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Amplify Energy (AMPY) AI Stock Analysis

AMPY

Amplify Energy

(NYSE:AMPY)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$4.00â–¼(-0.25% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/11/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—strongly improved balance sheet but weak recent free cash flow and declining TTM revenue. Valuation (low P/E) and positive corporate actions (buyback, cost savings, royalty relief) support the outlook, while technicals remain a modest headwind due to the longer-term downtrend and slightly negative MACD.

Positive Factors
Very Low LeverageAmplify’s substantially strengthened balance sheet provides financial flexibility and reduces dependence on lenders. Very low leverage can help the company withstand operating volatility, preserve capital for development, and retain greater capacity to manage its upstream asset portfolio.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue TrendThe continuing decline in trailing revenue indicates that Amplify has not yet established consistent top-line growth. Persistent sales contraction can reduce operating scale, limit reinvestment capacity, and make future earnings more dependent on cost control or commodity conditions.

Amplify Energy (AMPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%AMPY-21.63%SPY+12.20%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$159.19M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
658.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.7
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
-23.70%
EPS Growth
30.67%
Country
US
Employees
184
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Amplify Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Amplify Energy Corp. is a U.S.-based enterprise focused on the upstream oil and natural gas sector, encompassing the acquisition, development, and production of hydrocarbon assets. Its extensive portfolio includes operated and non-operated working in...

Amplify Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 11, 2025(Q1-2025)|% Change Since:36.86%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment. Amplify Energy reported strong operational and financial performance in certain areas, such as the Beta field development and successful acreage monetization. However, challenges like decreased production, higher operating costs, and a net loss for the quarter balanced these achievements.

Positive Updates

Strong First Quarter Financial Performance
Amplify generated $19.4 million of adjusted EBITDA and $25.5 million of operating cash flow, with a production rate of 17,900 BOE per day.

Negative Updates

Decreased Production and Natural Gas Challenges
A decrease of 0.6 MBoe per day from the prior quarter due to gas imbalance adjustments and adverse weather in Oklahoma.

Company Guidance

During Amplify Energy's first quarter 2025 investor conference call, the company provided comprehensive guidance, highlighting several key metrics. Amplify generated $19.4 million in adjusted EBITDA and $25.5 million in operating cash flow, with daily production averaging 17,900 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE). The company reported a net loss of $5.9 million for the quarter, attributed mainly to non-cash unrealized losses on commodity derivatives. Amplify's production mix included 46% oil, 16% natural gas liquids (NGL), and 38% natural gas. Capital investments amounted to $23.1 million, with 55% allocated to the Beta development program. The firm's first-quarter lease operating expenses were $37.4 million, while cash general and administrative expenses totaled $7.3 million. Amplify's debt stood at $125 million, with liquidity of $20 million and a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.3 times. The company adjusted its 2025 production guidance to 19,000-20,500 BOE per day, partly due to deferred projects at Beta, leading to $50 million in capital savings. Amplify also monetized portions of its Haynesville acreage, generating $9.2 million in proceeds from three transactions. The company emphasized its robust hedge position, with 75%-80% of 2025 crude oil production and 80%-90% of natural gas production hedged, providing stability against market fluctuations.

Amplify Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed. The balance sheet is strong with very low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.005), but operating fundamentals are less consistent: TTM revenue declined (-6.9%), EBIT is negative despite a healthy EBITDA margin (27.4%), and cash conversion is weak with low operating cash flow ($7.3M) and materially negative TTM free cash flow (-$44.2M).

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

41Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue213.10M263.36M294.68M307.60M458.46M342.92M
Gross Profit113.20M71.76M276.25M119.20M273.72M172.64M
EBITDA72.11M108.90M62.56M189.49M96.04M8.10M
Net Income21.93M43.97M12.95M392.75M57.88M-32.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets576.09M600.90M747.08M737.67M459.48M455.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.21M60.67M020.75M018.80M
Total Debt3.10M3.75M132.47M121.83M197.97M232.79M
Total Liabilities137.01M142.18M338.16M346.64M464.04M519.94M
Stockholders Equity439.09M458.72M408.91M391.04M-4.57M-64.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-67.38M-36.11M-20.93M110.21M29.66M33.14M
Operating Cash Flow7.32M49.20M51.29M141.59M64.48M62.97M
Investing Cash Flow146.90M141.30M-82.03M-38.60M-41.52M-29.43M
Financing Cash Flow-133.01M-129.83M9.99M-82.24M-41.76M-25.11M

Amplify Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.01

Price Trends

50DMA4.54Negative
100DMA4.34Negative
200DMA4.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Positive
RSI30.65Neutral
STOCH12.54Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMPY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.42, below the 50-day MA of 4.54, and below the 200-day MA of 4.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMPY.

Amplify Energy Risk Analysis

Amplify Energy disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amplify Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

  • Finance & Corporate10
  • Tech & Innovation4
  • Legal & Regulatory9
  • Production13
  • Ability to Sell3
  • Macro & Political3
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Amplify Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AMPY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PEDPED69Neutral$221.18M-3.94-9.65%―229.37%-332.30%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AMPYAMPY60Neutral$177.02M7.685.13%―-23.70%30.67%
EPMEPM57Neutral$154.45M-48.65-3.80%13.30%0.59%-345.77%
EPSNEPSN57Neutral$195.63M-30.83-2.92%4.14%53.71%-204.13%
GTEGTE52Neutral$400.86M-1.42-122.23%―2.69%-289.33%
EONREONR42Neutral$17.09M-1.36-0.11%―-0.95%80.82%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%AMPYEPMGTEPEDEPSNEONRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AMPY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AMPYAmplify Energy Corp.3.84-0.73-15.97%
EPMEvolution Petroleum3.61-0.29-7.39%
GTEGran Tierra Energy Inc10.286.21152.58%
PEDPedevco Corp15.293.4128.68%
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.6.041.4531.59%
EONREon Resources Inc0.30-0.23-42.80%

Amplify Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures

Amplify Energy Announces Share Repurchase and Cost Savings

Positive
Aug 10, 2026

On August 10, 2026, Amplify Energy reported second-quarter 2026 results highlighted by a swing to $17.3 million in net income from a $38.1 million loss in the prior quarter, driven largely by a non-cash gain on commodity derivatives. The company grew...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026