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AdvanSix (ASIX) AI Stock Analysis
AdvanSix
(NYSE:ASIX)
ASIX scores in the middle primarily due to weakened financial performance (TTM loss, compressed margins, and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a constructive H2 2026 outlook from management (pricing actions, working-capital/capex tailwinds, and 45Q payments) plus a supportive dividend yield, while the refinancing modestly helps liquidity but introduces tighter covenant oversight.
AdvanSix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where AdvanSix is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
United States is the clear revenue driver and its pronounced volatility reflects operational cycles—recovery-driven volume gains (record plant nutrients, post-turnaround uptime) plus commodity-driven price swings (acetone highs then normalization). International revenue is much smaller and steadier, offering limited upside. Management’s 2026 turnarounds, elevated sulfur and natural gas costs and a Q1 storm headwind signal near-term U.S. earnings and revenue volatility, while productivity savings, lower capex and expected 45Q credits are the primary levers to stabilize cash flow and offset domestic cyclicality.
The FlyAdvanSix (ASIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $419.33M
- Dividend Yield
- 4.11%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 278.67K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -23.7
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.55
- Revenue Growth
- 2.96%
- EPS Growth
- -122.83%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 1,410
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Chemicals - Specialty
AdvanSix Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
AdvanSix Inc. operates as a global manufacturer and supplier of polymer resins, serving markets across the United States and internationally. A key offering is Nylon 6, a versatile synthetic polymer resin utilized in the production of fibers, filamen...
How the Company Makes Money
AdvanSix makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling chemical products, with revenue largely tied to sales volumes and market-based pricing for commodity and intermediate chemicals. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Nylon: sales of nylon 6...
AdvanSix Earnings Call Summary
The call presented a mixed picture: commercial execution and pricing actions delivered sequential momentum, ammonia volumes and strategic initiatives (DEF project, USDA grant pursuit, 45Q credits) provide tangible upside and long-term optionality. However, significant year-over-year earnings deterioration, a 15% volume decline driven by plant nutrients, record-high sulfur and benzene costs (a $72M raw material headwind), and near-term channel inventory pressures materially weighed on results. Management outlined concrete levers for recovery and expects improved second-half performance, but near-term headwinds keep the outlook cautious.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
AdvanSix guided to sequentially stronger second-half 2026 earnings and cash flow versus the first half, expecting a full‑year 2026 effective tax rate of 10–15% (pre any additional 45Q claims) and citing H2 cash tailwinds from a lower CapEx run‑rate, working‑capital timing (including Q4 pre‑buy), and 45Q tax credits; Q2 metrics highlighted included sales of $421M (+3% YoY with +18% pricing / -15% volume), adjusted EBITDA of $32M, adjusted EPS of $0.19, and a $72M YoY raw‑material headwind fully recouped by pricing (sequencing from a $10M 1Q headwind to a $39M 2Q tailwind). Management reiterated portfolio targets and project metrics: ammonia sales expected +30% for full‑year 2026 (H1 ammonia sales ~49k short tons vs 33k in H1‑25), a 75% granular ammonium sulfate conversion goal, discretionary organic investments targeting >20% returns, sustained‑growth program returns >30%, an expected ~$10–15M sequential fall fill headwind in Plant Nutrients (potentially larger this year), roughly $10M of annual savings exiting 2026 from fixed‑cost reductions, 45Q accrual/payment of $18M expected in H2 (total 45Q potential $100–125M), Tampa sulfur markers at ~$655/lt in Q2 and ~$705/lt in Q3 with a ~$200 projected decline into 2027, and a sensitivity of approximately $35M of annual cost per $100/long‑ton sulfur move.
AdvanSix Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Overall fundamentals have deteriorated versus prior years: the TTM period shows a net loss (-$17.7M) and negative EBIT (-$3.9M) alongside materially compressed gross margin (~7.4%). Cash generation is weaker with slightly negative TTM free cash flow (-$5.0M) despite positive operating cash flow (~$85M). The balance sheet is still serviceable (debt-to-equity ~0.54, equity ~$797M), but leverage has risen and returns have fallen, increasing downside risk if margins do not recover.
Income Statement
38NegativeBalance Sheet
62PositiveCash Flow
44Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.56B | 1.52B | 1.52B | 1.53B | 1.95B | 1.68B |
| Gross Profit | 87.66M | 173.64M | 152.94M | 165.09M | 314.48M | 274.12M |
| EBITDA | 72.40M | 142.65M | 133.06M | 149.72M | 297.93M | 255.48M |
| Net Income | -17.73M | 49.29M | 44.15M | 54.62M | 171.89M | 139.79M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.67B | 1.71B | 1.59B | 1.50B | 1.50B | 1.31B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 7.22M | 19.77M | 19.56M | 29.77M | 30.98M | 15.10M |
| Total Debt | 423.94M | 382.69M | 348.89M | 266.01M | 230.04M | 271.71M |
| Total Liabilities | 876.10M | 890.93M | 820.27M | 756.78M | 757.15M | 710.81M |
| Stockholders Equity | 796.91M | 815.22M | 774.65M | 739.24M | 738.18M | 601.19M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -25.75M | 6.42M | 1.69M | 10.17M | 184.15M | 162.04M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 85.02M | 122.86M | 135.41M | 117.55M | 273.60M | 218.85M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -111.27M | -122.61M | -142.90M | -110.90M | -189.27M | -67.56M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 15.02M | -47.00K | -2.71M | -7.87M | -68.44M | -146.79M |
AdvanSix Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASIX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.93, below the 50-day MA of 16.28, and below the 200-day MA of 19.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASIX.
AdvanSix Risk Analysis
AdvanSix disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AdvanSix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksAdvanSix Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
IOSP74Outperform
EMN65Neutral
LYB65Neutral
SCL61Neutral- ASIX50Neutral
WLK48Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOSP | 74Outperform | $2.45B | 51.95 | 9.15% | 1.80% | 2.87% | 534.76% |
| EMN | 65Neutral | $7.64B | 11.52 | 10.63% | 5.14% | 0.40% | -6.58% |
| LYB | 65Neutral | $21.62B | 16.61 | 12.39% | 5.21% | -1.80% | ― |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% |
| SCL | 61Neutral | $1.60B | 361.37 | 0.36% | 2.30% | 10.02% | -90.50% |
| ASIX | 50Neutral | $419.33M | -23.65 | -2.20% | 4.11% | 2.96% | -122.83% |
| WLK | 48Neutral | $9.10B | -7.12 | -13.93% | 3.10% | -3.95% | -1725.20% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASIX | AdvanSix | 15.58 | -2.62 | -14.38% | |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical Company | 65.34 | 7.16 | 12.31% | |
| IOSP | Innospec | 99.23 | 26.11 | 35.71% | |
| LYB | Lyondellbasell Industries | 66.09 | 24.73 | 59.78% | |
| SCL | Stepan Company | 68.66 | 26.07 | 61.22% | |
| WLK | Westlake Corporation | 68.47 | 4.35 | 6.78% |
AdvanSix Corporate Events
AdvanSix Restructures Credit Facilities to Enhance Liquidity
PositiveOn August 14, 2026, AdvanSix Inc. refinanced its capital structure by replacing its prior senior secured revolving credit facility with a new credit agreement led by Citizens Bank, N.A., establishing a $275 million revolving credit facility and a $15...
AdvanSix Posts Mixed Q2 Results, Maintains Dividend Payout
NegativeAdvanSix reported second-quarter 2026 sales of $421 million on August 7, 2026, a 3% increase year over year driven by 18% favorable pricing that offset a 15% decline in volume amid weaker agricultural fundamentals. Net income fell 90% to $3.2 million...
AdvanSix Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Pay Plans
PositiveAdvanSix Inc., a chemical and materials producer, reported that its stockholders held the company’s Annual Meeting on June 22, 2026, where they elected nine directors, including CEO Erin N. Kane, to serve terms ending at the 2027 Annual Meeting...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026