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Bayer (BAYRY)
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Bayer (BAYRY) AI Stock Analysis

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BAYRY

Bayer

(OTC:BAYRY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
â–¼(-12.59% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing net losses, elevated leverage, and deteriorating free cash flow. Offsetting this, technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend and positive momentum, and valuation benefits from a very high dividend yield (despite a loss-driven negative P/E). The latest earnings call adds moderate support via reiterated guidance, improving EBITDA, and litigation/financing progress, but near-term cash outflows and debt remain meaningful risks.
Positive Factors
Diversified Life-Sciences Portfolio
Bayer’s presence in both pharmaceuticals and crop science provides multiple sources of revenue and exposure to different demand drivers. This diversification can support resilience over the next several quarters because weakness in one portfolio may be partly offset by growth in another.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Persistent net losses show that Bayer’s strong gross margins are not currently translating into sustainable bottom-line profitability. Continued losses can constrain internal investment capacity, weaken returns on equity, and make earnings recovery dependent on operating improvement and lower charges.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified Life-Sciences Portfolio
Bayer’s presence in both pharmaceuticals and crop science provides multiple sources of revenue and exposure to different demand drivers. This diversification can support resilience over the next several quarters because weakness in one portfolio may be partly offset by growth in another.
Read all positive factors

Bayer Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how different business units contribute to overall sales, highlighting strengths, diversification, and areas of growth or concern within the company’s operations.
Chart InsightsBayer's Crop Science segment shows a cyclical pattern with peaks in Q1, but a gradual decline in peak values since 2022 suggests potential market saturation or competitive pressures. The Pharmaceutical segment remains stable, indicating resilience despite broader economic challenges. Consumer Health exhibits modest growth, hinting at increased demand for health products. Without new earnings call insights, the focus should be on Crop Science's strategic adjustments to regain momentum and capitalize on Consumer Health's steady growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Bayer (BAYRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bayer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Bayer Aktiengesellschaft, commonly known as Bayer AG, functions as a prominent global life sciences company through its various subsidiaries. Its extensive operations are strategically segmented into Pharmaceuticals, Consumer Health, and Crop Scie...
How the Company Makes Money
Bayer makes money primarily by selling life-science products through two main business areas: pharmaceuticals and crop science (agriculture). In Pharmaceuticals, revenue is generated from the sale of prescription medicines and specialty therapies ...

Bayer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple clear operational and strategic positives — steady group sales (+3%), EBITDA improvement (+7%), Crop Science margin expansion to 31%, strong growth in several Pharma assets (Nubeqa and Kerendia +66%), successful capital transactions (EUR 3bn Apollo investment and USD 5bn bond issuance) and a favorable U.S. Supreme Court ruling that materially strengthens litigation containment. Offsetting these strengths are meaningful near-term financial drains: negative free cash flow (‑EUR 2.7bn) driven by EUR 2.5bn in litigation payouts, elevated net debt in the near term (EUR 33.6bn), a 17% drop in Q2 core EPS due to normalization, Eylea sales down 27%, and continued legal and external-market risks. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights given improving profitability, strategic progress, and decisive financing actions that reduce medium-term balance-sheet risk.
Positive Updates
Group Sales Growth
Net sales grew 3% year-over-year to EUR 24.3 billion in the first half (Q2 sales +2% to EUR 10.9 billion), showing the group is pacing to meet full-year guidance.
Negative Updates
Negative Free Cash Flow and Litigation Payouts
Free cash flow was negative EUR 2.7 billion in H1 versus minus EUR 1.4 billion a year earlier, driven by material litigation-related payouts of about EUR 2.5 billion in the period.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Group Sales Growth
Net sales grew 3% year-over-year to EUR 24.3 billion in the first half (Q2 sales +2% to EUR 10.9 billion), showing the group is pacing to meet full-year guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Bayer reiterated its full‑year 2026 outlook at constant currencies after a H1 showing that it says keeps the group on track: net sales H1 EUR 24.3bn (+3% cc) and Q2 EUR 10.9bn (+2% cc); EBITDA before special items H1 EUR 6.6bn (+7%) and Q2 EUR 2.1bn (+2%); core EPS H1 EUR 3.66 (+3%) with Q2 core EPS EUR 0.95 (‑17% YoY); H1 free cash flow was negative EUR 2.7bn (vs ‑EUR 1.4bn LY), driven by ~EUR 2.5bn of litigation‑related payouts. By division: Crop Science sales +5.5% (EBITDA margin 31%), Pharma sales flat (Nubeqa+Kerendia +66%, Eylea ‑27%, Pharma EBITDA margin 26%), and Consumer Health +3.5% (EBITDA margin trailing prior year). Net financial debt stood at EUR 33.6bn (slightly up YoY; +EUR 1.1bn vs Q1) but management now expects EUR 29–30bn after a EUR 3bn Apollo minority equity investment (to close H2) and notes a successful USD 5bn bond placement; FX updated to June month‑end rates slightly lowers the headwind to sales and core EPS versus the prior estimate.

Bayer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak-to-mixed: persistent net losses and negative net margins (2023–TTM) weigh heavily despite strong gross margins. Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.1x–1.4x) and ROE is negative in recent years, increasing financial risk. Operating cash flow is a stabilizer, but free cash flow weakened sharply in TTM, making cash conversion a key concern even with a recent revenue rebound.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.49B43.78B46.61B47.64B50.74B44.08B
Gross Profit26.86B25.92B25.34B27.89B30.87B27.27B
EBITDA9.22B10.57B8.81B4.32B10.49B6.95B
Net Income-1.66B-3.48B-2.55B-2.94B4.15B1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets107.24B110.56B110.85B116.26B124.88B120.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.29B7.85B8.09B10.59B10.15B7.74B
Total Debt38.42B37.43B40.70B44.79B41.65B39.53B
Total Liabilities77.54B84.51B78.81B83.18B85.95B87.07B
Stockholders Equity29.57B25.94B31.91B32.93B38.77B33.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow663.41M2.00B4.59B2.37B4.14B2.48B
Operating Cash Flow3.51B4.39B7.37B5.12B7.09B5.09B
Investing Cash Flow-2.49B-1.55B164.00M-4.01B-2.38B855.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.32B-2.10B-7.18B-679.00M-4.22B-5.64B

Bayer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.30
Price Trends
50DMA
13.90
Negative
100DMA
13.05
Negative
200DMA
12.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Positive
RSI
25.32
Positive
STOCH
2.88
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAYRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.56, above the 50-day MA of 13.90, and above the 200-day MA of 12.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.32 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.88 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BAYRY.

Bayer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
86
Outperform
$618.09B30.0925.73%2.06%8.07%-7.21%
76
Outperform
$95.33B21.875.52%6.01%23.68%-30.90%
72
Outperform
$98.19B14.5828.35%3.90%8.82%48.32%
67
Neutral
$259.41B21.7829.64%3.31%2.33%-4.08%
66
Neutral
$158.56B37.254.89%6.18%-0.21%-59.71%
59
Neutral
$46.88B-24.87-6.10%0.27%5.66%47.23%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAYRY
Bayer
11.93
3.85
47.64%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
46.54
4.47
10.62%
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
256.48
69.96
37.51%
NVS
Novartis
143.11
15.58
12.21%
PFE
Pfizer
27.82
4.66
20.14%
SNY
Sanofi
40.23
-6.02
-13.01%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026