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Arvinas Holding Company (ARVN) AI Stock Analysis

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ARVN

Arvinas Holding Company

(NASDAQ:ARVN)

Select Model
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:$7.50â–²(5.78% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/03/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—strong balance-sheet flexibility and improved reported profitability, but significant ongoing operating/free-cash-flow burn. Earnings call commentary is a relative positive due to multiple upcoming clinical milestones and a runway into 2H 2028, but regulatory and early-dataset uncertainties remain. Technicals are neutral-to-weak with price below key longer-term averages, and valuation appears demanding with a high P/E and no dividend.

Positive Factors
Balance Sheet StrengthSubstantial liquidity and minimal leverage give Arvinas room to fund several development programs without near-term balance-sheet pressure. A long cash runway supports execution through multiple clinical readouts and reduces reliance on immediate financing or partnership proceeds.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash BurnDeeply negative operating and free cash flow show that reported profitability has not translated into self-funding operations. Continued development spending will consume liquidity, making future cash preservation, partnerships or financing important to sustaining the pipeline.

Arvinas Holding Company (ARVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%ARVN-29.10%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$485.20M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
815.18K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-47.3
Beta (1Y)
1.34
Revenue Growth
-11.85%
EPS Growth
81.44%
Country
US
Employees
246
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Arvinas Holding Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Arvinas, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company in the clinical development stage, dedicated to identifying, advancing, and marketing innovative therapies designed to eliminate disease-causing proteins. The company's pipeline features several promising...

How the Company Makes Money

As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Arvinas has historically generated the majority of its revenue from collaboration arrangements rather than from product sales (it does not have broadly commercialized, marketed products). Key revenue streams...

Arvinas Holding Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-5.72%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 28, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, with multiple clinical programs advancing, several data readouts planned through 2027, encouraging preclinical and biomarker findings, a cash runway extending into the second half of 2028, and significant year-over-year expense reductions. The main challenges were the ongoing U.S. clinical hold for ARV-102, limited durability and below-target dosing in the initial ARV-393 dataset, uncertainty around the clinical meaning of an ARV-102 endpoint, and the requirement for a partner to advance ARV-806.

Positive Updates

Multiple Clinical Milestones Expected Across the Pipeline
Arvinas expects several upcoming clinical updates: initial ARV-393 BCL6 degrader data in December 2026, additional ARV-393 data in mid-2027, ARV-027 phase I data in the first half of 2027, and initial ARV-6723 HPK1 degrader data in the second half of 2027. The company is also targeting initiation of the ARV-102 phase I-B PSP trial in 2027.

Negative Updates

ARV-102 U.S. Clinical Hold Remains in Place
The FDA clinical hold on ARV-102's U.S. IND remains ongoing. Management said investors should assume that the phase I-B trial will begin without U.S. patients, with U.S. sites potentially added later after the Europe and U.K. phase I-B trial.

Company Guidance

Arvinas expects the first ARV-393 data disclosure in December, a second disclosure in mid-2027, ARV-027 healthy-volunteer data and SBMA patient dosing in the first half of 2027, ARV-6723 pembrolizumab dosing in the first half of 2027 and initial data in the second half of 2027, and ARV-102 phase I-B trial initiation in 2027 after next month’s E.U. and U.K. CTA submissions, with U.S. sites potentially added after the phase I-B trial. For ARV-393, management expects mid-teens or so T-cell patients in the first disclosure, views over really a 30% response rate as a reasonable bar at low doses, and noted current monotherapy BCL6 de grader response rates of over 50%; ARV-027 is targeting 50% reduction in polyQ-AR. The company had $558.9 million in cash equivalents, restricted cash, and marketable securities, compared with $685.4 million at the end of 2025, projected cash into the second half of 2028, and said current-quarter spending is expected to represent spending for the next few quarters; BCL6 is fully funded through next year and SBMA through the guidance period.

Arvinas Holding Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Improving reported results with sharp TTM revenue growth and a return to modest net income, supported by a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet. However, operating and free cash flow remain materially negative (ongoing cash burn), which keeps financial quality and sustainability below average.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

80Positive

Cash Flow

32Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue316.70M262.60M263.40M78.50M131.40M53.60M
Gross Profit305.40M257.40M263.40M78.50M131.40M53.60M
EBITDA3.90M-75.30M-191.70M-359.70M-253.40M-184.90M
Net Income9.30M-80.80M-198.90M-367.30M-282.50M-191.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets675.10M717.90M1.09B1.30B1.27B1.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments567.90M685.40M1.04B1.26B1.21B1.50B
Total Debt8.20M8.90M9.70M3.20M5.50M5.00M
Total Liabilities112.90M284.10M529.70M644.60M703.90M799.90M
Stockholders Equity562.20M433.80M561.70M660.00M564.90M781.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-208.80M-275.70M-261.10M-350.70M-280.30M554.70M
Operating Cash Flow-207.00M-273.80M-259.30M-347.80M-273.50M559.40M
Investing Cash Flow277.90M407.60M34.70M203.50M242.80M-1.31B
Financing Cash Flow-91.50M-91.40M7.90M374.70M4.70M278.60M

Arvinas Holding Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price7.09

Price Trends

50DMA8.06Negative
100DMA8.20Negative
200DMA9.66Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.06Negative
RSI47.90Neutral
STOCH70.71Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.41, below the 50-day MA of 8.06, and below the 200-day MA of 9.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARVN.

Arvinas Holding Company Risk Analysis

Arvinas Holding Company disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arvinas Holding Company reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.We and Pfizer entered into the Rigel License Agreement for the commercialization and future development of VEPPANUâ„¢ (vepdegestrant), which is currently our only approved product. The success of VEPPANU will be entirely dependent on Rigel's performance of its obligations under the Rigel License Agreement.Q2, 2026
2.Issues relating to the use of artificial intelligence and machine learning could adversely affect our business and operating results.Q2, 2026

Arvinas Holding Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

ARVN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ARVNARVN54Neutral$491.70M-47.271.91%―-11.85%81.44%
PRLDPRLD53Neutral$306.45M-4.78-75.35%―220.34%55.73%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
MGNXMGNX46Neutral$148.42M-10.59-31.27%―1.32%59.94%
ZNTLZNTL44Neutral$175.14M-0.72-87.95%―-100.00%14.08%
CCCCCCCC41Neutral$394.91M-3.21-45.45%―2.33%36.86%
OLMAOLMA40Underperform$618.61M-3.47-48.22%――-10.16%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%ARVNMGNXZNTLPRLDCCCCOLMADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ARVN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ARVNArvinas Holding Company7.09-2.48-25.91%
MGNXMacroGenics Inc2.330.8961.81%
ZNTLZentalis Pharmaceuticals Inc1.780.4432.84%
PRLDPrelude Therapeutics, Inc.3.782.39171.94%
CCCCC4 Therapeutics, Inc.3.210.8435.44%
OLMAOlema Pharmaceuticals, Inc.7.35-0.60-7.55%

Arvinas Holding Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements

Arvinas Reports Third-Quarter Results and Clinical Development Progress

Negative
Nov 3, 2026

On November 3, 2026, Arvinas reported third-quarter results and a corporate update. During the quarter, it initiated patient dosing in the Phase 1/2 trial of ARV-6723, advanced enrollment of ARV-027 and ARV-393 studies, and presented ARV-102 data sho...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2026