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Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) AI Stock Analysis

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ADRNY

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize

(Other OTC:ADRNY)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:$42.00â–²(14.88% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/10/26

ADRNY scores well on financial quality and shareholder-return support (strong free cash flow generation, steady growth, and an attractive P/E with a ~3.75% dividend yield). The score is held back by weak technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and ongoing operating headwinds highlighted on the call (U.S. margin pressure and macro/program impacts), despite reiterated full-year guidance.

Positive Factors
Cash generationSustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility: it funds dividends, buybacks, capex and debt repayment without relying on capital markets. Strong cash conversion reduces execution risk and supports multi-year strategic investments and margin programs.
Negative Factors
Thin profitabilityNet margins are structurally thin for grocery retail, leaving limited buffer against cost inflation or pricing pressure. Persistent margin compression versus historical peaks means even small input-cost or pricing shocks can meaningfully erode profitability and free cash flow over multiple quarters.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize (ADRNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%ADRNY-8.39%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$31.90B
Dividend Yield
4.00%
Average Volume (3M)
144.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.0
Beta (1Y)
0.04
Revenue Growth
6.97%
EPS Growth
33.25%
Country
US
Employees
390,000
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Grocery Stores

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. is a prominent retail and e-commerce enterprise, primarily conducting its operations across the United States and Europe. The company's diverse physical footprint encompasses various retail formats, such as supermarket...

How the Company Makes Money

Ahold Delhaize primarily makes money by selling food and everyday consumer products through its grocery retail networks in the United States and Europe. The core revenue stream is retail sales generated in physical stores and through online grocery c...

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-6.60%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a generally positive operational and strategic picture: the company delivered modest top-line growth (net sales +1.9%), advanced own-brand penetration above 40%, achieved double-digit online growth and reported online profitability while gaining market share and reiterating full-year guidance. Offsetting these positives are margin compression in the U.S., one-off IFRS charges, a year-to-date free cash flow shortfall due to timing effects, and macro pressures (energy, SNAP/pharmacy impacts, competitive pricing and local pricing decrees). On balance the highlights (market share gains, online growth and strategic progress on own brands, AI and disciplined capital allocation) outweigh the lowlights, but management remains watchful about cost and macro dynamics.

Positive Updates

Net Sales Growth
Net sales grew 1.9% year-over-year to EUR 23.2 billion in Q2 2026 (constant exchange rates).

Negative Updates

Slight Margin Compression
Group underlying operating margin decreased 10 basis points to 3.9% in Q2; U.S. underlying operating margin was 4.2%, down 20 basis points, with pressure from price investments, higher utility costs and indirect cost absorption.

Company Guidance

Management reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance (on a 53‑week basis): underlying operating margin of around 4%, free cash flow of at least EUR 2.3 billion, gross capital expenditures of about EUR 2.7 billion, and diluted underlying EPS growth at mid‑ to high‑single‑digit rates on a constant currency basis. They confirmed execution of strategic actions including a EUR 1 billion price/own‑brand investment program (≈EUR 250m p.a. as part of a four‑year plan) and a trajectory to deliver roughly EUR 1.25 billion of cost savings this year, with flexibility to deepen price investments if needed. Management also guided that pharmacy headwinds in H2 should be similar to Q2, ag‑price deflational impact should be lower as they cycle last year, and the SNAP eligibility changes are expected to be a ~60–80 basis‑point headwind for the full year; for context Q2 reported net sales were EUR 23.2 billion, Q2 free cash flow EUR 632 million (YTD free cash flow EUR 302 million) and Q2 underlying operating margin was 3.9%.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid fundamentals for a grocery retailer: TTM revenue grew ~8% and EBIT margin improved versus 2024–2025, while free cash flow generation is strong (TTM FCF ~5.6B). The main constraint is structurally thin profitability (TTM net margin ~2.4%) and still-meaningful leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.08x), which reduces cushion if costs or pricing pressures intensify.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

64Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.42B92.35B89.36B88.73B86.98B75.60B
Gross Profit24.32B24.51B23.80B23.85B23.30B20.68B
EBITDA7.39B6.73B6.48B6.50B7.27B6.34B
Net Income2.34B2.26B1.76B1.87B2.55B2.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.66B49.09B51.84B47.82B48.55B45.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.55B3.93B6.17B3.48B3.21B3.13B
Total Debt15.63B18.40B20.34B17.79B17.67B17.09B
Total Liabilities35.21B34.89B36.39B33.07B33.15B31.99B
Stockholders Equity14.45B14.20B15.45B14.76B15.40B13.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.58B4.15B3.92B3.99B3.62B3.10B
Operating Cash Flow6.88B6.99B6.22B6.47B6.11B5.47B
Investing Cash Flow-2.43B-3.58B-1.73B-2.21B-2.01B-2.63B
Financing Cash Flow-5.39B-5.68B-1.98B-3.78B-4.19B-3.05B

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price36.56

Price Trends

50DMA36.20Positive
100DMA37.77Negative
200DMA40.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.11Negative
RSI52.04Neutral
STOCH13.80Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADRNY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 36.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.22, above the 50-day MA of 36.20, and below the 200-day MA of 40.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ADRNY.

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Risk Analysis

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

ADRNY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ADRNYADRNY70Outperform$31.81B13.0015.64%4.00%6.97%33.25%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
IMKTAIMKTA62Neutral$1.56B15.056.30%0.78%1.02%84.32%
KRKR61Neutral$39.43B36.0917.17%2.16%1.58%-53.21%
WMKWMK61Neutral$1.84B18.937.15%1.83%4.50%-3.08%
SFMSFM55Neutral$4.58B9.4733.82%―5.25%0.53%
ACIACI54Neutral$6.15B-436.00-2.78%5.05%2.26%-106.73%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%ADRNYIMKTAKRWMKSFMACIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
ADRNY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ADRNYKoninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.36.56-3.09-7.79%
IMKTAIngles Markets Inc84.1113.0918.44%
KRKroger Company66.764.737.62%
WMKWeis Markets74.4111.8718.98%
SFMSprouts Farmers Market49.70-34.12-40.71%
ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.13.08-3.72-22.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026