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Autolus Therapeutics (AUTL)
:AUTL

Autolus Therapeutics (AUTL) AI Stock Analysis

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Autolus Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:AUTL)

45Neutral
Autolus Therapeutics is experiencing strong revenue growth and strategic geographic expansion, notably with AUCATZYL. However, the financial performance indicates significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest caution, and while corporate events bolster future prospects, financial sustainability issues and a negative P/E ratio weigh heavily on the stock's overall score.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Strong growth in 2025 is expected as the company aims to expand to 60 target centers, covering about 90% of the target population.
Regulatory Approval
Autolus announced that Aucatzyl (obe-cel) has received MHRA conditional approval in the U.K. for adult patients with r/r ALL.
Sales Performance
Autolus reported an impressive $9.0 million in sales for Aucatzyl in the first quarter, substantially beating our estimate of $2.9 million.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Uncertainty
Receiving a positive NICE opinion will be important for achieving widespread payor coverage.
Stock Volatility
Autolus shares have been volatile following the update, currently down about 6%, but this is viewed as short-term trading dynamics.

Autolus Therapeutics (AUTL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Autolus Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutolus Therapeutics plc, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops T cell therapies for the treatment of cancer. The company's clinical-stage programs include obecabtagene autoleucel (AUTO1), a CD19-targeting programmed T cell investigational therapy that is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial for the treatment of adult ALL; AUTO1/22, which is in a Phase 1 clinical trial in pediatric patients with relapsed or refractory ALL; AUTO4, a programmed T cell investigational therapy for the treatment of peripheral T-cell lymphoma targeting TRBC1; AUTO6NG, a programmed T cell investigational therapy, which is in preclinical trail targeting GD2 in development for the treatment of neuroblastoma; and AUTO8, a product candidate that is in a Phase I clinical trial for multiple myeloma. It also focuses on developing AUTO5, a hematological product candidate, which is in preclinical development. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutolus Therapeutics makes money primarily through the development and potential commercialization of its pipeline of programmed T cell therapies. The company's revenue streams include partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which may involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on the sales of successfully developed products. Additionally, Autolus may generate income through licensing agreements, allowing other companies to utilize its proprietary technology for a fee. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by the progress and success of its clinical trials, regulatory approvals, and the competitive landscape within the biopharmaceutical industry.

Autolus Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Autolus Therapeutics is experiencing revenue growth but faces significant challenges with profitability and cash flow management. The company has a strong cash reserve and low leverage but is struggling with negative profit margins and operational losses.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Autolus Therapeutics has shown significant revenue growth in recent years, with a notable increase from $1.7M in 2023 to $10.1M in 2024. However, the company continues to report negative gross and net profit margins, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting substantial operational losses.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet highlights a strong equity position, with a substantial cash reserve relative to its liabilities. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.12, suggesting limited leverage, but the company has consistently negative net income affecting ROE, which remains negative. The equity ratio is relatively stable, indicating a solid asset structure.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Autolus Therapeutics is facing challenges with negative free cash flow, which has worsened in recent periods. Although operating cash flow is negative, it is supported by financing activities, indicating reliance on external funding. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting difficulties in converting income into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.12M1.70M6.19M2.33M242.00K
Gross Profit
-1.27M-4.87M-131.03M-126.32M-134.65M
EBIT
-241.43M-195.03M-163.78M-164.21M-168.15M
EBITDA
-182.42M-156.77M-135.54M-132.01M-160.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-220.66M-208.38M-148.84M-142.10M-142.09M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
588.02M239.57M382.44M310.34M153.30M
Total Assets
782.73M375.38M490.27M405.56M294.24M
Total Debt
52.63M52.97M24.26M21.00M54.16M
Net Debt
-174.75M-186.60M-358.18M-289.34M-99.14M
Total Liabilities
355.40M263.91M191.60M92.24M84.20M
Stockholders Equity
427.32M111.47M298.67M313.32M210.03M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-241.09M-156.57M-123.15M-126.72M-132.44M
Operating Cash Flow
-206.27M-145.59M-112.31M-117.86M-117.76M
Investing Cash Flow
-394.55M-10.99M-10.84M-8.86M-14.68M
Financing Cash Flow
589.55M-883.00K223.61M284.06M74.42M

Autolus Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.35
Price Trends
50DMA
1.55
Negative
100DMA
1.87
Negative
200DMA
2.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
47.27
Neutral
STOCH
57.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AUTL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.37, below the 50-day MA of 1.55, and below the 200-day MA of 2.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AUTL.

Autolus Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Autolus Therapeutics disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Autolus Therapeutics reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Autolus Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ALALT
59
Neutral
$430.51M-59.86%-95.31%18.58%
52
Neutral
$5.21B3.49-43.30%2.83%14.70%-0.24%
45
Neutral
$359.29M-49.97%-14.16%25.80%
45
Neutral
$387.90M-26.14%74.59%
44
Neutral
$374.10M-33.14%
44
Neutral
$403.94M-87.54%-4.14%
43
Neutral
$350.76M-58.04%-20.71%22.25%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AUTL
Autolus Therapeutics
1.35
-2.66
-66.33%
ALT
Altimmune
6.01
-1.36
-18.45%
CELC
Celcuity
10.68
-6.09
-36.31%
TRML
Tourmaline Bio
15.78
1.34
9.28%
ABSI
AbSci
2.93
-2.13
-42.09%
RAPP
Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.
10.47
-15.72
-60.02%

Autolus Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong start for AUCATZYL with significant interest and revenue generation. Geographic expansion and promising data in autoimmune diseases further bolstered positive outlooks. However, high costs and increased net loss present financial challenges that need addressing.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Launch of AUCATZYL
Autolus reported $9 million in recognized revenue in the first quarter from the launch of AUCATZYL. The product has been well-received, with 39 centers authorized to deliver it and approximately 90% of total U.S. medical lives covered.
Geographic Expansion
Autolus received conditional marketing authorization from the MHRA in the UK and is engaging with NICE for reimbursement. Progression in Europe is ongoing, with an expected decision from the European agency in the second half of the year.
Positive Developments in Autoimmune Disease
Phase 1 CARLYSLE study in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus showed promising results, with patients achieving renal complete remissions and no neurological toxicities observed.
Financial Stability
Autolus ended Q1 2025 with $516.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, providing a strong foundation for ongoing and future projects.
Negative Updates
High Cost of Sales
The cost of sales for Q1 2025 was $18 million, which exceeds the revenue generated, indicating a need for cost management improvements.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q1 2025 was $70.2 million, compared to $52.7 million for the same period in 2024, highlighting financial challenges despite revenue growth.
Deferred Revenue Impact
About $4.7 million in deferred revenue was noted, indicating potential delays in revenue recognition due to product delivery and administration timing.
Company Guidance
During the Autolus First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, guidance was provided on several key metrics. The company reported $9 million in recognized revenue for Q1 2025, marking a strong start for AUCATZYL's U.S. launch. Additionally, they have authorized 39 clinical centers to deliver AUCATZYL, covering about 90% of total U.S. medical lives. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) published reimbursement codes for AUCATZYL on April 1, facilitating its eligibility for reimbursement under government programs. Looking ahead, Autolus plans to increase the number of centers to approximately 60 by year-end, aiming for broad patient access. They also highlighted the potential geographic expansion into the UK, having received conditional marketing authorization from the MHRA, and are engaging with relevant bodies for reimbursement processes. Autolus' cash position at the end of Q1 2025 was $516.6 million, down from $588 million at the end of December 2024, primarily due to operating and investing activities. The company maintains confidence in its financial foundation to support ongoing commercialization efforts and clinical trials.

Autolus Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autolus Therapeutics Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 8, 2025

Autolus Therapeutics reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a net product revenue of $9.0 million from AUCATZYL® and securing marketing authorization from the U.K.’s MHRA. The company is advancing its clinical trials, including a Phase 2 trial for lupus nephritis and a Phase 1 trial for multiple sclerosis, with plans to dose the first patients by the end of 2025. Despite a net loss of $70.2 million for the quarter, Autolus remains well-capitalized to support its ongoing and planned clinical developments, aiming to expand its therapeutic reach and address significant unmet medical needs.

Spark’s Take on AUTL Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AUTL is a Neutral.

Autolus Therapeutics receives a low overall score due to financial struggles despite revenue growth. Technical indicators show limited upside, and valuation remains unattractive with negative earnings. The earnings call highlighted strategic achievements and a solid cash position, but financial challenges persist.

To see Spark’s full report on AUTL stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Autolus Therapeutics to Present R&D Update April 23
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

On April 23, 2025, Autolus Therapeutics will present a corporate update at an R&D investor event, which will be accessible via a live webcast and archived on the company’s website. This presentation may impact the company’s operations and industry positioning by providing stakeholders with insights into its ongoing research and development efforts.

Spark’s Take on AUTL Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AUTL is a Neutral.

Autolus Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, with ongoing losses and negative cash flow impacting its performance. Despite strong cash reserves and a successful product launch, the stock’s technical indicators and valuation show weaknesses. The positive earnings call sentiment partially offsets these issues, but strategic improvements are needed for sustainable growth.

To see Spark’s full report on AUTL stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Autolus Therapeutics Announces Leadership Transition in Finance
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Autolus Therapeutics announced the resignation of Andrew Mercieca, Vice President of Finance and principal accounting officer, effective August 2025. His departure is amicable and not due to any disagreements with the company. On April 3, 2025, the Board appointed Rob Dolski, the current CFO, as the new principal accounting officer, consolidating his roles without additional compensation, indicating a seamless transition in leadership.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Autolus Therapeutics Launches AUCATZYL® in U.S. Market
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Autolus Therapeutics reported its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024, highlighting significant achievements such as the FDA approval and U.S. commercial launch of AUCATZYL® for adult B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia. The company has authorized 33 treatment centers as of March 19, 2025, and aims to expand further in the U.S. and new markets while advancing its clinical pipeline. Autolus also anticipates regulatory decisions in the EU and UK for obe-cel and is progressing with trials in autoimmune diseases. Financially, the company ended 2024 with increased cash reserves, driven by a strategic collaboration with BioNTech, despite reporting a net loss of $220.7 million.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.