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Alerus Financial Corporation (ALRS)
NASDAQ:ALRS
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Alerus Financial (ALRS) AI Stock Analysis

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ALRS

Alerus Financial

(NASDAQ:ALRS)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(11.27% Upside)
Alerus Financial's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The company's robust cash flow generation and revenue growth are significant strengths. However, technical analysis indicates some short-term bearish trends, and the earnings call highlighted challenges such as increased nonperforming assets. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic focus on growth and risk management supports a positive outlook.

Alerus Financial (ALRS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alerus Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlerus Financial Corporation (ALRS) is a diversified financial services company headquartered in Grand Forks, North Dakota. The company operates primarily in the banking, wealth management, and mortgage sectors, providing a comprehensive suite of financial solutions to individuals and businesses. Alerus offers products such as personal and commercial banking services, investment management, retirement planning, and mortgage lending, aiming to enhance the financial well-being of its clients through tailored services and innovative financial solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlerus Financial generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from interest on loans made to customers, which includes personal, commercial, and mortgage loans. Additionally, Alerus collects fees for various banking services, such as account maintenance and transaction fees. The wealth management segment contributes to revenue through advisory fees on assets under management and commissions from investment products. Mortgage origination fees and interest income from mortgage loans also serve as significant revenue sources. Furthermore, Alerus has established partnerships and collaborations that may enhance its service offerings and expand its client base, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Alerus Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong organic growth in banking segments, successful platform upgrades, and a promising outlook for the retirement business. However, challenges such as an increase in nonperforming assets and a decline in fee income were noted. Overall, the sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on strategic growth and risk management.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Growth in Banking Segments
Robust organic growth was driven by both the commercial and private banking segments, aided by an experienced team of bankers.
Successful Platform Upgrade in Wealth Management
Completed a major platform upgrade, enhancing client and adviser experience, which is expected to facilitate future recruiting and client growth.
Capital and Risk Management Achievements
Capital accretion boosted the TCE ratio to over 8%. Tangible book value grew nearly 5%, and a $5.3 million return was made to shareholders through dividends.
Promising Outlook for Retirement Business
The retirement segment remains a national leader with significant growth opportunities, and the company is bullish due to legislative support and industry growth rates.
Increased Net Interest Income and Stable Margins
Net interest income increased 0.2% over the prior quarter, and the net interest margin remained stable at 3.50%.
Negative Updates
Increase in Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming assets to total assets were 1.13%, an increase of 15 basis points from the prior quarter, driven by one commercial relationship with cash flow challenges.
Fee Income Decline
Fee income decreased 7.3% from the prior quarter, although it was down only 1% when excluding one-time items.
Challenges in Mortgage and Swap Income
Anticipated seasonal slowdown in mortgage originations and a decrease in swap income, which tends to be volatile.
Company Guidance
During the Alerus Financial Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Alerus expects to conclude 2025 with over $4.1 billion in loans and $4.3 billion in total deposits, anticipating mid-single-digit growth in both areas for 2026. The guidance for net interest margin is projected to end around 3.35% to 3.4% for 2025 and between 3.35% to 3.45% for 2026, with an expectation of core margin improvement driven by disciplined loan and deposit pricing. Noninterest income is forecasted to close at approximately $115 million for 2025, excluding one-time items, with mid-single-digit growth anticipated for 2026. The company is also focused on maintaining a strong reserve level of 1.51% and achieving a tangible common equity ratio above 8%. Alerus aims for adjusted pre-provision net revenue to be around $85 million to $86 million for 2025, with expected growth in the low to mid-single digits for 2026. The adjusted return on assets is targeted to exceed 1.15% for 2025, with a slight decline projected for 2026. The company highlighted its strategic focus on disciplined growth, leveraging technology and innovation, and optimizing its core earnings profile through proactive risk management and capital allocation.

Alerus Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alerus Financial exhibits strong financial performance with notable improvements in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The company has managed to enhance its profitability and leverage ratios, though there is still room for improvement in net profit margins. Overall, the financial health is robust, but attention should be paid to maintaining stability in cash flows and managing debt levels effectively.
Income Statement
Alerus Financial shows a strong revenue growth rate of 6.06% in the TTM, with improving gross profit and net profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly over the past year, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is relatively modest, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.70 in the TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity has increased to 8.03%, reflecting improved profitability. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with potential risks if debt levels increase again.
Cash Flow
Alerus Financial has demonstrated a remarkable free cash flow growth rate of 196.66% in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 72.29%, highlighting efficient cash management. However, previous periods showed volatility in cash flow, which could pose risks if not managed well.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue373.08M330.41M243.16M224.58M235.79M239.77M
Gross Profit245.46M197.73M164.06M208.77M233.74M216.61M
EBITDA68.61M38.04M24.36M60.42M77.89M67.44M
Net Income41.97M17.74M11.70M40.01M52.68M44.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.32B5.26B3.91B3.78B3.39B3.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.90M649.29M616.63M775.57M1.10B765.30M
Total Debt373.73M317.02M378.88M442.82M63.21M66.60M
Total Liabilities4.79B4.77B3.54B3.42B3.03B2.68B
Stockholders Equity533.15M495.41M369.13M356.87M359.40M330.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.88M16.59M25.71M101.18M147.41M-26.06M
Operating Cash Flow46.87M28.96M28.98M102.97M149.83M-22.25M
Investing Cash Flow-224.52M-330.03M-51.99M-292.62M-417.66M-538.39M
Financing Cash Flow-179.59M232.42M94.76M5.59M337.18M589.60M

Alerus Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.12
Price Trends
50DMA
21.99
Negative
100DMA
21.74
Negative
200DMA
20.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
43.89
Neutral
STOCH
36.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALRS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.41, below the 50-day MA of 21.99, and above the 200-day MA of 20.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALRS.

Alerus Financial Risk Analysis

Alerus Financial disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alerus Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alerus Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$550.85M12.9011.40%3.88%42.10%1211.45%
$641.56M14.3310.23%0.86%8.26%94.53%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
$521.65M9.1610.25%3.07%6.01%38.05%
$763.21M13.1710.01%2.67%89.01%
$522.22M18.684.56%2.89%5.00%72.45%
$521.79M-4.73%8.22%-27.77%-159.63%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALRS
Alerus Financial
21.12
1.83
9.49%
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
294.26
46.03
18.54%
MOFG
Midwestone Financial Group
36.99
9.44
34.26%
SHBI
Shore Bancshares
15.61
1.64
11.74%
WASH
Washington Bancorp
27.24
-4.12
-13.14%
HONE
HarborOne Bancorp
12.10
0.66
5.77%

Alerus Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alerus Financial Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Alerus Financial Corporation reported a net income of $16.9 million for the third quarter of 2025, a decrease from $20.3 million in the previous quarter but an increase from $5.2 million in the same quarter of 2024. The company achieved a record net interest income of $43.1 million and maintained a strong return on average total assets. Alerus continues to see growth in loans, deposits, and assets under management, driven by strategic acquisitions and enhancements in its commercial wealth bank. The company’s focus on disciplined execution and client expansion aims to deliver superior returns and shareholder value despite potential economic uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALRS) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alerus Financial stock, see the ALRS Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Alerus Financial Declares Increased Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Alerus Financial Corporation announced that its board of directors declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 per common share, marking a 5% increase from the previous year. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on October 10, 2025, to stockholders of record as of September 26, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALRS) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alerus Financial stock, see the ALRS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025