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Adagene (ADAG)
NASDAQ:ADAG
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Adagene (ADAG) AI Stock Analysis

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ADAG

Adagene

(NASDAQ:ADAG)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-35.90% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:10/17/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial quality—persistent losses, volatile revenue, and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow—partly offset by an improved 2025 trajectory and manageable leverage. Technicals further weigh on the score due to a strong downtrend and negative momentum, while valuation offers limited support because the company remains unprofitable and pays no dividend.
Positive Factors
Pipeline Advancement
Regulatory clearance moves ADG138 from preclinical development toward human testing, expanding Adagene’s clinical pipeline and providing an additional opportunity to validate its SAFEbody technology. Advancement into the clinic can support future partnering and portfolio diversification.
Negative Factors
Persistent Unprofitability
Ongoing operating and net losses show that Adagene has not yet established a self-sustaining commercial earnings model. Even with improvement in 2025, continued losses can constrain investment capacity, increase dependence on financing, and make long-term returns reliant on successful clinical and commercial execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Pipeline Advancement
Regulatory clearance moves ADG138 from preclinical development toward human testing, expanding Adagene’s clinical pipeline and providing an additional opportunity to validate its SAFEbody technology. Advancement into the clinic can support future partnering and portfolio diversification.
Read all positive factors

Adagene (ADAG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adagene Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Adagene Inc. functions as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical organization, primarily concentrating on the identification, evolution, and fabrication of monoclonal antibody-based therapeutics engineered to combat various types of cancer. The compan...

Adagene Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite improvement in 2025 versus 2024 (revenue rebound and narrower losses) and a manageable leverage profile with positive equity, the overall profile is constrained by persistent operating/net losses, highly volatile revenue (including negative gross profit in 2024), and consistently negative operating and free cash flow indicating ongoing cash burn and reliance on external funding.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.32M7.67M103.20K18.11M9.29M10.18M
Gross Profit8.78M7.67M-823.04K18.11M9.29M10.18M
EBITDA-21.85M-16.85M-31.66M-14.95M-77.37M-69.99M
Net Income-20.56M-17.61M-33.42M-18.95M-79.97M-73.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets133.58M78.26M89.27M115.73M152.40M189.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments127.91M74.52M85.19M109.93M143.76M174.39M
Total Debt6.09M6.26M18.49M22.31M27.97M7.49M
Total Liabilities27.57M42.91M38.74M45.17M69.31M32.95M
Stockholders Equity106.01M35.35M50.52M70.56M83.09M156.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.47M-15.67M-29.73M-28.54M-49.30M-45.92M
Operating Cash Flow-19.30M-15.66M-29.70M-28.45M-48.61M-43.41M
Investing Cash Flow735.21K476.80K1.11M-77.36K-686.05K-2.51M
Financing Cash Flow84.08M4.45M3.77M-5.37M17.82M145.36M

Adagene Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.90
Price Trends
50DMA
3.16
Negative
100DMA
3.47
Negative
200DMA
3.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
42.28
Neutral
STOCH
64.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADAG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.64, above the 50-day MA of 3.16, and above the 200-day MA of 3.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADAG.

Adagene Risk Analysis

Adagene disclosed 120 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adagene reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adagene Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$54.58M-1.08214.97%―-31.12%-35.10%
45
Neutral
$45.97M-0.78-38.99%――31.98%
42
Neutral
$232.10M-2.88-58.00%―――
40
Underperform
$167.19M-5.28-29.09%―8906.15%41.48%
33
Underperform
$11.22M-1.79-64.46%――33.15%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADAG
Adagene
2.49
0.65
34.96%
IFRX
InflaRx
1.58
-0.08
-5.12%
CLNN
Clene
3.84
-4.67
-54.88%
IMA
ImageneBio
4.05
-4.30
-51.50%
ANEB
Anebulo Pharmaceuticals
0.28
-2.43
-89.81%

Adagene Corporate Events

Adagene Announces Finance Executive Resignation Effective September 30, 2026
Sep 25, 2026
On September 30, 2026, Adagene Inc. announced that Ms. Chunfang (Vicky) Gu resigned from her role as Executive Director of Finance for personal reasons. The resignation was formally reported in a Form 6-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchang...
Adagene Wins NMPA IND Clearance for Novel HER2xCD3 T-Cell Engager ADG138
Sep 22, 2026
Adagene Inc., a platform-driven, clinical-stage biotechnology company listed on Nasdaq, specializes in antibody-based cancer immunotherapies built on its SAFEbody precision masking technology. Leveraging computational biology and artificial intell...
Adagene Deepens Third Arc Bio Partnership as First SAFEbody-Based CD3 Lead Selected
Sep 10, 2026
Adagene Inc., a clinical-stage biotech specializing in antibody-based cancer immunotherapies, has built a differentiated pipeline around its Dynamic Precision Library platform, including NEObody, SAFEbody and POWERbody technologies. Its lead progr...
Adagene Secures Milestone Payments in Exelixis SAFEbody ADC Collaboration
Sep 9, 2026
On September 9, 2026, Adagene Inc. reported achieving a preclinical milestone in its collaboration and license agreement with Exelixis Inc. The milestone, tied to the XB404 program built on Adagene’s SAFEbody masking technology to target ROR...
Adagene Extends Cash Runway and Advances Muzastotug Through Mid-2026 Clinical Milestones
Aug 12, 2026
On August 12, 2026, Adagene reported financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2026 and detailed significant progress in the clinical development of its lead asset, muzastotug. The company closed an equity offering in April 2026, lifting...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026