a strong equity position with a high equity ratio of 97.56% in 2024, reflecting financial stability and low reliance on debt financing. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0, indicating no debt burden, which greatly reduces financial risk. ROE decreased slightly to 9.44% in 2024, but remains healthy, showing effective utilization of shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow in 2024 saw a significant increase compared to 2023, indicating improved cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.59, reflecting good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is unusually high due to no capital expenditures, which could indicate underinvestment in future growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.66B2.64B1.97B1.82B1.83B1.89B
Gross Profit
2.62B2.62B1.05B1.04B948.44M910.89M
EBIT
1.44B2.57B844.29M840.86M797.90M563.82M
EBITDA
415.56M2.57B765.83M559.94M246.35M238.45M
Net Income Common Stockholders
556.93M523.57M530.75M520.27M618.12M435.03M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.94B276.05M203.81M12.90B16.00B14.23B
Total Assets
50.47B49.69B49.82B47.79B50.25B46.67B
Total Debt
0.003.14B7.82B4.87B167.98M2.16B
Net Debt
1.84B1.71B6.47B3.47B-2.67B978.40M
Total Liabilities
44.70B44.13B44.68B43.10B44.88B41.38B
Stockholders Equity
5.77B5.55B5.14B4.68B5.36B5.27B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.31B1.43B66.18M4.91B-3.90B-557.39M
Operating Cash Flow
1.27B1.43B66.18M5.12B-3.69B-416.26M
Investing Cash Flow
783.41M-477.23M-1.79B-4.60B2.60B-2.46B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.56B-866.79M1.67B-1.95B2.75B2.80B

Bok Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price93.54
Price Trends
50DMA
95.88
Positive
100DMA
101.89
Negative
200DMA
104.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Negative
RSI
55.32
Neutral
STOCH
59.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BOKF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 93.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.61, below the 50-day MA of 95.88, and below the 200-day MA of 104.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BOKF.

Bok Financial Risk Analysis

Bok Financial disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bok Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
The development and use of emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, machine learning, and generative artificial intelligence presents risks and challenges that may adversely impact our business. Q4, 2024

Bok Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.24B9.5613.06%3.45%4.84%28.90%
PBPB
76
Outperform
$6.93B13.906.83%3.17%9.02%20.88%
ONONB
74
Outperform
$8.11B12.769.29%2.59%13.68%-6.57%
SNSNV
71
Outperform
$6.84B13.8010.63%3.13%-1.64%22.50%
69
Neutral
$6.28B11.2210.17%2.31%6.58%26.56%
68
Neutral
$7.20B10.8512.54%2.51%9.33%43.64%
64
Neutral
$12.78B9.877.67%17015.06%12.34%-5.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BOKF
Bok Financial
93.54
2.56
2.81%
ONB
Old National Bancorp Capital
20.67
4.06
24.44%
BPOP
Popular
102.74
15.25
17.43%
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
69.95
8.79
14.37%
SNV
Synovus
46.94
8.64
22.56%
ZION
Zions Bancorporation National Association
46.64
4.26
10.05%

Bok Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 21, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights BOK Financial's strong capital position, consistent risk management, and growth in net interest income. However, challenges in fee income, particularly in trading revenue, and contraction in the loan portfolio due to energy loans were notable lowlights. Despite these challenges, the overall performance and strategic expansions demonstrate resilience.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Capital and Liquidity Position
TCE reached 9.5% and CET1 reached 13.3%. Loan-to-deposit ratio is at 62%, which is one of the lowest in the peer group.
Record Earnings
Reported earnings of $119.8 million or EPS of $1.86 per diluted share for the first quarter.
Net Interest Income Growth
Net interest income was strong and continued to see net interest margin expansion for the third quarter in a row.
Exceptional Credit Quality
Nonperforming assets not guaranteed by the U.S. government remained exceptionally low, with net charge-offs averaging 4 basis points over the last 12 months.
Diverse Fee Income Streams
Mortgage banking revenue grew $1.7 million linked quarter, driven by higher mortgage production.
Expansion into New Business Lines
Progress in the mortgage finance and warehouse lending business with system implementation underway, expected to launch in September to October.
Negative Updates
Fee Income Decline
Total fee income decreased $22.8 million on a linked-quarter basis, impacted by market volatility and uncertainty in the trading business.
Loan Portfolio Contraction
Experienced contraction in the loan portfolio, mainly driven by a 12.1% decrease in energy loans linked quarter.
Reduced Trading Revenue
Trading revenue was $23.3 million, down from $37.7 million in the prior quarter due to lower MBS trading volumes and tightened spreads.
Economic Uncertainty Impact
Uncertainty surrounding U.S. domestic and foreign policy affected trading and fee income, with market volatility impacting performance.
Company Guidance
During the BOK Financial Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key financial metrics. BOK Financial reported earnings of $119.8 million, translating to an EPS of $1.86 per diluted share. The company highlighted its strong capital position, with tangible common equity (TCE) reaching 9.5% and common equity tier 1 (CET1) at 13.3%. The loan-to-deposit ratio was reported at 62%, one of the lowest in its peer group, supporting its liquidity position. The combined allowance for credit losses stood at 1.4% of outstanding loans, with net charge-offs averaging 4 basis points over the last 12 months. The company experienced a contraction in its loan portfolio due to a 12.1% decrease in its energy loans, although commercial real estate loans increased by 2.1% quarter-over-quarter. BOK Financial also noted a trading-related net interest income increase, with a total liability beta of 74%. The company reiterated its commitment to strategic growth and long-term value creation for shareholders, with plans to expand into mortgage finance and warehouse lending later in the year.

Bok Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
BOK Financial Releases Investor Presentation Highlighting Strategy
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 5, 2025, BOK Financial Corporation released an investor presentation on its website, which may be used in discussions with investors and analysts. The presentation highlights the company’s strategic focus on long-term value creation and its diversified loan portfolio, emphasizing its strengths in energy and healthcare banking. The release underscores BOK Financial’s robust market positioning and commitment to consistent execution and growth, which is crucial for stakeholders and investors.

Spark’s Take on BOKF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BOKF is a Neutral.

BOK Financial’s overall score reflects strong financial performance and a robust balance sheet, offset by technical analysis indicating bearish trends. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is undervalued, while earnings call data and corporate events highlight strategic growth despite some operational challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on BOKF stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
BOK Financial Reports Q1 2025 Earnings Growth
Neutral
Apr 21, 2025

BOK Financial Corporation reported its first-quarter earnings for 2025, highlighting a net income of $120 million or $1.86 per share. The company experienced a slight increase in net interest income and margin, while fees and commissions revenue decreased due to market volatility. Operating expenses remained stable, with a notable increase in personnel costs. The company saw a decrease in commercial loans but an increase in commercial real estate loans and loans to individuals. Deposits grew, and the company maintained strong capital ratios. Despite challenges, BOK Financial’s diverse business model and robust risk management practices allowed it to navigate market disruptions effectively.

Spark’s Take on BOKF Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BOKF is a Outperform.

BOK Financial Corporation scores a solid 72, reflecting strong financial performance and positive earnings guidance. The company’s robust balance sheet and strategic growth initiatives are key strengths. However, bearish technical indicators and concerns about underinvestment weigh on the score. The valuation suggests potential upside, making it an attractive consideration for investors.

To see Spark’s full report on BOKF stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.